NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaeed2fb5cf4ee503ba41e872ca2db0d7f3e04225dfd63fa109b0581a0d387f6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $918,717
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,002,924
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $918,717 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 526 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x966c…9b1abacked Thunder | 50c | 100,000$50,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,000 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cd…392ebacked Thunder | 50c | 98,405$49,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,202.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a8…52f9backed Spurs | 50c | 80,000$40,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,000 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Spurs | 49c | 78,251$38,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,625.68 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Spurs | 50c | 50,000$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,000 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Thunder | 50c | 50,000$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Spurs | 52c | 48,043$25,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,862.62 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Thunder | 46c | 38,859$18,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,050.32 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Spurs | 49c | 37,939$18,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,242.12 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Spurs | 50c | 37,695$18,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,847.61 | 354 | 38.1%135 W · 219 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Spurs | 53c | 34,768$18,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,203.22 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Thunder | 50c | 30,000$14,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,899.98 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Spurs | 50c | 29,412$14,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,706 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Thunder | 51c | 28,017$14,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,277.49 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Spurs | 50c | 19,283$9,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,641.48 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4852…67c4backed Thunder | 50c | 17,338$8,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,669 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Thunder | 50c | 17,161$8,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,581.59 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…cff4backed Thunder | 50c | 15,600$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,800 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Thunder | 50c | 13,000$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…9d83backed Thunder | 51c | 11,765$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea97…c69abacked Spurs | 50c | 11,401$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,700.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 50c | 10,351$5,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,175.6 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1350…f908backed Spurs | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Thunder | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb56d…d621backed Thunder | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Thunder | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5eb…93bfbacked Spurs | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d6…be17backed Thunder | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…a1c5backed Thunder | 51c | 9,586$4,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,888.84 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Thunder | 51c | 9,112$4,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,647.09 | 621 | 44%273 W · 348 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Spurs | 70c | 8,891$6,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,667.3 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Thunder | 51c | 8,500$4,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,335 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2821…a869backed Thunder | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9db3…0d97backed Spurs | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6879…a58dbacked Spurs | 50c | 7,890$3,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,945.15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Thunder | 49c | 7,500$3,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,679.93 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Spurs | 50c | 7,397$3,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,664.46 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Thunder | 50c | 7,325$3,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,662.21 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Spurs | 49c | 7,142$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,642.42 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Thunder | 49c | 6,910$3,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,411.69 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Spurs | 50c | 6,888$3,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,444 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Thunder | 50c | 6,332$3,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,152.79 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Spurs | 50c | 6,131$3,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,065.42 | 220 | 36.8%81 W · 139 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Thunder | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Spurs | 51c | 5,882$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,882.35 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Thunder | 50c | 5,774$2,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,868.73 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Thunder | 19c | 5,730$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.97 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Thunder | 47c | 5,580$2,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,637.05 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Spurs | 50c | 5,450$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.86 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd408…e85cbacked Spurs | 56c | 5,357$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,357.14 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Thunder | 50c | 5,058$2,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,529.09 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Thunder | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 116 | 39.7%46 W · 70 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Thunder | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.94 | 237 | 42.6%101 W · 136 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Spurs | 59c | 4,749$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.21 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Thunder | 50c | 4,500$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d4…ad01backed Thunder | 50c | 4,010$2,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,005 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Spurs | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x73da…b7acbacked Spurs | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 200 | 57%114 W · 86 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed Thunder | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -5.6wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Thunder | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.99 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Thunder | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.92 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Thunder | 3c | 3,999$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.98 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9e27backed Spurs | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.57 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Spurs | 51c | 3,844$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,883.51 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…8f58backed Spurs | 50c | 3,700$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Thunder | 49c | 3,564$1,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,746.26 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Spurs | 51c | 3,500$1,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Thunder | 50c | 3,300$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Thunder | 51c | 3,045$1,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,552.81 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Spurs | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Thunder | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Spurs | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…5443backed Spurs | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.97 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…f949backed Spurs | 50c | 2,946$1,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,473 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Thunder | 49c | 2,882$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412.01 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Spurs | 50c | 2,750$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.57 | 199 | 59.3%118 W · 81 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Thunder | 49c | 2,722$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.94 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Spurs | 61c | 2,671$1,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.61 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9678backed Spurs | 69c | 2,655$1,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.61 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Thunder | 39c | 2,575$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.44 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96a3…d944backed Thunder | 39c | 2,544$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Thunder | 44c | 2,520$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.97 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…24cebacked Spurs | 51c | 2,337$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.25 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +101.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8a…a5bcbacked Spurs | 51c | 2,302$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.95 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs | 50c | 2,288$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Thunder | 44c | 2,040$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.46 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Thunder | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e86…cb8fbacked Thunder | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Thunder | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc20…8c98backed Spurs | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3a…a56bbacked Thunder | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Spurs | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce0d…ca2cbacked Thunder | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed Spurs | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Thunder | 51c | 1,960$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.6 | 235 | 53.6%126 W · 109 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Thunder | 49c | 1,816$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.05 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Spurs | 54c | 1,671$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.74 | 232 | 51.7%120 W · 112 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Spurs | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.34 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Thunder | 50c | 1,618$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Spurs | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 1.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 8.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Spurs won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Thunder vs. SpursSpurs won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.