NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe79988359cb7d7bcf4b8a622f959bebee4b94b07e337430e66a8213949b6d6bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $130,236
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $157,086
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,236 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 48c | 27,568$13,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,190.11 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 52c | 25,555$13,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,266.4 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Over | 50c | 10,395$5,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,184.49 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Under | 52c | 9,524$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,524.4 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 47c | 6,623$3,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,089.01 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 50c | 6,604$3,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,280.99 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 64c | 4,000$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.98 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x354b…4744backed Under | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.62 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed Under | 51c | 2,877$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.89 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 62cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8a…d061backed Over | 36c | 1,891$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.61 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 60c | 1,254$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.5 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 11c | 1,242$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.83 | 312 | 22.1%69 W · 243 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…d601backed Over | 29c | 1,216$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 37c | 1,190$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.43 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6303…9556backed Under | 67c | 1,185$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.27 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 32c | 1,185$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.98 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 36c | 1,134$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.52 | 320 | 45.3%145 W · 175 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 33c | 1,125$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.75 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 44c | 1,110$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.59 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e1…06bbbacked Under | 65c | 1,077$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.92 | 137 | 57.7%79 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 48c | 1,049$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.51 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 14c | 1,009$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.5 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 39c | 996.24$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.76 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.05 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 770.36$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.31 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Over | 67c | 742.82$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over | 36c | 700$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 35c | 700$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Over | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 130 | 37.7%49 W · 81 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…1cc3backed Over | 41c | 609.76$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd130…5863backed Over | 64c | 609.38$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…1f55backed Under | 50c | 572.08$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23e4…e501backed Over | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 64c | 520$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.2 | 249 | 55.8%139 W · 110 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8640…cdf1backed Under | 39c | 505.33$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.33 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 44cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 73c | 492.96$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.03 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7984…638abacked Under | 63c | 400$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked Over | 63c | 396.95$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Over | 35c | 382.77$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.97 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 54c | 377.26$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.32 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…672ebacked Over | 38c | 342.11$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 137 | 59.9%82 W · 55 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ea…639abacked Under | 59c | 339.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.82 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…6979backed Under | 63c | 316.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.41 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Under | 38c | 263.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.37 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 42c | 254$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.07 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cad…0758backed Over | 51c | 208.02$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.09 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8d…6724backed Under | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 231 | 40.3%93 W · 138 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Under | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 479 | 48.6%233 W · 246 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…580fbacked Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 49c | 199.97$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.99 | 382 | 42.9%164 W · 218 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5440…c640backed Over | 57c | 180$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 61c | 167.57$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.35 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Over | 45c | 164.32$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.95 | 210 | 46.2%97 W · 113 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782c…38c2backed Over | 63c | 158.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Over | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.52 | 405 | 48.4%196 W · 209 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…d31abacked Over | 68c | 137.19$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.21 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Over | 21c | 134.63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.27 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Over | 55c | 133.54$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.45 | 331 | 59.2%196 W · 135 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53c…e569backed Under | 50c | 127.28$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…7690backed Under | 34c | 124$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +83.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 19c | 121.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4e…eadfbacked Under | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 15c | 116.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Under | 50c | 108.24$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.12 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked Over | 40c | 106.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 142 | 37.3%53 W · 89 L | -11.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 35c | 101.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.69 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 188 | 50.5%95 W · 93 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 65c | 83.27$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | +26.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba0…1803backed Over | 49c | 80.53$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.46 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb32d…6d41backed Over | 38c | 78.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Over | 48c | 76$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 274 | 50%137 W · 137 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under | 52c | 75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 159 | 61%97 W · 62 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Over | 55c | 63.86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.12 | 202 | 47.5%96 W · 106 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed Under | 64c | 63.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.76 | 362 | 47.5%172 W · 190 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…267abacked Under | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Over | 36c | 59.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 157 | 59.2%93 W · 64 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 36c | 56.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a6…72aabacked Over | 49c | 56.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 51c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.69 | 395 | 52.2%206 W · 189 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Under | 50c | 43.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.52 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Under | 54c | 42.52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc185…7020backed Over | 70c | 40.81$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 64c | 40.1$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e43…4a34backed Over | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 61c | 39.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0d…10c1backed Over | 50c | 39.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Over | 41c | 39.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Over | 47c | 33.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 142 | 64.8%92 W · 50 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Under | 65c | 30.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceba…a705backed Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 35c | 29.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Over | 50c | 29.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 51c | 26.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 602 | 50.5%304 W · 298 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 63c | 22.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 170 | 43.5%74 W · 96 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 1.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 8.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Spurs won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Thunder vs. SpursSpurs won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.