TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,169
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,210

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,169 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7200…9299backed Yes46c2,985$1,375 inLost-$1,374.8936954.7%202 W · 167 L+28.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No53c2,500$1,325 inWon+$1,1752,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e85…788bbacked Yes36c1,605$580 inLost-$580.2415651.9%81 W · 75 L+14.8wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed No53c819.8$434 inWon+$385.3113161.8%81 W · 50 L+13.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa9a6…0009backed Yes37c614.12$225 inLost-$224.884254.8%23 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9caf…e8bdbacked No55c498.02$273 inWon+$225.3933049.1%162 W · 168 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7987…884abacked No72c414.36$300 inWon+$114.3625850%129 W · 129 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6090…06e0backed No70c350.47$245 inWon+$105.141471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+18.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed No64c234.38$150 inWon+$84.381,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7efd…caedbacked No63c200$126 inWon+$749975.8%75 W · 24 L+16.3wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+28%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xabdd…2d96backed No67c200$134 inWon+$6660267.3%405 W · 197 L+46.2wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+11.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa804…bdc1backed Yes29c178$52 inLost-$52.127237.5%27 W · 45 L-7.6wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-20.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3947…6e98backed Yes30c168.8$51 inLost-$50.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd130…5863backed Yes37c135.16$50 inLost-$501030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed No72c125.61$90 inWon+$35.1765762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9201…e578backed No75c125.59$94 inWon+$31.42352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2baf…8023backed No63c110$69 inWon+$4143752.6%230 W · 207 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e25…d2ffbacked Yes30c106.67$32 inLost-$32966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+23.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7a1…7c9dbacked No62c100$62 inWon+$3813764.2%88 W · 49 L+15.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3b34…a646backed Yes28c85.71$24 inLost-$2440%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e3…99a1backed Yes33c75.76$25 inLost-$253941%16 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x815b…a1c7backed Yes42c72.14$30 inLost-$303740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e40…1945backed No71c70$50 inWon+$20.32568%17 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+11.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed No60c59.96$36 inWon+$24.2333556.7%190 W · 145 L+26.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed No55c50$28 inWon+$22.580440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed No53c49.46$26 inWon+$23.2537652.4%197 W · 179 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c26…c2d0backed Yes32c45.45$14 inLost-$14.452653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc78d…0bbdbacked No53c37.64$20 inWon+$17.691250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No69c28.94$20 inWon+$9.0733356.2%187 W · 146 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x938a…e0edbacked No74c27.9$21 inWon+$7.155352.8%28 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed No67c20$13 inWon+$6.696956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked No70c17.55$12 inWon+$5.2926957.2%154 W · 115 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c5d…3194backed No64c15.74$10 inWon+$5.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.