NBA · resolved market

Thunder vs. Spurs

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3904885b86a86a2e20b76d92e3eb91ba5e9d6cd3ed294ee759c5f638fe8ec9bb

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Spursof Thunder, Spurs
Resolved: May 28, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $12,389,501
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $12,222,902

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,389,501 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 3,125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6211…b89ebacked Spurs	59c	1,355,931$799,999 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$555,931.72	81	48.1%39 W · 42 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Thunder	40c	999,999$404,183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$404,183.42	97	45.4%44 W · 53 L	+4.7wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Spurs	59c	771,289$454,276 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$317,013.07	51	54.9%28 W · 23 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Thunder	8c	654,182$53,317 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53,317.26	259	25.9%67 W · 192 L	+6.5wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb188…8d5bbacked Thunder	41c	433,356$177,676 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177,676.09	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72d8…5213backed Spurs	67c	431,765$289,282 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142,482.4	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-2.7wins	-0.12per pick	53cpaid	-24%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4bff…fc26backed Thunder	41c	400,000$164,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164,000	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1610…ae49backed Thunder	32c	396,357$127,665 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127,664.86	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+4.9wins	+0.38per pick	31cpaid	+105.7%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x420e…e3c9backed Thunder	0c	320,400$720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$720	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Thunder	34c	301,812$101,240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101,240.4	649	48.2%313 W · 336 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Spurs	73c	279,042$203,573 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75,468.92	267	53.2%142 W · 125 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Spurs	63c	236,719$148,031 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88,688.11	857	42.6%365 W · 492 L	-15.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Thunder	22c	157,071$34,844 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34,843.71	698	48.6%339 W · 359 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7200…9299backed Thunder	41c	150,000$61,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61,500	369	54.7%202 W · 167 L	+28.0wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Thunder	15c	145,310$21,281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,281	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Spurs	59c	139,402$82,247 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57,154.68	168	41.1%69 W · 99 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Spurs	59c	125,000$73,750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51,249.86	603	51.4%310 W · 293 L	+16.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x966c…9b1abacked Thunder	41c	121,951$50,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50,000	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eeb…c387backed Spurs	58c	119,912$68,960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50,952.29	204	54.9%112 W · 92 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Thunder	41c	118,152$48,442 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48,442.44	64	45.3%29 W · 35 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf90c…732cbacked Thunder	30c	105,922$32,112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32,111.76	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-3.3wins	-0.27per pick	52cpaid	-56.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcc5b…1edcbacked Thunder	41c	103,314$42,359 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42,358.6	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+1.3wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+29.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f0e…7397backed Thunder	1c	100,788$930 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$929.83	118	43.2%51 W · 67 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52f5…5e8abacked Spurs	60c	100,000$60,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40,000	37	70.3%26 W · 11 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	66cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Thunder	40c	99,999$39,999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39,999.43	186	51.1%95 W · 91 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Spurs	80c	88,370$70,696 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,673.93	292	45.5%133 W · 159 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b7…4108backed Thunder	4c	83,895$3,315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,314.85	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+3.0wins	+0.17per pick	41cpaid	+94.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Spurs	59c	83,184$49,275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33,909.25	145	38.6%56 W · 89 L	-12.9wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x127c…7456backed Thunder	41c	81,455$33,397 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33,396.56	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f3c…2f57backed Thunder	41c	75,202$30,833 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30,832.9	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Spurs	78c	72,845$56,819 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,025.97	199	54.8%109 W · 90 L	+12.2wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x47a8…52f9backed Spurs	59c	70,000$41,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28,699.82	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	-2.7wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6db5…e279backed Spurs	73c	68,272$49,583 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,688.4	53	54.7%29 W · 24 L	+5.5wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb9e5…1809backed Spurs	63c	67,366$42,736 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,630.05	44	59.1%26 W · 18 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	62cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Thunder	37c	66,111$24,463 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,463.3	47	34%16 W · 31 L	-6.9wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xde7b…5f4bbacked Thunder	28c	62,335$17,641 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,641.42	48	25%12 W · 36 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Spurs	68c	60,000$40,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,100	344	56.7%195 W · 149 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0914…9c93backed Thunder	6c	56,024$3,379 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,378.6	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.28per pick	5cpaid	+255.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf165…2194backed Thunder	29c	55,781$15,946 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,945.78	36	44.4%16 W · 20 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88a1…ad45backed Spurs	59c	50,000$29,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,500.06	53	50.9%27 W · 26 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Spurs	57c	50,000$28,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,500	492	44.3%218 W · 274 L	+11.8wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Spurs	61c	49,885$30,241 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,644.27	156	44.9%70 W · 86 L	-9.1wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Thunder	18c	49,607$8,811 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,811.11	199	37.2%74 W · 125 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-15%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef27…381bbacked Thunder	41c	48,780$20,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,000	84	52.4%44 W · 40 L	+5.9wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Thunder	41c	47,619$19,524 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,523.81	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3535…a775backed Thunder	41c	47,001$19,271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,270.51	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+1.8wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Thunder	41c	44,612$18,124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,123.76	316	44.6%141 W · 175 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Thunder	7c	40,864$2,809 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,808.54	317	9.5%30 W · 287 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-59.