TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$130,236
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$157,086

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,236 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Over48c27,568$13,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,190.111,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under52c25,555$13,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,266.414538.6%56 W · 89 L-12.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over50c10,395$5,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,184.4956646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x462d…ce9bbacked Under52c9,524$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,524.47353.4%39 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over47c6,623$3,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,089.0164948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under50c6,604$3,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,280.9969848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over49c4,082$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0007963.3%50 W · 29 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under64c4,000$2,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.981,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x354b…4744backed Under52c2,885$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,384.622650%13 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f5…f3b5backed Under51c2,877$1,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.891181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick62cpaid+37.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f8a…d061backed Over36c1,891$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.61633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Under60c1,254$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.531354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over11c1,242$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.8331222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3c7…d601backed Over29c1,216$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3503043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over37c1,190$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.436,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Under67c1,185$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.2718853.2%100 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over32c1,185$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.9893148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over36c1,134$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.5232045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under33c1,125$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.752,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over44c1,110$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.591,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6e1…06bbbacked Under65c1,077$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.9213757.7%79 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over48c1,049$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.5155251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over14c1,009$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.52,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36066352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over39c996.24$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.7630551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.052,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c770.36$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.318,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over67c742.82$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50052461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over36c700$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25220155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Over35c700$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2455435.2%19 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Over46c652.17$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30013037.7%49 W · 81 L-14.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xae8f…1cc3backed Over41c609.76$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505446.3%25 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd130…5863backed Over64c609.38$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3901030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f09…1f55backed Under50c572.08$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23e4…e501backed Over36c555.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003557.1%20 W · 15 L+4.9wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+29.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under64c520$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.224955.8%139 W · 110 L+0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8640…cdf1backed Under39c505.33$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.331172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.28per pick44cpaid+57.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Under73c492.96$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.0319548.2%94 W · 101 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7984…638abacked Under63c400$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5453…65cebacked Over63c396.95$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Over35c382.77$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.973935.9%14 W · 25 L-4.4wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-25.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under54c377.26$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.321,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b90…672ebacked Over38c342.11$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13013759.9%82 W · 55 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x96ea…639abacked Under59c339.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.821952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xece7…6979backed Under63c316.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.4112147.1%57 W · 64 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Under38c263.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.3716147.2%76 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under42c254$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.0789850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cad…0758backed Over51c208.02$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.093243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b8d…6724backed Under60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8023140.3%93 W · 138 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed Under67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6647948.6%233 W · 246 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2366…580fbacked Under55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9011347.8%54 W · 59 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Under49c199.97$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.9938242.9%164 W · 218 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5440…c640backed Over57c180$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.65843.1%25 W · 33 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under61c167.57$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.351,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf5e…95e3backed Over45c164.32$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.9521046.2%97 W · 113 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x782c…38c2backed Over63c158.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006555.4%36 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Over50c140$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.5240548.4%196 W · 209 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1d7…d31abacked Over68c137.19$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.2121640.3%87 W · 129 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+43.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Over21c134.63$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2715648.1%75 W · 81 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Over55c133.54$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4533159.2%196 W · 135 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe53c…e569backed Under50c127.28$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.641747.1%8 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x589a…7690backed Under34c124$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822556%14 W · 11 L+4.9wins+0.19per pick37cpaid+83.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over19c121.12$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0189048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa4e…eadfbacked Under42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.055337.7%20 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over15c116.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.551,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61d3…189abacked Under50c108.24$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1221849.5%108 W · 110 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e3e…a78abacked Over40c106.98$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4314237.3%53 W · 89 L-11.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over35c101.98$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6984342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5026745.3%121 W · 146 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5018850.5%95 W · 93 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Under65c83.27$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9133556.7%190 W · 145 L+26.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5ba0…1803backed Over49c80.53$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.461553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb32d…6d41backed Over38c78.79$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.94837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Over48c76$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4827450%137 W · 137 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under52c75$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.0815961%97 W · 62 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa11f…1252backed Over55c63.86$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1220247.5%96 W · 106 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6de9…a8e5backed Under64c63.21$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7636247.5%172 W · 190 L-0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc08…267abacked Under65c61.54$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.547948.1%38 W · 41 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3015044.7%67 W · 83 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Over36c59.59$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4515759.2%93 W · 64 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over36c56.69$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.421,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75a6…72aabacked Over49c56.1$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under51c46$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6939552.2%206 W · 189 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Under50c43.29$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.524445.5%20 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+26.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed Under54c42.52$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7513950.4%70 W · 69 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc185…7020backed Over70c40.81$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.572245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under64c40.1$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4460049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e43…4a34backed Over44c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.63540%14 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under61c39.92$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5725554.5%139 W · 116 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a0d…10c1backed Over50c39.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick63cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Over41c39.28$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166344.4%28 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Under52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.461,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Over47c33.1$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.714264.8%92 W · 50 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb8e1…9bc1backed Under65c30.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.655152.9%27 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xceba…a705backed Over47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Over35c29.98$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4921147.4%100 W · 111 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Over50c29.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8612055.8%67 W · 53 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over51c26.57$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6360250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under63c22.5$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.317043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.