NBA · resolved market

Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7472ed6078978b679f569d0dab640552cdbe1d674a271699f8008f6b91e2743f

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: May 28, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $696,420
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $783,824

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $696,420 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 355 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x966c…9b1abacked Over	52c	100,000$52,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51,999.99	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked Under	47c	80,138$37,665 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42,473.01	59	40.7%24 W · 35 L	-3.7wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5af4…a7dfbacked Over	53c	77,276$40,956 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40,956.36	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Under	50c	75,240$37,258 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37,982.23	168	46.4%78 W · 90 L	-13.2wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3535…a775backed Under	48c	50,002$24,001 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26,000.81	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+1.8wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under	48c	40,202$19,321 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,881.11	649	48.2%313 W · 336 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over	51c	32,343$16,448 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,447.66	552	51.3%283 W · 269 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Under	49c	28,411$13,956 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,454.97	596	46.1%275 W · 321 L	-16.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Over	48c	24,817$11,932 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,932	857	42.6%365 W · 492 L	-15.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Under	56c	24,446$13,712 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,733.96	172	51.7%89 W · 83 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over	45c	20,023$9,010 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,010	566	46.5%263 W · 303 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e5f…6816backed Under	49c	12,306$6,030 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,276.12	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	+33.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca28…49debacked Over	53c	10,874$5,720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,720.28	28	50%14 W · 14 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b3a…b6bfbacked Under	49c	10,204$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,204.08	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.5wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+100.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over	50c	10,000$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	253	52.6%133 W · 120 L	+7.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6d6…be17backed Over	52c	9,615$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	104	48.1%50 W · 54 L	-7.3wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over	52c	9,555$4,969 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,968.6	201	55.7%112 W · 89 L	+13.0wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over	31c	9,409$2,890 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,890.49	305	51.5%157 W · 148 L	+5.9wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfec8…50f7backed Under	74c	8,999$6,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,299.11	55	67.3%37 W · 18 L	+6.2wins	+0.11per pick	56cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over	34c	8,382$2,829 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,828.84	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1103…bb2fbacked Over	50c	5,888$2,944 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,944	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under	73c	5,406$3,947 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,459.17	241	59.8%144 W · 97 L	+9.8wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under	59c	4,852$2,879 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,973.01	538	42%226 W · 312 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked Under	48c	4,583$2,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,383.33	49	51%25 W · 24 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under	47c	4,280$1,992 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,287.7	1,341	29.9%401 W · 940 L	-53.8wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x81b0…ad6dbacked Over	23c	4,022$925 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$925.07	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over	51c	3,784$1,930 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,930.09	503	46.5%234 W · 269 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over	53c	3,726$1,975 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,974.77	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d53…eb1abacked Under	46c	3,700$1,702 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,997.99	43	62.8%27 W · 16 L	+5.5wins	+0.13per pick	50cpaid	+26.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Over	55c	3,642$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	115	58.3%67 W · 48 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+88.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4852…67c4backed Under	49c	3,633$1,780 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,852.65	56	55.4%31 W · 25 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Under	48c	3,598$1,721 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,876.79	102	48%49 W · 53 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Under	56c	3,500$1,975 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,525	280	56.8%159 W · 121 L	+22.2wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+50.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over	66c	3,368$2,215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,214.67	524	61.6%323 W · 201 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed Under	48c	3,360$1,613 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,747.42	30	30%9 W · 21 L	-5.6wins	-0.19per pick	49cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over	51c	3,332$1,699 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,699.5	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Over	44c	3,265$1,421 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,421.48	931	45.8%426 W · 505 L	-25.4wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under	59c	3,217$1,890 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,327.19	428	42.5%182 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under	47c	3,000$1,410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,590.06	906	50.2%455 W · 451 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over	42c	3,000$1,262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,261.64	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under	48c	2,917$1,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,516.67	142	51.4%73 W · 69 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Under	62c	2,851$1,770 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,081.56	313	45.7%143 W · 170 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under	75c	2,681$2,019 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$661.94	454	45.2%205 W · 249 L	+5.7wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	35c	2,572$890 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$890.44	1,317	47.8%629 W · 688 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	42c	2,481$1,042 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,439.26	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over	4c	2,405$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.5	312	22.1%69 W · 243 L	+14.9wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	+79.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	47c	2,219$1,045 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,174.1	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over	52c	2,213$1,141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,140.55	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under	48c	2,142$1,028 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,113.86	148	42.6%63 W · 85 L	-7.8wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdeef…267abacked Over	53c	2,081$1,103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,103	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-3.2wins	-0.32per pick	52cpaid	-60%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under	74c	2,077$1,541 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$535.6	1,226	37.4%458 W · 768 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over	43c	2,074$893 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$892.54	931	48.4%451 W · 480 L	+34.