NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3df70197ed3d52899209494b1284ffe56feb0ef60bea06aedcce5b653c5323aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $137,903
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $140,499
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,903 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Thunder | 63c | 23,696$14,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,907.93 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Spurs | 50c | 20,615$10,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,239.92 | 280 | 56.8%159 W · 121 L | +22.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Spurs | 30c | 13,742$4,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,619.69 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Thunder | 49c | 12,146$5,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,925.73 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Thunder | 70c | 10,429$7,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,300 | 145 | 56.6%82 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Spurs | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,000 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Spurs | 33c | 7,576$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,075.76 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Thunder | 70c | 6,960$4,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,871.8 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Thunder | 49c | 4,500$2,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,195 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | -18.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Thunder | 48c | 4,365$2,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,095.16 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Spurs | 52c | 4,192$2,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,012.31 | 301 | 57.1%172 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 52c | 2,463$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.71 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Thunder | 38c | 2,421$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.22 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Spurs | 41c | 2,420$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,417.65 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96a3…d944backed Spurs | 49c | 2,175$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.61 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Spurs | 31c | 2,046$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,416.25 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Spurs | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.99 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Thunder | 68c | 1,892$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.29 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Spurs | 50c | 1,827$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.77 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Thunder | 49c | 1,659$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.37 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0960…5adcbacked Thunder | 62c | 1,608$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97d6…69e1backed Thunder | 71c | 1,555$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 59cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e0…ffbebacked Thunder | 70c | 1,437$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc16c…a3aabacked Thunder | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Thunder | 70c | 1,346$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.16 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb4…d892backed Spurs | 31c | 1,300$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39f8…badabacked Thunder | 51c | 1,300$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Thunder | 6c | 1,131$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.51 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Thunder | 50c | 1,040$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880e…54edbacked Spurs | 32c | 1,022$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.03 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +8.5wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e39…77f3backed Thunder | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Spurs | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Thunder | 57c | 982.46$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Spurs | 32c | 960$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.4 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Thunder | 68c | 857.2$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.9 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Spurs | 33c | 757.58$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.58 | 209 | 45.5%95 W · 114 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Spurs | 50c | 739.3$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.81 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Spurs | 48c | 669.85$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.83 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs | 45c | 627.23$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.63 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Spurs | 35c | 621.22$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.22 | 262 | 33.6%88 W · 174 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Spurs | 30c | 620.29$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.2 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Thunder | 62c | 560$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.27 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60da…a14ebacked Thunder | 50c | 550.46$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.23 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Spurs | 51c | 497.57$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.29 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…0162backed Thunder | 62c | 462.4$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.19 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -5.6wins | -0.29per pick | 50cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Spurs | 31c | 454$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.26 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f31…a362backed Spurs | 67c | 447.36$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.36 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 60cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0539…70f9backed Spurs | 33c | 429.6$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.6 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc045…92f1backed Thunder | 6c | 406.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3612…177ebacked Spurs | 37c | 405.41$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.41 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…11b3backed Spurs | 40c | 400$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a58…f9d8backed Spurs | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Spurs | 34c | 377.59$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.17 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Thunder | 49c | 367.35$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 288 | 38.2%110 W · 178 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0e…8177backed Thunder | 50c | 365.24$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.62 | 206 | 50.5%104 W · 102 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Spurs | 32c | 362.25$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.33 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Spurs | 37c | 346.54$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.32 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3037…f855backed Thunder | 69c | 346.14$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.64 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Spurs | 50c | 345.05$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.53 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a73…df96backed Thunder | 58c | 344.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Thunder | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 228 | 44.7%102 W · 126 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59a4…260fbacked Spurs | 42c | 333.33$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.33 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Spurs | 50c | 323.75$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.66 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed Spurs | 32c | 313.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.59 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20bf…2be9backed Spurs | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…adc6backed Thunder | 17c | 301.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 147 | 27.9%41 W · 106 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaf…051bbacked Thunder | 55c | 301.39$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.75 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Thunder | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec2d…896cbacked Thunder | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5489…1633backed Thunder | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Thunder | 61c | 298$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.78 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +21.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Thunder | 62c | 290.91$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.37 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1965…2c2dbacked Thunder | 59c | 254.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.59 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x135d…56c0backed Spurs | 42c | 231.93$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.6 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…a330backed Thunder | 66c | 226.54$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -5.8wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -28%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5891…4912backed Thunder | 70c | 215.56$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc04…1c43backed Spurs | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e03…8b79backed Thunder | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…719bbacked Thunder | 71c | 205.06$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.59 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Spurs | 31c | 204.09$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.14 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…4e0ebacked Thunder | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3154…082bbacked Thunder | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Spurs | 39c | 199.8$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.94 | 268 | 24.6%66 W · 202 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Thunder | 60c | 171$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.33 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Thunder | 57c | 159.83$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.67 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Thunder | 41c | 150.76$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.69 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fb…2de9backed Thunder | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e27…ca89backed Thunder | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 74cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8593…8cfbbacked Thunder | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Spurs | 29c | 137.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.92 | 405 | 48.4%196 W · 209 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Spurs | 37c | 136.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.21 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Spurs | 51c | 132.04$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.7 | 210 | 46.2%97 W · 113 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d30…5f85backed Spurs | 51c | 132.04$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.7 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4db7…1cabbacked Spurs | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Spurs | 30c | 121$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.17 | 272 | 45.6%124 W · 148 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3c…759bbacked Thunder | 49c | 116.83$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e23…94b2backed Thunder | 55c | 116.6$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.14 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Spurs | 32c | 109.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.38 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa712…982cbacked Thunder | 57c | 102$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.64 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Thunder | 67c | 100.1$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.07 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Spurs won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Thunder vs. SpursSpurs won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.