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Thunder	1c	40,013$478 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$478.02	521	3.8%20 W · 501 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x418d…88a3backed Spurs	66c	40,000$26,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,599.93	102	48%49 W · 53 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Thunder	41c	39,999$16,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,399.59	148	42.6%63 W · 85 L	-7.8wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x47bc…9504backed Spurs	57c	39,000$22,230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,770	54	59.3%32 W · 22 L	+5.4wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf3a4…097fbacked Thunder	2c	38,655$960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$959.71	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+2.9wins	+0.22per pick	39cpaid	+62.1%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Thunder	41c	38,537$15,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,800	101	58.4%59 W · 42 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Thunder	40c	38,000$15,310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,310	175	53.7%94 W · 81 L	+7.1wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Thunder	41c	37,524$15,241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,240.85	1,286	50.8%653 W · 633 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Thunder	24c	37,123$8,759 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,759.27	360	23.1%83 W · 277 L	-15.6wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-49.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6d6…be17backed Thunder	41c	36,585$15,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,000	104	48.1%50 W · 54 L	-7.3wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Thunder	41c	36,585$15,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,000	116	54.3%63 W · 53 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1a9…e2dbbacked Spurs	71c	35,070$24,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,170.37	22	63.6%14 W · 8 L	+1.7wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18f0…3d5ebacked Thunder	6c	34,350$2,116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,116.18	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.9wins	+0.11per pick	26cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60cc…ff9bbacked Thunder	19c	32,461$6,240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,240	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-10%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Thunder	41c	32,195$13,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,200	148	57.4%85 W · 63 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Thunder	32c	31,179$9,898 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,898.33	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Thunder	24c	28,799$6,912 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,911.76	313	45%141 W · 172 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5877…d894backed Thunder	34c	28,724$9,766 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,766.07	90	43.3%39 W · 51 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42a6…cb72backed Thunder	7c	28,665$2,003 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,002.59	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.25per pick	45cpaid	-75%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fc6…5d88backed Spurs	78c	28,220$21,985 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,235.52	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	73cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder	41c	27,707$11,360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,359.75	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked Thunder	40c	25,671$10,393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,393.34	32	59.4%19 W · 13 L	+4.8wins	+0.15per pick	44cpaid	+17%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Spurs	72c	25,400$18,303 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,096.81	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41f4…3eacbacked Thunder	43c	25,376$10,811 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,811.35	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.9wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Spurs	60c	25,000$15,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,000	99	45.5%45 W · 54 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x462d…ce9bbacked Thunder	36c	24,948$9,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,000	73	53.4%39 W · 34 L	+2.6wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Thunder	41c	24,390$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	637	46.6%297 W · 340 L	-16.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa099…94febacked Thunder	41c	24,390$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-2.8wins	-0.35per pick	47cpaid	-75.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4ef6…958abacked Spurs	60c	24,350$14,610 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,740	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Thunder	28c	24,000$6,720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,720	1,085	63.6%690 W · 395 L	+86.7wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+13%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x60d0…2e36backed Thunder	1c	22,625$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.74	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x929c…fe32backed Thunder	25c	22,396$5,631 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,630.77	25	40%10 W · 15 L	+2.2wins	+0.09per pick	31cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x90ed…b5bcbacked Thunder	16c	22,220$3,466 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,466.3	33	33.3%11 W · 22 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	+65.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x853e…0d8cbacked Thunder	41c	22,000$9,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,020	120	42.5%51 W · 69 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Thunder	11c	21,524$2,358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,358.28	1,190	32%381 W · 809 L	-58.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x597e…cd70backed Thunder	21c	20,244$4,210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,210	41	43.9%18 W · 23 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Thunder	10c	20,126$2,043 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,043.17	190	33.7%64 W · 126 L	+8.3wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Thunder	0c	20,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	679	11%75 W · 604 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-11%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Thunder	40c	20,000$8,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,999.99	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Thunder	39c	19,852$7,724 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,724.28	60	43.3%26 W · 34 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Thunder	41c	19,512$8,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,000	906	50.2%455 W · 451 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Spurs	59c	19,322$11,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,921.83	73	42.5%31 W · 42 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb19c…0e99backed Spurs	60c	19,000$11,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,600.01	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.15per pick	60cpaid	+41.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbae0…2147backed Thunder	41c	18,999$7,790 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,789.59	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.15per pick	55cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Spurs	60c	18,750$11,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,500	34	67.6%23 W · 11 L	+4.2wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Thunder	36c	17,657$6,353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,353.22	56	50%28 W · 28 L	-4.7wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked Spurs	60c	17,500$10,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,000	66	51.5%34 W · 32 L	+6.0wins	+0.09per pick	42cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Spurs	65c	17,190$11,217 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,973.45	64	59.4%38 W · 26 L	+5.1wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+11%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4718…e2e8backed Thunder	29c	17,065$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+2.8wins	+0.20per pick	37cpaid	+126.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb1e9…898bbacked Thunder	1c	17,044$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.21	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc8aa…ae12backed Thunder	26c	17,000$4,490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,489.95	78	29.5%23 W · 55 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Spurs	68c	16,984$11,466 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,517.87	566	46.5%263 W · 303 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Thunder vs. Spursthis page
1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5No won
Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 13.5No won
Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5No won
De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 1.5No won
Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Jalen Williams: Points O/U 13.5No won
Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 8.5No won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5No won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Spurs won
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Spurs won
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Spurs won
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Spurs won
Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 17.5No won
Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Under won
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Under won
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Under won
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Under won
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Under won
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Under won
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Under won
Thunder vs. Spurs: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
Thunder vs. Spurs: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Thunder vs. Spurs

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event