TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe88f…34ce

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
84
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Weather, grading 49 out of 100 (-0.01 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category Weather at 49 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT4537.8%17 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid+0.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Top Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.16
LoL: Top Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.6
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.31
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$519.55
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.85
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 3 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+900%+$90
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$65.26
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$113.33
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+181.5%+$54.44
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$50
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 4 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$51.43
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-Inbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+123.9%+$24.79
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+210.6%+$39.27
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+188.7%+$35.28
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.71
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.09
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.89
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.98
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+58.4%+$112.56
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-54.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$101
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32.94
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 205.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$250
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$16.13
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 207.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.95
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.42
Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.78
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.65
All 11 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-44.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Map Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5)backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+53.7%+$10.73
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO5) - VCT China Playoffsbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: TYLOO vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Playoffsbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Playoffsbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$77.78
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Playoffsbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Dragon Ranger Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
Valorant: TEC Esports vs Trace Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked TEC Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.84
All 8 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.