TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$170,140
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$180,822

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,140 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under43c24,444$10,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,933.0814538.6%56 W · 89 L-12.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over57c12,854$7,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,320.791,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb8e…34cebacked Over72c10,000$7,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,199.971442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-29.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over44c6,843$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0007963.3%50 W · 29 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under49c6,421$3,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,294.6669848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over26c6,094$1,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,557.672,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over44c5,245$2,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,309.842,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Over55c5,000$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,75028056.8%159 W · 121 L+22.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under57c5,000$2,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,149.961,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under28c4,593$1,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,288.271,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over47c4,393$2,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,076.0464948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00047856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under56c3,640$2,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,601.664651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f4b…bb93backed Over70c2,505$1,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,753.499354.8%51 W · 42 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over2c2,408$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.151,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Under58c2,374$1,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.225269.2%36 W · 16 L+8.7wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+32.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over55c2,182$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20024159.8%144 W · 97 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over43c2,159$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.6920155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over71c2,106$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50052461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86e7…613ebacked Under49c1,999$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.5110049%49 W · 51 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under56c1,826$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.416,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Over5c1,608$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.719548.2%94 W · 101 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Under49c1,367$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.3931345.7%143 W · 170 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under52c1,245$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.2755251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x81b0…ad6dbacked Under38c1,209$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.87933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Over42c1,190$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003935.9%14 W · 25 L-4.4wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-25.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over51c1,148$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.428,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Over42c1,134$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.485435.2%19 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Under80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20036243.9%159 W · 203 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43015644.9%70 W · 86 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Under40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60019954.8%109 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Over11c986.7$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.5427937.3%104 W · 175 L+57.6wins+0.21per pick17cpaid+187%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x9201…e578backed Over2c919.03$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.382352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Under57c877.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.1918853.2%100 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed Under55c826.35$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.997349.3%36 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf845…f3a8backed Over45c815.56$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36760%0 W · 6 L-3.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over2c802$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2031222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under45c799.69$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.452,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over43c783.36$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.9993148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Over56c757.14$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.715648.1%75 W · 81 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under50c736.89$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.6790650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over50c669.78$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.4576653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under56c641.11$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.1766352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3f6abacked Over54c638.88$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34511946.2%55 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec2d…896cbacked Over43c600$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2587944.3%35 W · 44 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under56c600$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2641,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over40c598.46$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.021,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over48c574$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.691,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Under50c566.25$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.594445.5%20 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+26.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6974…11b4backed Under58c508.78$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.692650%13 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7353…4b0dbacked Under57c491.23$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.235453.7%29 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae8f…1cc3backed Over50c466.92$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.385446.3%25 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x886f…aa8fbacked Over43c465.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001250%6 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under51c421.09$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.2589850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Over42c420$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.412146.3%56 W · 65 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2ab…8432backed Over49c408.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005446.3%25 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xba4a…f951backed Under49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.163855.3%21 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under43c400$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2281,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under50c392.59$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.5963746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under56c383.26$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.151,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2978…b511backed Over58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007835.9%28 W · 50 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb267…5f55backed Over49c307.1$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.483141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-24.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Over51c300.37$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.321953.4%117 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f09…1f55backed Under50c295.88$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.94366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd41b…f231backed Under59c269.12$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.342347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over47c264$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.5732045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under57c255.49$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.8684443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe53c…e569backed Over45c254.58$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.561747.1%8 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5cd…4249backed Over44c244.14$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.42911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.26per pick37cpaid-63.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x03c7…22f2backed Under48c206.24$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.249552.6%50 W · 45 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under56c201.11$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.521,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over49c200$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9218850.5%95 W · 93 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbdf…b8a0backed Under56c199.99$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899854.1%53 W · 45 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038432.6%125 W · 259 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1413…4bddbacked Over44c186.36$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8211259.8%67 W · 45 L-10.1wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-13.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x87b8…e1a1backed Under48c185.58$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.589663.5%61 W · 35 L+7.8wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfc51…674abacked Over62c181.83$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.742755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over60c173.83$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.5759255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b2b…e5e7backed Under58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.416347.6%30 W · 33 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-15.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x15fb…e26abacked Under58c169.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.43545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Under44c150$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8426745.3%121 W · 146 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Over51c145.9$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.4155751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Over45c140$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6340548.4%196 W · 209 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf5e…95e3backed Over54c137.44$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.2221046.2%97 W · 113 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba0…1803backed Over44c134.32$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.11553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb18d…3464backed Under76c131.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.685160.8%31 W · 20 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under75c125.07$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7925045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over24c123.68$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6868838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35c9…bc74backed Over42c118.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5034661.6%213 W · 133 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb441…f757backed Under51c117.65$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.651060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70da…e42fbacked Under43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.28666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+35.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa4e…eadfbacked Over44c113.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505337.7%20 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1be…6471backed Under58c112.07$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.076639.4%26 W · 40 L-11.8wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-31.3%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x9abc…636abacked Over43c112.02$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.171844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61d3…189abacked Over61c108.8$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.3721849.5%108 W · 110 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc06…d3b7backed Under57c108$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.44757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31b7…21fbbacked Over43c104.65$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451877.8%14 W · 4 L+5.2wins+0.29per pick49cpaid+79.8%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Under28c102.13$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.4637652.4%197 W · 179 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb722…1098backed Over37c100.8$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.441540%6 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.