NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6ba05561cf457268868890f7d9cb365260174d85b380bc1dc00bd644ce7e5e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Thunder, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,815
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,916
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,815 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1543…baafbacked Thunder | 20c | 30,868$6,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,223.59 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spurs | 80c | 12,009$9,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,458.27 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeba7…57d9backed Thunder | 20c | 10,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Thunder | 19c | 10,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.98 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Thunder | 21c | 8,892$1,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,841.58 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Thunder | 22c | 5,472$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.73 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Spurs | 79c | 5,034$3,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.19 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Thunder | 22c | 4,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Spurs | 78c | 2,108$1,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.74 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Thunder | 6c | 1,876$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.13 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Thunder | 19c | 1,500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Thunder | 5c | 1,475$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.74 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed Thunder | 13c | 999.94$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.99 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Thunder | 21c | 871.88$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.89 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Thunder | 4c | 823.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.42 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacc9…c790backed Thunder | 21c | 728.89$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.07 | 147 | 31.3%46 W · 101 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Spurs | 80c | 632.85$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.9 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…e269backed Thunder | 21c | 590.48$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 247 | 31.2%77 W · 170 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Thunder | 17c | 568.71$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.9 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x946c…59cbbacked Spurs | 80c | 462.16$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.43 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Spurs | 80c | 385$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 905 | 60.8%550 W · 355 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs | 79c | 356$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.76 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…b81bbacked Spurs | 79c | 348.1$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.1 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…7972backed Thunder | 18c | 329$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 161 | 46.6%75 W · 86 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Thunder | 19c | 318.24$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.09 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf268…ab74backed Spurs | 79c | 241.77$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.77 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…f2d6backed Spurs | 80c | 237.5$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Thunder | 21c | 200.38$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Spurs | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Spurs | 78c | 192.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.85 | 160 | 48.8%78 W · 82 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Spurs | 78c | 185$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.7 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Thunder | 21c | 183.9$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.06 | 186 | 53.2%99 W · 87 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Thunder | 22c | 160.23$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 216 | 37.5%81 W · 135 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cca…af5cbacked Thunder | 21c | 156.19$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Spurs | 78c | 136.66$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.71 | 157 | 59.2%93 W · 64 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Spurs | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Thunder | 20c | 118$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +11.0wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Thunder | 21c | 116.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffc…a5b7backed Thunder | 22c | 107.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -58%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x978f…e14dbacked Thunder | 20c | 105.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Spurs | 78c | 103$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.66 | 320 | 45.3%145 W · 175 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Thunder | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Thunder | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 412 | 27.4%113 W · 299 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33b…2372backed Thunder | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3843…6f2fbacked Thunder | 15c | 90.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 37cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Thunder | 21c | 82.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05e7…b527backed Spurs | 80c | 76.31$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Spurs | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 184 | 48.9%90 W · 94 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Thunder | 20c | 73.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf959…0cd5backed Thunder | 20c | 67.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Spurs | 79c | 67.41$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58be…2517backed Thunder | 21c | 66.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b85…b31bbacked Spurs | 79c | 62.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 56cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa06…74c3backed Spurs | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Spurs | 79c | 61.78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 267 | 55.1%147 W · 120 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x432d…bda6backed Spurs | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Spurs | 78c | 57.98$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e23…94b2backed Thunder | 21c | 56.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Spurs | 79c | 56.28$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Spurs | 79c | 50.01$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Spurs | 79c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 633 | 53.1%336 W · 297 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…8150backed Spurs | 79c | 45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Spurs | 80c | 44.59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 113 | 64.6%73 W · 40 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Spurs | 78c | 44.53$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3d…235fbacked Spurs | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Spurs | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 296 | 65.5%194 W · 102 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd558…a218backed Spurs | 80c | 37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Spurs | 79c | 35.96$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 148 | 51.4%76 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Spurs | 80c | 33.29$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 144 | 64.6%93 W · 51 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90a9…1bf1backed Spurs | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…6aacbacked Spurs | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d2…e9c3backed Spurs | 79c | 14.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.96 | 45 | 77.8%35 W · 10 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…e5ebbacked Spurs | 79c | 13.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.94 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed Spurs | 78c | 13.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.97 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4389…6109backed Spurs | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Spurs won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Thunder vs. SpursSpurs won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.