TailMyPicks

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Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: XLG Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
XLG Gamingof XLG Gaming, JD Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,969
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,691

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,969 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e8c…65ddbacked JD Gaming29c20,737$5,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,928.5915850%79 W · 79 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee8e…0a7bbacked XLG Gaming71c16,329$11,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,735.4978162%484 W · 297 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked XLG Gaming72c5,727$4,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,603.5633153.5%177 W · 154 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c3f…75cfbacked JD Gaming28c3,667$1,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,026.813651.5%70 W · 66 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed XLG Gaming72c2,524$1,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.4441537.1%154 W · 261 L-26.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3542…c3c8backed JD Gaming28c1,900$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.9728548.4%138 W · 147 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed JD Gaming28c1,500$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42016952.1%88 W · 81 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b6…e762backed XLG Gaming72c1,382$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.69944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed XLG Gaming72c1,299$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.793049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f46…9097backed JD Gaming29c1,034$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002035%7 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed JD Gaming4c929.36$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1246326.6%123 W · 340 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked JD Gaming29c862.07$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25029733.3%99 W · 198 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a96…3087backed JD Gaming18c814.29$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.836552.3%34 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32bf…ec60backed JD Gaming11c798.25$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.2419847%93 W · 105 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed7a…a656backed JD Gaming9c564.45$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.734040%16 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3304…8313backed XLG Gaming72c555.56$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.566755.2%37 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed XLG Gaming72c506.94$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.9434857.5%200 W · 148 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee21…083cbacked JD Gaming29c404$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.163650%18 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x548e…9d41backed JD Gaming29c404$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.163652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x444d…d5febacked JD Gaming15c343$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.35450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9809…026dbacked XLG Gaming72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.784669.6%32 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe88f…34cebacked XLG Gaming72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.78837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-44.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4627…7c23backed XLG Gaming72c270.83$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.8322955%126 W · 103 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed XLG Gaming79c253.7$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.5516033.8%54 W · 106 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-28.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x65b7…3798backed XLG Gaming72c248.71$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.6418952.4%99 W · 90 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed JD Gaming27c247.27$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.7653442.1%225 W · 309 L-15.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40e3…f756backed JD Gaming14c232.48$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.373441.2%14 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+23.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked JD Gaming25c223.94$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9886747.5%412 W · 455 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed JD Gaming17c219$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5474642.8%319 W · 427 L-27.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed XLG Gaming73c202.35$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.9645250%226 W · 226 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc64…fc2bbacked XLG Gaming74c201.64$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5418653.8%100 W · 86 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef9a…f58dbacked XLG Gaming72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563467.6%23 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc6a9…769ebacked XLG Gaming72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563557.1%20 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd331…afdabacked JD Gaming29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583438.2%13 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-25.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3657…a0a7backed JD Gaming29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583537.1%13 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x66d5…ee81backed JD Gaming29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583537.1%13 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x453b…db4abacked XLG Gaming72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563658.3%21 W · 15 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ae5…5d19backed XLG Gaming72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563647.2%17 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3bb…e26bbacked XLG Gaming72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563652.8%19 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0c8…97b4backed XLG Gaming72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567762.3%48 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x195a…f955backed XLG Gaming72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563470.6%24 W · 10 L+5.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+29.6%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x7b95…04bbbacked XLG Gaming72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563650%18 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95ee…e28cbacked XLG Gaming71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6aa4…236cbacked JD Gaming29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5810951.4%56 W · 53 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf05e…04cebacked XLG Gaming79c199.1$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.13557.1%20 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked JD Gaming10c182.41$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0130835.4%109 W · 199 L-23.8wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-40.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x136d…229bbacked JD Gaming9c170.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked JD Gaming28c167.54$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.918442.9%36 W · 48 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked XLG Gaming78c150.77$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.2611458.8%67 W · 47 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e8f…4374backed JD Gaming29c134.9$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.126841.2%28 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9734…bfd8backed XLG Gaming77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8719257.8%111 W · 81 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x353e…6b4dbacked JD Gaming13c110$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.121723.5%4 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-42.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed JD Gaming29c102.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6217640.3%71 W · 105 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc566…f8d7backed XLG Gaming72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2814737.4%55 W · 92 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00ec…4f0abacked JD Gaming28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick39cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4255…1792backed JD Gaming28c96$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8816041.9%67 W · 93 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4879…c240backed XLG Gaming75c86.6$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19e8…2f18backed JD Gaming29c84$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed JD Gaming26c70.43$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3123146.8%108 W · 123 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ff…2199backed XLG Gaming72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.442975.9%22 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick67cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x641f…6a21backed JD Gaming29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-65.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1cc…3bf0backed XLG Gaming72c62.5$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.512755.9%71 W · 56 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked JD Gaming17c60.21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1015512.3%19 W · 136 L-27.4wins-0.18per pick30cpaid-62.7%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x11e1…8d38backed XLG Gaming73c59.99$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.28966.3%59 W · 30 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4350…4bbabacked XLG Gaming77c58.03$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.435166.7%34 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc56b…772abacked XLG Gaming72c55.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.662065%13 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f2a…ae71backed XLG Gaming72c54.17$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.171275%9 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+17.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f48…0b0dbacked XLG Gaming76c52.7$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.718457.1%105 W · 79 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e51…71d4backed XLG Gaming72c51.39$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.399654.2%52 W · 44 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x97c7…027abacked XLG Gaming72c47.22$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.22366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0e0…fe90backed JD Gaming29c41.38$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122825%7 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked XLG Gaming72c37.77$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5860154.2%326 W · 275 L+24.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd533…d6a1backed JD Gaming29c35$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1543843.6%191 W · 247 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee16…16a2backed JD Gaming29c35$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1517948%86 W · 93 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b74…cbaebacked XLG Gaming72c34.61$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.697365.8%48 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x61ad…a0c8backed XLG Gaming72c34.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.576061.7%37 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x615a…8af2backed XLG Gaming72c33.33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.334953.1%26 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb00…fda1backed XLG Gaming76c32.89$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.896046.7%28 W · 32 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f05…eeb3backed XLG Gaming77c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.94271.4%30 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick76cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bfb…a2d7backed XLG Gaming70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5710661.3%65 W · 41 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb86…567fbacked XLG Gaming73c27.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a32…10a1backed XLG Gaming75c26.72$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.722171.4%15 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f93…3e9fbacked XLG Gaming72c23.75$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.65580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed XLG Gaming70c22.55$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.681,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5004…c07bbacked XLG Gaming72c20.83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.837152.1%37 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c27…21a9backed XLG Gaming72c20.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.693148.4%15 W · 16 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick61cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed XLG Gaming72c19.63$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.4954342.4%230 W · 313 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00d2…fe64backed XLG Gaming70c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.520248.5%98 W · 104 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fb4…d080backed XLG Gaming79c13.23$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.834463.6%28 W · 16 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.