NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9095c90158355c9c001debdf8b831b5df4c5ae416406ae18d0e4ac86c016ec8e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $220,610
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $225,869
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $220,610 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Thunder | 45c | 86,287$39,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,198.03 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Spurs | 54c | 49,177$26,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,550.15 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Spurs | 54c | 38,232$20,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,586.86 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x639c…31e2backed Thunder | 46c | 19,087$8,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,780 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Thunder | 46c | 18,400$8,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,464 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Spurs | 54c | 12,336$6,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,674.75 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Spurs | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,599.99 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa538…12c3backed Spurs | 54c | 9,300$5,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,278 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +7.1wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Spurs | 55c | 7,413$4,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,335.94 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed Spurs | 75c | 7,233$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.28 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Spurs | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Thunder | 46c | 6,000$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,759.97 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Spurs | 54c | 5,444$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,504.26 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Thunder | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.98 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Thunder | 49c | 4,755$2,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,347.97 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 46c | 4,673$2,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,140.95 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 36c | 4,441$1,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581.01 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0de…8048backed Spurs | 54c | 4,242$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,942.42 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -8.6wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Thunder | 27c | 3,572$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.32 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Spurs | 66c | 3,030$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.3 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Thunder | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Thunder | 46c | 2,703$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.15 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Thunder | 44c | 1,894$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.93 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7616…dd8cbacked Spurs | 55c | 1,794$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Spurs | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Spurs | 58c | 1,600$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 270 | 52.6%142 W · 128 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc920…7914backed Thunder | 46c | 1,399$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.48 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e6…036dbacked Spurs | 55c | 1,318$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.18 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Thunder | 46c | 1,265$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Thunder | 44c | 1,138$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.53 | 320 | 45.3%145 W · 175 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…ca29backed Thunder | 45c | 1,103$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.89 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Spurs | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae0…bf77backed Spurs | 54c | 999.94$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.97 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Thunder | 43c | 971.04$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.99 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs | 73c | 908.73$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.85 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Thunder | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…3038backed Thunder | 46c | 808.7$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Spurs | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bae…cec4backed Spurs | 55c | 782.42$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.09 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83f0…4209backed Spurs | 66c | 745.3$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.3 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6303…9556backed Spurs | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.27 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Thunder | 24c | 625.42$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.1 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Thunder | 26c | 600$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 657 | 62.3%409 W · 248 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd25…7d10backed Spurs | 54c | 568.93$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.71 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc04…1c43backed Spurs | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Thunder | 9c | 500$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.54 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Spurs | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Thunder | 45c | 499.98$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.99 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…a8f5backed Spurs | 71c | 499.57$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.01 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Thunder | 37c | 489.98$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.29 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec5…257ebacked Spurs | 54c | 480$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.8 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked Thunder | 24c | 476$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.24 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74ec…0959backed Spurs | 55c | 462.38$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.07 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Thunder | 46c | 417.39$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Spurs | 72c | 416.66$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.66 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Spurs | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 479 | 48.6%233 W · 246 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Thunder | 26c | 399.49$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.87 | 313 | 45.7%143 W · 170 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Spurs | 54c | 383.74$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.52 | 384 | 32.6%125 W · 259 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Spurs | 55c | 309.09$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.09 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Spurs | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Spurs | 54c | 269.04$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.76 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x085b…ab9fbacked Thunder | 22c | 225.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c28…cf00backed Spurs | 55c | 220.09$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +154.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Spurs | 66c | 204$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.36 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Spurs | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x272b…e58abacked Thunder | 46c | 193.48$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a6…4e6dbacked Thunder | 46c | 184$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1184…a836backed Spurs | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2b…e5e7backed Spurs | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…164bbacked Spurs | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Thunder | 46c | 180.1$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.55 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x634f…30a7backed Spurs | 55c | 176.62$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.48 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Spurs | 73c | 158.42$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.77 | 360 | 51.7%186 W · 174 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7190…3138backed Spurs | 55c | 154.53$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Spurs | 64c | 146.84$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.86 | 621 | 44%273 W · 348 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Spurs | 54c | 140$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.4 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Spurs | 54c | 133.49$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.4 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Spurs | 54c | 129.63$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.63 | 405 | 48.4%196 W · 209 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab6b…f517backed Thunder | 43c | 111.19$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98dc…9949backed Thunder | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0278…9c8dbacked Thunder | 46c | 104$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x280e…9609backed Spurs | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Spurs | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 362 | 43.9%159 W · 203 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa422…d210backed Spurs | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Thunder | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Thunder | 46c | 97.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0417…9248backed Spurs | 80c | 92.7$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Thunder | 29c | 91.45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33fc…dc88backed Thunder | 46c | 84.57$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Spurs | 54c | 80$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 852 | 48.9%417 W · 435 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd032…5136backed Spurs | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x920e…7873backed Spurs | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Thunder | 45c | 72.59$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Spurs | 55c | 72.58$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.66 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Thunder | 26c | 72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed Thunder | 36c | 68.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34c…887ebacked Thunder | 46c | 64.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Thunder | 46c | 64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…63d5backed Spurs | 54c | 61.22$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Spurs | 50c | 56.04$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 1.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 8.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Spurs won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Thunder vs. SpursSpurs won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.