NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d64df5aa4197acd5aa29ca4a38972dcc70b01343e0454cf1988266b6d5784d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $182,589
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $196,970
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $182,589 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Under | 35c | 22,329$7,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,484.43 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Over | 65c | 20,000$13,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,000 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 59c | 14,400$8,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,532.08 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4b…bb93backed Over | 79c | 13,005$10,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,304.25 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Under | 55c | 10,000$5,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,505.02 | 280 | 56.8%159 W · 121 L | +22.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Under | 22c | 9,935$2,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,711.06 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 52c | 8,441$4,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,391.3 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 28c | 7,528$2,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,414.85 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec8…50f7backed Under | 68c | 7,406$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,405.59 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 65c | 6,012$3,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,907.77 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Under | 35c | 5,092$1,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,309.8 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab6b…f517backed Over | 0c | 4,983$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d4…ad01backed Over | 44c | 4,668$2,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,044.02 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Over | 49c | 4,105$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Over | 73c | 3,446$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…ad6dbacked Over | 31c | 3,270$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.59 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 64c | 3,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.99 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 64c | 2,955$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 241 | 59.8%144 W · 97 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 54c | 2,858$1,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,543.58 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 34c | 2,507$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,646.65 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef8…8712backed Over | 66c | 2,284$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9f…9b0fbacked Over | 52c | 2,203$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191b…5b67backed Over | 46c | 2,192$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…b3b4backed Under | 35c | 2,137$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.03 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over | 45c | 2,082$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.84 | 377 | 55.2%208 W · 169 L | +23.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 34c | 1,868$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.97 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…8688backed Under | 60c | 1,673$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.77 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 34c | 1,672$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.44 | 313 | 45.7%143 W · 170 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8a…d061backed Over | 48c | 1,667$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…9d46backed Over | 66c | 1,522$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 45c | 1,488$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.7 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Over | 47c | 1,314$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.56 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 42c | 1,292$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.2 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Over | 63c | 1,269$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 57c | 1,232$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.53 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 36c | 1,176$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.1 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 31c | 1,162$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.63 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Over | 67c | 1,010$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.8 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89e6…5501backed Under | 35c | 994$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.1 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 52c | 898.33$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.66 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72a6…cfefbacked Over | 45c | 822.49$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 25c | 817.58$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.9 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9b…7349backed Over | 76c | 786.73$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 35c | 679.99$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.9 | 312 | 22.1%69 W · 243 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6303…9556backed Over | 69c | 649.75$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.25 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Under | 57c | 623.74$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.96 | 338 | 37.3%126 W · 212 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 35c | 612.12$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.88 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 25c | 599.04$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.28 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 67c | 571.73$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.06 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c0…2713backed Under | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Under | 49c | 508.55$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.36 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7805…1baebacked Over | 72c | 500.91$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.27 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Under | 74c | 478$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.4 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Under | 35c | 460$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…bea8backed Over | 66c | 457.13$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 108 | 61.1%66 W · 42 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 25c | 431.96$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.97 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1999…b6e5backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…672ebacked Over | 65c | 382.35$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 137 | 59.9%82 W · 55 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…f949backed Over | 66c | 379.17$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 32c | 378.98$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.71 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 49c | 375.58$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.03 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 35c | 353.15$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.88 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e1…06bbbacked Over | 66c | 318.18$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 137 | 57.7%79 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…d31abacked Under | 54c | 307.63$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.88 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 44c | 307.61$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.41 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 45c | 299.65$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.8 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 47c | 286.73$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.1 | 320 | 45.3%145 W · 175 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 43c | 280.06$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.63 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Over | 52c | 270.37$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.51 | 657 | 62.3%409 W · 248 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over | 57c | 260.06$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.23 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x085b…ab9fbacked Under | 39c | 257.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.82 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4571…a952backed Under | 80c | 250.76$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Over | 25c | 250.11$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.97 | 164 | 29.9%49 W · 115 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae6d…468dbacked Over | 55c | 243.4$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.87 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked Under | 56c | 236.35$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.99 | 142 | 37.3%53 W · 89 L | -11.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 65c | 225.01$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.61 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e13…e968backed Over | 59c | 220.51$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83e4…757dbacked Under | 56c | 216.87$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.42 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +100.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Under | 40c | 209.47$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.11 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 50c | 207.83$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.92 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Over | 49c | 199.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 382 | 42.9%164 W · 218 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Over | 23c | 193.63$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.54 | 404 | 40.1%162 W · 242 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Under | 40c | 192.56$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.59 | 210 | 46.2%97 W · 113 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 77c | 192.55$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.26 | 360 | 51.7%186 W · 174 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 40c | 192.4$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.44 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Under | 40c | 192.4$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.44 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4c…67e4backed Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…764bbacked Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 440 | 52.5%231 W · 209 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Over | 52c | 171.73$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.15 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 50c | 168.01$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.56 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc51…674abacked Under | 44c | 163.78$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.88 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 49c | 156.76$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.95 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371e…0f81backed Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43bc…fcdfbacked Over | 67c | 148.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…fb3dbacked Over | 65c | 140.57$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.37 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Under | 23c | 139.17$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.31 | 250 | 45.6%114 W · 136 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Over | 24c | 134.47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.65 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…4f6dbacked Over | 66c | 129.55$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Under | 47c | 129$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.62 | 259 | 44%114 W · 145 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 1.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 8.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Spurs won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Thunder vs. SpursSpurs won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.