NBA · resolved market
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ff31b86f54a861a16f241584e6e9360a8ff3e2d19210a3e564c11eedd893b78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,856
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,680
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,856 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes | 53c | 3,228$1,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,721.98 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 46c | 2,416$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.08 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed No | 47c | 1,059$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.15 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefd1…c520backed Yes | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac65…cfe6backed No | 50c | 780$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Yes | 57c | 571.55$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.15 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked No | 46c | 342.59$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed No | 46c | 334.01$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.37 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 47c | 331.03$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.71 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x804f…13abbacked Yes | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9caf…e8bdbacked No | 47c | 251.94$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.53 | 330 | 49.1%162 W · 168 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked No | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 277 | 46.6%129 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Yes | 53c | 235.03$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 256 | 57%146 W · 110 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6808…899bbacked No | 47c | 234.04$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.04 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7798…8199backed Yes | 54c | 215.7$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.48 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed No | 47c | 213$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.89 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a9…e573backed No | 47c | 199.98$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.99 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7987…884abacked Yes | 52c | 191.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 258 | 50%129 W · 129 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…18a0backed Yes | 53c | 183.04$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb4…7d56backed Yes | 53c | 139.62$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed No | 47c | 138$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.14 | 361 | 53.5%193 W · 168 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd424…bf7bbacked Yes | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…8023backed No | 48c | 128.37$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.34 | 437 | 52.6%230 W · 207 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb518…3403backed Yes | 54c | 120.22$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.31 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked No | 47c | 120$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 53c | 110.71$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.49 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…c45dbacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 908 | 63.9%580 W · 328 L | +80.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x66a2…3538backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 49c | 99.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ed…03ebbacked No | 47c | 99.85$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.92 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed No | 45c | 98.87$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.38 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 44c | 93.22$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.18 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked No | 46c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 400 | 48.3%193 W · 207 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…68a0backed Yes | 54c | 80$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 153 | 51%78 W · 75 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed No | 47c | 76.9$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.76 | 193 | 52.8%102 W · 91 L | +11.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked No | 32c | 74.21$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.46 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f2…a334backed No | 47c | 72.81$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed No | 49c | 72.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.3 | 188 | 53.7%101 W · 87 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc067…e97cbacked Yes | 54c | 55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ba…06b3backed Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d970backed Yes | 53c | 53.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc78d…0bbdbacked No | 47c | 51.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.48 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 53c | 51.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.17 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa6…16f9backed Yes | 54c | 50.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2f…9765backed Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…fd82backed No | 47c | 44.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7a…2c0abacked Yes | 54c | 42.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed No | 46c | 42.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 131 | 61.8%81 W · 50 L | +13.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8361…283ebacked Yes | 54c | 40.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed No | 47c | 39.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30cf…16e7backed Yes | 54c | 35.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -66%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked Yes | 54c | 33.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 373 | 44.2%165 W · 208 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 40c | 31.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x110d…cd01backed Yes | 51c | 27.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 345 | 56.2%194 W · 151 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Yes | 53c | 24.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 267 | 55.1%147 W · 120 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aeb…42d4backed Yes | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 275 | 39.6%109 W · 166 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x394d…f8b1backed Yes | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 596 | 50.3%300 W · 296 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05ec…f767backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e6…757abacked Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…772abacked Yes | 54c | 18.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Spurs won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Thunder vs. SpursSpurs won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.