NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x723d0dec806214d7428632a42190133dc57cb7c0655837bbbc84d4bea4bba9dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $170,140
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $180,822
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,140 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 43c | 24,444$10,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,933.08 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 57c | 12,854$7,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,320.79 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8e…34cebacked Over | 72c | 10,000$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,199.97 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 44c | 6,843$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 49c | 6,421$3,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,294.66 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 26c | 6,094$1,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,557.67 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 44c | 5,245$2,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,309.84 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Over | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 280 | 56.8%159 W · 121 L | +22.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,149.96 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 28c | 4,593$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,288.27 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 47c | 4,393$2,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,076.04 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 56c | 3,640$2,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,601.6 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4b…bb93backed Over | 70c | 2,505$1,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,753.49 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over | 2c | 2,408$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.15 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Under | 58c | 2,374$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.22 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +8.7wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 55c | 2,182$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 241 | 59.8%144 W · 97 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over | 43c | 2,159$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.69 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Over | 71c | 2,106$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Under | 49c | 1,999$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.51 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 56c | 1,826$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.41 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 5c | 1,608$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 49c | 1,367$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.39 | 313 | 45.7%143 W · 170 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 52c | 1,245$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.27 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…ad6dbacked Under | 38c | 1,209$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.87 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Over | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 51c | 1,148$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.42 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 42c | 1,134$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.48 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Under | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 362 | 43.9%159 W · 203 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Under | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Under | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Over | 11c | 986.7$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.54 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x9201…e578backed Over | 2c | 919.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6303…9556backed Under | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed Under | 55c | 826.35$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.99 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf845…f3a8backed Over | 45c | 815.56$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 2c | 802$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 312 | 22.1%69 W · 243 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 45c | 799.69$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.45 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 43c | 783.36$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.99 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Over | 56c | 757.14$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.7 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 50c | 736.89$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.67 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 50c | 669.78$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.45 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 56c | 641.11$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.17 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3f6abacked Over | 54c | 638.88$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec2d…896cbacked Over | 43c | 600$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 56c | 600$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 40c | 598.46$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.02 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 48c | 574$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.69 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Under | 50c | 566.25$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.59 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6974…11b4backed Under | 58c | 508.78$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.69 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…4b0dbacked Under | 57c | 491.23$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.23 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…1cc3backed Over | 50c | 466.92$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.38 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x886f…aa8fbacked Over | 43c | 465.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 51c | 421.09$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.25 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Over | 42c | 420$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.4 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ab…8432backed Over | 49c | 408.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba4a…f951backed Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 43c | 400$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 50c | 392.59$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.59 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 56c | 383.26$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.15 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Over | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb267…5f55backed Over | 49c | 307.1$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.48 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Over | 51c | 300.37$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.3 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…1f55backed Under | 50c | 295.88$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Under | 59c | 269.12$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.34 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 47c | 264$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.57 | 320 | 45.3%145 W · 175 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 57c | 255.49$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.86 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe53c…e569backed Over | 45c | 254.58$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.56 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cd…4249backed Over | 44c | 244.14$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.42 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 37cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Under | 48c | 206.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.24 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 56c | 201.11$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.52 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 49c | 200$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.92 | 188 | 50.5%95 W · 93 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Under | 56c | 199.99$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 384 | 32.6%125 W · 259 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…4bddbacked Over | 44c | 186.36$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…e1a1backed Under | 48c | 185.58$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.58 | 96 | 63.5%61 W · 35 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc51…674abacked Over | 62c | 181.83$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.74 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 60c | 173.83$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.57 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2b…e5e7backed Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15fb…e26abacked Under | 58c | 169.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Under | 44c | 150$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Over | 51c | 145.9$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.41 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Over | 45c | 140$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 405 | 48.4%196 W · 209 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Over | 54c | 137.44$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.22 | 210 | 46.2%97 W · 113 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba0…1803backed Over | 44c | 134.32$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.1 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb18d…3464backed Under | 76c | 131.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Under | 75c | 125.07$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.79 | 250 | 45.6%114 W · 136 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over | 24c | 123.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35c9…bc74backed Over | 42c | 118.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 346 | 61.6%213 W · 133 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb441…f757backed Under | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70da…e42fbacked Under | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4e…eadfbacked Over | 44c | 113.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed Under | 58c | 112.07$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.07 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -11.8wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9abc…636abacked Over | 43c | 112.02$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.17 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Over | 61c | 108.8$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.37 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc06…d3b7backed Under | 57c | 108$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b7…21fbbacked Over | 43c | 104.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +5.2wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under | 28c | 102.13$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.46 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb722…1098backed Over | 37c | 100.8$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 1.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 8.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Spurs won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Thunder vs. SpursSpurs won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.