NBA · resolved market
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0e7de7d2729c537f04357bda79608fa655f5c8124944f7aca756c916a16307e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,754
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,069
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,754 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 33c | 19,299$6,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,322.98 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a9…e2dbbacked Yes | 60c | 16,634$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,634.17 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed Yes | 65c | 12,247$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,246.8 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5af4…a7dfbacked No | 41c | 10,000$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,099.97 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 61c | 9,977$6,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,891.5 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked No | 40c | 7,317$2,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,892.15 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa538…12c3backed Yes | 58c | 4,288$2,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,801.11 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +7.1wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed No | 38c | 3,928$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.31 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed No | 41c | 2,191$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.95 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…9a1fbacked No | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…fdc6backed No | 41c | 1,796$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.88 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…9cfbbacked Yes | 63c | 1,557$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.1 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 41c | 1,102$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.82 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2f…3531backed No | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 31c | 750.47$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.65 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…920fbacked Yes | 60c | 686.56$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.56 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…0c11backed Yes | 64c | 622.19$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.19 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked No | 5c | 590.79$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.84 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9caf…e8bdbacked No | 42c | 500.03$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 330 | 49.1%162 W · 168 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00b9…4ca6backed No | 42c | 330.99$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.02 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Yes | 59c | 309.36$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.84 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…672ebacked Yes | 59c | 303.44$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.44 | 137 | 59.9%82 W · 55 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked No | 39c | 302$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.78 | 473 | 54.8%259 W · 214 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed No | 39c | 298$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.22 | 314 | 55.1%173 W · 141 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 300 | 55.7%167 W · 133 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5a…07b6backed Yes | 59c | 237.29$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.29 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Yes | 53c | 230$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.1 | 560 | 50.4%282 W · 278 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed No | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked No | 40c | 199.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.36 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Yes | 59c | 199.99$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 412 | 27.4%113 W · 299 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c9…5e53backed No | 38c | 199.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 305 | 44.6%136 W · 169 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…3824backed Yes | 59c | 195.46$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.46 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfd…038bbacked No | 42c | 191.75$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f83…3af9backed No | 41c | 191.29$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.43 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc04…1c43backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0a…e172backed Yes | 59c | 167.39$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.63 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…10c0backed Yes | 60c | 165$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +5.0wins | +0.22per pick | 57cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6265…0d9fbacked Yes | 58c | 100.04$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.02 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked No | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 249 | 49%122 W · 127 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed No | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed No | 41c | 92.78$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.79 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…68a0backed Yes | 55c | 89.97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.49 | 153 | 51%78 W · 75 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78ee…565bbacked Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd032…5136backed Yes | 59c | 85.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.04 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbc…3122backed Yes | 61c | 82.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.27 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 23c | 78.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | +26.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e1…06bbbacked Yes | 68c | 73.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.14 | 137 | 57.7%79 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8912…1712backed No | 47c | 70$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e44…9d02backed Yes | 58c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x085b…ab9fbacked Yes | 47c | 69.06$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.35 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Yes | 59c | 68.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.03 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed No | 38c | 67.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3e…ab88backed No | 45c | 67.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa3…ea8dbacked Yes | 60c | 65.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5381…f932backed No | 46c | 65.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Yes | 59c | 62.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29db…19c3backed No | 42c | 58.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa10…065abacked No | 42c | 53.61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6711…1485backed Yes | 63c | 52.55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 60cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…8407backed No | 42c | 52.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x284a…8759backed Yes | 64c | 52.25$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…bdc1backed No | 39c | 52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe723…c3aabacked Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed No | 33c | 51.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -7.8wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…c14abacked Yes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d970backed Yes | 59c | 47.8$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9078…f1d7backed Yes | 59c | 45.43$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf89…0fb1backed No | 45c | 44.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc98e…2341backed Yes | 62c | 42.26$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1da…f678backed Yes | 69c | 41.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6795…4a4cbacked Yes | 60c | 41.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x565c…f3c0backed Yes | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed No | 33c | 35.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae5…8386backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5aeb…42d4backed Yes | 57c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 275 | 39.6%109 W · 166 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab42…fd88backed Yes | 59c | 34.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2617…4129backed Yes | 59c | 34.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 317 | 48.9%155 W · 162 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x920e…7873backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 256 | 42.2%108 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x276b…add4backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f48…8275backed Yes | 62c | 32.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85ee…79a9backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes | 59c | 32.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd76d…c5c6backed Yes | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9e…5347backed Yes | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 42c | 27.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 333 | 56.2%187 W · 146 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9e…b936backed No | 45c | 26.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x621a…3e19backed Yes | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dd…812fbacked Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ae00backed Yes | 62c | 24.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked No | 42c | 24.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 60c | 23.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 111 | 36%40 W · 71 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb6…9e4dbacked Yes | 61c | 19.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 1.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 8.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Spurs won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Thunder vs. SpursSpurs won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.