NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ad84532d276316469a5e6e7c38071a00e502b2ba1075a35cd733241dceebaec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $195,960
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $221,826
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $195,960 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Under | 29c | 25,333$7,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,977.62 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Over | 71c | 20,616$14,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,637.21 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab4…5a40backed Over | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | +15.3wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 18c | 5,512$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,529.98 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3f6abacked Under | 26c | 5,301$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,924.52 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 17c | 4,112$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,404.64 | 313 | 45.7%143 W · 170 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fb…54d0backed Over | 73c | 4,109$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 21c | 3,404$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,678.73 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5062…0b34backed Over | 75c | 3,358$2,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,510.05 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 22c | 3,198$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,488.49 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 29c | 3,158$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,232.53 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Over | 79c | 2,916$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 77c | 2,595$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 241 | 59.8%144 W · 97 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…ad6dbacked Over | 56c | 2,567$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425.32 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c3…dbc7backed Under | 20c | 2,468$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,968.23 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…1862backed Under | 29c | 2,448$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,738.28 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f7…4899backed Over | 71c | 2,400$1,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,704 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Over | 61c | 2,281$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.76 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 67c | 2,190$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.71 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9f…9b0fbacked Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Over | 66c | 1,832$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Under | 8c | 1,744$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,611.18 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 27c | 1,506$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.64 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c73…68e7backed Over | 73c | 1,426$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.88 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 21c | 1,422$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 21 | 95.2%20 W · 1 L | +6.8wins | +0.32per pick | 63cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 29c | 1,396$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.45 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Over | 73c | 1,365$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Under | 27c | 1,343$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.2 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 21c | 1,218$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.05 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under | 42c | 1,171$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.32 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Under | 29c | 1,100$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.59 | 261 | 31%81 W · 180 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 9c | 1,037$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.03 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x0874…6277backed Over | 63c | 1,023$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.29 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 23c | 1,008$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.16 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 71c | 989.71$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.69 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 24c | 978.96$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.21 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 55c | 928.78$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.78 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c54…bebbbacked Under | 22c | 833$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 74c | 776.75$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.28 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d77…cf31backed Under | 33c | 763.42$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.16 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 9cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 19c | 744.67$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.66 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…10b4backed Under | 8c | 657.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.89 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Over | 79c | 631.32$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 145 | 56.6%82 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 52c | 619.51$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.88 | 312 | 22.1%69 W · 243 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Under | 45c | 583.06$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.06 | 220 | 36.8%81 W · 139 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over | 25c | 561.01$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.03 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 75c | 533.44$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.32 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1315…a84abacked Over | 70c | 500.01$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.01 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed Over | 70c | 499.82$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.88 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -49%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74ec…0959backed Over | 76c | 483.19$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.56 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Over | 64c | 468.83$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d8…0175backed Over | 3c | 450$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e1…06bbbacked Over | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 137 | 57.7%79 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Under | 29c | 419.98$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.18 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…7183backed Over | 75c | 400$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 54c | 387.93$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.84 | 320 | 45.3%145 W · 175 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fe…025cbacked Over | 80c | 378.25$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.6 | 55 | 74.5%41 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4571…a952backed Under | 46c | 361.64$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…bea8backed Over | 71c | 359.15$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 108 | 61.1%66 W · 42 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked Over | 71c | 330$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.3 | 128 | 50.8%65 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 34c | 327$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.42 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 72c | 323.71$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.07 | 621 | 44%273 W · 348 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Under | 28c | 323.56$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.96 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…a2eabacked Under | 49c | 322.97$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.68 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda39…c640backed Under | 30c | 317.3$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.11 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9856…8d02backed Over | 58c | 299.99$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Over | 73c | 289.15$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.28 | 250 | 45.6%114 W · 136 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9736…43c7backed Over | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…f2d6backed Over | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed Over | 70c | 280$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed Under | 28c | 269.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.09 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe88f…34cebacked Over | 62c | 242.72$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9462…4dbdbacked Under | 7c | 216.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 7cpaid | +381.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…6ebbbacked Under | 14c | 214.34$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.34 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 25c | 208.33$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.25 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Under | 32c | 200$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 370 | 37.3%138 W · 232 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Over | 40c | 196.89$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.03 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x085b…ab9fbacked Under | 27c | 184.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.75 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 34c | 182.79$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.82 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 28c | 178.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.08 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x097c…630abacked Under | 35c | 172.03$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.03 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34ca…9de7backed Over | 58c | 170.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…e2eebacked Under | 15c | 167.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.19 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Under | 39c | 165.87$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.22 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8c…dfbebacked Over | 61c | 163$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c0…2713backed Under | 41c | 162.18$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.18 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Under | 30c | 157$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.38 | 164 | 29.9%49 W · 115 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 35c | 152.33$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.15 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Under | 14c | 151.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.23 | 319 | 53%169 W · 150 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 20c | 148.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.88 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +9.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fb…2de9backed Over | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Over | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 905 | 60.8%550 W · 355 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Over | 71c | 138.55$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.37 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | +15.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43bc…fcdfbacked Over | 73c | 136.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Under | 48c | 130$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.99 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Over | 70c | 129.67$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.65 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9b…9574backed Over | 76c | 128.2$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Over | 63c | 126$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.38 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b8d…4b6fbacked Over | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 1.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 8.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Spurs won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Thunder vs. SpursSpurs won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.