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under	49c	2,065$1,008 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,057.75	1,433	47.2%676 W · 757 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over	46c	2,054$951 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$950.87	320	45.3%145 W · 175 L	-7.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under	49c	2,015$978 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,037.81	199	59.3%118 W · 81 L	+22.0wins	+0.11per pick	48cpaid	+27.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Over	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	136	42.6%58 W · 78 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9916…bcb2backed Over	50c	2,000$994 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$993.54	187	43.3%81 W · 106 L	-8.7wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	843	42.9%362 W · 481 L	-39.1wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over	51c	1,980$1,002 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,002.08	184	45.7%84 W · 100 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa98f…ab1abacked Over	52c	1,923$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.9wins	-0.24per pick	49cpaid	-59.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Over	52c	1,923$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	87	44.8%39 W · 48 L	-8.7wins	-0.10per pick	55cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over	39c	1,903$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$749.66	360	51.7%186 W · 174 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Under	46c	1,887$868 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,019.17	492	44.3%218 W · 274 L	+11.8wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Over	53c	1,887$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	52	65.4%34 W · 18 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	69cpaid	-5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Under	48c	1,837$882 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$955.49	44	45.5%20 W · 24 L	+2.9wins	+0.07per pick	39cpaid	+26.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under	48c	1,828$878 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$950.7	650	45.1%293 W · 357 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under	73c	1,612$1,176 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$436.04	342	55.6%190 W · 152 L	+28.2wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+36%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over	56c	1,608$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	954	52.3%499 W · 455 L	-17.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84fe…be09backed Over	53c	1,570$832 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$832.1	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+1.5wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under	73c	1,395$1,013 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$382.07	1,200	51.6%619 W · 581 L	+66.5wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over	42c	1,354$571 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$570.94	528	61.9%327 W · 201 L	+32.3wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	63c	1,339$842 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$496.94	308	42.9%132 W · 176 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1980…3340backed Over	40c	1,337$530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$530.21	71	52.1%37 W · 34 L	-3.4wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	-10%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Over	52c	1,315$684 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$683.9	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1252…e6e0backed Over	57c	1,237$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	49	49%24 W · 25 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfaf…d959backed Over	53c	1,226$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.7wins	-0.24per pick	52cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under	47c	1,225$581 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$643.67	169	46.7%79 W · 90 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Under	48c	1,200$576 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$623.99	689	44%303 W · 386 L	+16.8wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x88e8…90dcbacked Over	53c	1,169$620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$619.7	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under	47c	1,100$517 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$582.99	451	46.1%208 W · 243 L	-10.4wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed Under	49c	1,100$539 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$560.99	89	51.7%46 W · 43 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over	51c	1,077$549 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$549.28	212	47.2%100 W · 112 L	-5.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Over	37c	1,067$397 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$396.79	209	46.9%98 W · 111 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over	38c	1,052$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.76	469	59.1%277 W · 192 L	+28.6wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Over	51c	1,020$525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$525.14	121	46.3%56 W · 65 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over	36c	1,007$363 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$362.73	1,048	51.7%542 W · 506 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under	54c	1,003$540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$463.07	313	45%141 W · 172 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4c5…378abacked Under	48c	1,000$480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$520	157	44.6%70 W · 87 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under	47c	1,000$470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$530	256	51.2%131 W · 125 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9453…6952backed Over	53c	999.99$530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$530	337	49.3%166 W · 171 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Over	63c	990.31$620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$620	188	53.2%100 W · 88 L	-9.9wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Over	51c	980.39$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	54	35.2%19 W · 35 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Over	51c	980.39$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	39	35.9%14 W · 25 L	-4.4wins	-0.11per pick	47cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0a54…7c49backed Over	51c	964.8$492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$492.05	44	65.9%29 W · 15 L	+8.9wins	+0.20per pick	46cpaid	+55.7%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0xd2ab…8432backed Over	52c	961.54$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	54	46.3%25 W · 29 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x45d1…83dabacked Over	52c	961.54$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	51	60.8%31 W · 20 L	+5.2wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over	45c	945.34$427 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$427.33	250	45.6%114 W · 136 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over	52c	941.85$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$489.76	112	42%47 W · 65 L	-10.1wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under	48c	927.81$445 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$482.46	156	44.9%70 W · 86 L	-9.1wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Over	53c	884.09$469 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$468.57	186	50%93 W · 93 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5this page
1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5No won
Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 13.5No won
Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5No won
De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 1.5No won
Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Jalen Williams: Points O/U 13.5No won
Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 8.5No won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5No won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Spurs won
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Spurs won
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Spurs won
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Spurs won
Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 17.5No won
Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Thunder vs. SpursSpurs won
Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Under won
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Under won
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Under won
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Under won
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Under won
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Under won
Thunder vs. Spurs: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
Thunder vs. Spurs: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event