TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe1e6…757a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
124
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: World Politics, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT8148.1%39 W · 42 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 81 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+283.5%+$255.19
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$570
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$599.77
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$360
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 15.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+86.1%+$17.22
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.43
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$413Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$412.98
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$158
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 14.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+96.7%+$14.75
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$275
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$886.79
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+58%+$405.91
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Showing 25 of 81 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT3345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titansbacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$157.14
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$132
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$818.18
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Gujarat Titansbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.84
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+196.4%+$160.49
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Gujarat Titansbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$634Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+71%+$449.89
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.47
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$271.8
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.69
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$575Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$575.4
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+74.6%+$218.06
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,162Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+102%+$1,184.5
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,271Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+57.9%+$735.59
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$38.25
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.25
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$24.6
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.17
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+173.9%+$142.96
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.7
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Gujarat Titansbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.54
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.3
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.38
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.17
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.8
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+71.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will HP (HPQ) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+117.4%+$91.8
Will Occidental Petroleum (OXY) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+25%+$19.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+420.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$626Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+420.9%+$2,633.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+53.8%+$21.54
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.