NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f2ad5364164ef977357d247cb2990d5b741737c8df996930d51df3e39b59c85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $133,412
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $133,098
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,412 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Spurs | 57c | 28,563$16,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,424.15 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Thunder | 45c | 15,000$6,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,750 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Spurs | 55c | 13,420$7,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,039.18 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Thunder | 48c | 10,417$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Thunder | 45c | 10,240$4,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,603.7 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 40c | 10,078$4,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,006.58 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Spurs | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Thunder | 48c | 6,888$3,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,306.24 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Thunder | 43c | 5,305$2,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,281.21 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Thunder | 45c | 4,822$2,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,169.72 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Spurs | 52c | 4,717$2,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,263.96 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Thunder | 44c | 4,493$1,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,977.07 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca28…49debacked Spurs | 52c | 4,300$2,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,064 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Thunder | 44c | 4,288$1,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,907.29 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Thunder | 45c | 3,401$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530.45 | 237 | 42.6%101 W · 136 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Thunder | 45c | 3,400$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc920…7914backed Thunder | 45c | 3,322$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Thunder | 45c | 3,200$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Thunder | 45c | 3,135$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.75 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Spurs | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Thunder | 44c | 2,749$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.66 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Thunder | 45c | 2,318$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.74 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Thunder | 49c | 2,238$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.59 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Spurs | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Thunder | 44c | 1,379$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.75 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Thunder | 36c | 1,287$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.06 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Thunder | 45c | 1,250$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.17 | 320 | 45.3%145 W · 175 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Spurs | 55c | 1,250$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.52 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Spurs | 54c | 1,010$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.77 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Spurs | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 256 | 51.2%131 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Thunder | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…adc6backed Spurs | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 147 | 27.9%41 W · 106 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8854…0d9cbacked Spurs | 55c | 821.42$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.64 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…dd68backed Thunder | 44c | 800$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Spurs | 51c | 782.18$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.27 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Thunder | 35c | 722$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.7 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Thunder | 45c | 700$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 689 | 44%303 W · 386 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs | 54c | 650.71$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.33 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs | 55c | 636.57$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.46 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Spurs | 53c | 606.73$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.16 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6303…9556backed Spurs | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Spurs | 54c | 553.97$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.01 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…dda7backed Spurs | 53c | 530.51$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.34 | 242 | 47.1%114 W · 128 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Thunder | 44c | 509.89$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.35 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5999…bdbebacked Spurs | 56c | 445.04$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.82 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed Thunder | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 178 | 48.3%86 W · 92 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Thunder | 20c | 442.24$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.46 | 250 | 45.6%114 W · 136 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Thunder | 41c | 388.48$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.32 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…ca29backed Spurs | 53c | 367.07$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.7 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ee…2e1dbacked Thunder | 46c | 353.98$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.83 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…9996backed Spurs | 55c | 346.99$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.15 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Thunder | 44c | 274.86$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.94 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Thunder | 27c | 268.64$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.52 | 621 | 44%273 W · 348 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Thunder | 44c | 251.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.88 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed Spurs | 55c | 227.28$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.38 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Thunder | 46c | 212.74$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.86 | 216 | 37.5%81 W · 135 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Thunder | 35c | 201.01$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.04 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecc…2174backed Thunder | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 50cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b07…c2dcbacked Thunder | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.31per pick | 46cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0819…7aeebacked Thunder | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb15…5477backed Thunder | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc09…2d86backed Spurs | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb02…ef4cbacked Spurs | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…7690backed Spurs | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +83.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9f44…aa0ebacked Spurs | 54c | 183.94$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Spurs | 53c | 179.95$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.98 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6a…2581backed Spurs | 55c | 178.18$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacd…a619backed Thunder | 46c | 173.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Thunder | 46c | 145.05$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Thunder | 38c | 144$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.72 | 272 | 45.6%124 W · 148 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Thunder | 44c | 129.51$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.99 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Thunder | 45c | 128$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Spurs | 51c | 126$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.74 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Thunder | 48c | 122.4$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.17 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3a…ccbebacked Thunder | 39c | 116.78$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e4…6f6bbacked Thunder | 27c | 107.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab6b…f517backed Thunder | 47c | 93.61$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd2…d56abacked Spurs | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x146c…b807backed Spurs | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 204 | 41.7%85 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Thunder | 31c | 89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.32 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Spurs | 53c | 88.13$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.42 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Thunder | 46c | 85.63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.37 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Spurs | 55c | 80.4$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.18 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Thunder | 46c | 79.62$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaed4…4cc9backed Spurs | 56c | 77.67$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.18 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | -9.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked Spurs | 56c | 75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 337 | 48.1%162 W · 175 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Spurs | 54c | 74.77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.39 | 405 | 48.4%196 W · 209 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Spurs | 53c | 72.86$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.24 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Spurs | 53c | 70.05$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.92 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x630f…5501backed Thunder | 46c | 65.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Thunder | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0171…0a60backed Thunder | 47c | 62.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc78b…5c76backed Spurs | 55c | 62.45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -9.1wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Thunder | 45c | 59.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Spurs | 56c | 57.24$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Thunder | 45c | 55.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…f52ebacked Spurs | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Thunder | 45c | 51.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 160 | 48.8%78 W · 82 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Spurs | 53c | 50.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed Thunder | 44c | 46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-1.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Spurs won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Thunder vs. SpursSpurs won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.