TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$182,589
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$196,970

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $182,589 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfea3…d227backed Under35c22,329$7,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,484.4315644.9%70 W · 86 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Over65c20,000$13,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,0008451.2%43 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over59c14,400$8,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,532.0830551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f4b…bb93backed Over79c13,005$10,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,304.259354.8%51 W · 42 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Under55c10,000$5,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,505.0228056.8%159 W · 121 L+22.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under22c9,935$2,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,711.0656646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over52c8,441$4,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,391.31,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under28c7,528$2,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,414.858,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfec8…50f7backed Under68c7,406$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,405.595567.3%37 W · 18 L+6.2wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+24.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over65c6,012$3,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,907.7764948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Under35c5,092$1,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,309.831644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab6b…f517backed Over0c4,983$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.893040%12 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d4…ad01backed Over44c4,668$2,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,044.029558.9%56 W · 39 L+13.3wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+27.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Over49c4,105$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00011558.3%67 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+88.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over73c3,446$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50052461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81b0…ad6dbacked Over31c3,270$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,013.59933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over64c3,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,919.992860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+27.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over64c2,955$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90024159.8%144 W · 97 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over54c2,858$1,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,543.5893148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under34c2,507$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,646.651,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ef8…8712backed Over66c2,284$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5006048.3%29 W · 31 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd9f…9b0fbacked Over52c2,203$1,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,145.65333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x191b…5b67backed Over46c2,192$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed Under35c2,137$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,389.033740.5%15 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over45c2,082$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936.8437755.2%208 W · 169 L+23.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+60.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under34c1,868$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,233.976,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b73…8688backed Under60c1,673$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.77771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Under34c1,672$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,103.4431345.7%143 W · 170 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f8a…d061backed Over48c1,667$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78a2…9d46backed Over66c1,522$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006662.1%41 W · 25 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under45c1,488$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.72,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Over47c1,314$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.5613464.2%86 W · 48 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick59cpaid-2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over42c1,292$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.269848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2978…b511backed Over63c1,269$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8007835.9%28 W · 50 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under57c1,232$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.5395452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over36c1,176$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.155251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under31c1,162$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.6379650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Over67c1,010$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.820352.7%107 W · 96 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89e6…5501backed Under35c994$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.17532%24 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Under52c898.33$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.6652861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x72a6…cfefbacked Over45c822.49$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3705839.7%23 W · 35 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under25c817.58$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.952150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c9b…7349backed Over76c786.73$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60021574.4%160 W · 55 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over35c679.99$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.931222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Over69c649.75$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.2518853.2%100 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Under57c623.74$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.9633837.3%126 W · 212 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under35c612.12$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.881,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under25c599.04$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.281,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Over67c571.73$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.067146.5%33 W · 38 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc6c0…2713backed Under57c526.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.321346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Under49c508.55$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.3620946.9%98 W · 111 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7805…1baebacked Over72c500.91$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.273767.6%25 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Under74c478$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.485742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Under35c460$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29912146.3%56 W · 65 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08be…bea8backed Over66c457.13$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010861.1%66 W · 42 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under25c431.96$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.972,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1999…b6e5backed Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001258.3%7 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b90…672ebacked Over65c382.35$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25013759.9%82 W · 55 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ac2…f949backed Over66c379.17$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2506956.5%39 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under32c378.98$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.711,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over49c375.58$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.033,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under35c353.15$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.8821147.4%100 W · 111 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6e1…06bbbacked Over66c318.18$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21013757.7%79 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1d7…d31abacked Under54c307.63$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.8821640.3%87 W · 129 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+43.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over44c307.61$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.411,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Over45c299.65$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.889850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over47c286.73$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.132045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under43c280.06$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.631,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Over52c270.37$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.5165762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over57c260.06$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.231,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x085b…ab9fbacked Under39c257.36$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.829941.4%41 W · 58 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4571…a952backed Under80c250.76$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.762100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+70.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Over25c250.11$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.9716429.9%49 W · 115 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae6d…468dbacked Over55c243.4$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.87757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e3e…a78abacked Under56c236.35$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.9914237.3%53 W · 89 L-11.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over65c225.01$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.6184443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x272d…bc2fbacked Over45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003941%16 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e13…e968backed Over59c220.51$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-41.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x83e4…757dbacked Under56c216.87$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.421553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.19per pick35cpaid+100.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Under40c209.47$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.113647.2%17 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+32%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over50c207.83$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.9246959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Over49c199.99$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9838242.9%164 W · 218 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Over23c193.63$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5440440.1%162 W · 242 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf5e…95e3backed Under40c192.56$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.5921046.2%97 W · 113 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over77c192.55$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.2636051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Under40c192.4$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.4455751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61d3…189abacked Under40c192.4$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.4421849.5%108 W · 110 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a4c…67e4backed Under56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.575550.9%28 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde6…764bbacked Under57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4444052.5%231 W · 209 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Over52c171.73$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.1537652.4%197 W · 179 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under50c168.01$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.561,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc51…674abacked Under44c163.78$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.882755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under49c156.76$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.951,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x371e…0f81backed Over65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007448.6%36 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43bc…fcdfbacked Over67c148.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001850%9 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe881…fb3dbacked Over65c140.57$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.372958.6%17 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under23c139.17$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.3125045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Over24c134.47$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6521242%89 W · 123 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+8.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1f2…4f6dbacked Over66c129.55$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854746.8%22 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Under47c129$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.6225944%114 W · 145 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.