NBA · resolved market
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a80f290ae84d4b4e61a6610b1f8482fde0e9b9e35fa3e6d08870c0d6e7b4846
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,091
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,898
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,091 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd696…8a49backed No | 41c | 6,695$2,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,761.27 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 60c | 5,922$3,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,369.43 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 41c | 3,166$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed No | 40c | 2,874$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.7 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…524dbacked Yes | 59c | 2,300$1,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed No | 43c | 2,246$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.74 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes | 59c | 1,718$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.38 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked No | 40c | 1,372$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.86 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 59c | 1,317$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.97 | 288 | 38.2%110 W · 178 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed No | 41c | 1,036$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.7 | 131 | 61.8%81 W · 50 L | +13.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Yes | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 58c | 839.4$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.43 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b4…1483backed Yes | 60c | 833.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.58 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x906b…9805backed Yes | 60c | 725.52$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.21 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked No | 40c | 721.98$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.79 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 41c | 599.98$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.99 | 908 | 63.9%580 W · 328 L | +80.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2573…2726backed Yes | 61c | 586.98$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.98 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 60c | 585.43$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.43 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c5…3d6fbacked Yes | 57c | 510.64$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.5 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed Yes | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.1 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…9cfbbacked Yes | 59c | 475.3$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.3 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…672ebacked Yes | 59c | 423.36$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.36 | 137 | 59.9%82 W · 55 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Yes | 56c | 409.28$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.08 | 400 | 53.5%214 W · 186 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked No | 40c | 397.14$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.86 | 377 | 55.2%208 W · 169 L | +23.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Yes | 60c | 334.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.27 | 337 | 49.3%166 W · 171 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked No | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9caf…e8bdbacked No | 44c | 254.15$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.13 | 330 | 49.1%162 W · 168 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Yes | 57c | 250$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…8023backed No | 41c | 250$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 437 | 52.6%230 W · 207 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed No | 40c | 249.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed No | 41c | 237.66$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.44 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed No | 39c | 236.61$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.15 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked No | 43c | 230.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 58c | 229.99$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.6 | 249 | 55.8%139 W · 110 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…388abacked No | 41c | 214.76$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.05 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed No | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66a2…3538backed Yes | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65c9…cf56backed Yes | 60c | 188.33$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.33 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7798…8199backed Yes | 60c | 184.98$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.99 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…adc6backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 147 | 27.9%41 W · 106 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…18a0backed Yes | 58c | 172.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.57 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf875…37d2backed Yes | 56c | 172.52$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.91 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd190…e445backed Yes | 57c | 163.02$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.1 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed No | 41c | 156$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.96 | 361 | 53.5%193 W · 168 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7497…1dc4backed Yes | 60c | 138.85$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.96 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Yes | 59c | 135.59$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 173 | 56.6%98 W · 75 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Yes | 56c | 124.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 587 | 54.7%321 W · 266 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 45c | 119.96$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.98 | 447 | 47%210 W · 237 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 39c | 119.39$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.68 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9069…9c14backed Yes | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 145 | 57.2%83 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked No | 40c | 100.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed No | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a9…e573backed Yes | 53c | 99.34$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.69 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Yes | 56c | 99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.56 | 412 | 27.4%113 W · 299 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed No | 43c | 98.97$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.41 | 188 | 53.7%101 W · 87 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked No | 43c | 92.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x482d…2ce7backed Yes | 57c | 89.44$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.46 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 42c | 85.59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.79 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | +26.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…9499backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -14.9wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…10c0backed Yes | 59c | 83.05$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +5.0wins | +0.22per pick | 57cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xac2a…4543backed Yes | 61c | 81.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…68a0backed Yes | 56c | 80.36$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 153 | 51%78 W · 75 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfe…bfb7backed No | 41c | 69.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…27f1backed Yes | 57c | 66.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…0073backed No | 43c | 60.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d1…439ebacked No | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…28f5backed Yes | 59c | 59.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.45 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a67…52edbacked Yes | 59c | 58.9$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…c14abacked Yes | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed No | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd032…5136backed Yes | 58c | 51.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.81 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e79…9076backed Yes | 58c | 50.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35c9…bc74backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 346 | 61.6%213 W · 133 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked No | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 400 | 48.3%193 W · 207 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…374bbacked Yes | 59c | 48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x565c…f3c0backed Yes | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed No | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff4…8720backed Yes | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…1025backed Yes | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 57c | 39.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 111 | 36%40 W · 71 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce98…fbb1backed No | 45c | 37.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9816…8ff4backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3875…cdfebacked Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4480…8c0ebacked Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa538…1ee9backed Yes | 59c | 35.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70df…bca8backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 849 | 57.6%489 W · 360 L | -52.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dbc…47abbacked Yes | 59c | 33.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…f52ebacked Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x590a…c459backed Yes | 59c | 33.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcb…dbe9backed Yes | 59c | 33.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6711…1485backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 60cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…9b16backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes | 59c | 33.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf89…0fb1backed Yes | 61c | 32.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aeb…42d4backed Yes | 55c | 32.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 275 | 39.6%109 W · 166 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…cefbbacked Yes | 57c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 596 | 50.3%300 W · 296 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Spurs won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Thunder vs. SpursSpurs won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.