TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5f05…eeb3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
217
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Lol, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 57 out of 100; worst CS2 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT8365.1%54 W · 29 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick73cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 83 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Sangal ALTERS vs INFURITY Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Sangal ALTERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.11
Counter-Strike: Sangal ALTERS vs INFURITY Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group Cbacked Sangal ALTERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Group Stagebacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.84
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs TDK (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked TDK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs TDK - Map 2 Winnerbacked TDK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.89
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs TDK - Map 1 Winnerbacked TDK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.18
Counter-Strike: Galorys vs paiN Academy - Map 2 Winnerbacked paiN Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stagebacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.6
Counter-Strike: Players vs Alzon (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Group Stagebacked Alzon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.2
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-Inbacked UNiTY esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.1
Counter-Strike: AaB Esport vs GenOne (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Group Stagebacked AaB Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.3
Counter-Strike: Atreides vs Lilmix (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked Atreides · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.6
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-Inbacked Ursa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.7
Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs Vasco Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Group Stagebacked Vasco Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.5
Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs R2 Esports Club (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Group Stagebacked R2 Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.8
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Group Stagebacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.2
Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs Isurus (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Group Stagebacked UNO MILLE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.2
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs ASTRAL (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Group Stagebacked AM Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.3
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs GenOne (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Cbacked Phantom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.5
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Phantom (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Cbacked Lavked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.5
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stagebacked Ursa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.8
Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - United21 Playoffsbacked ALGO Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.3
Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs Imperial Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Playoffsbacked Imperial Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.3
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Wildcard (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship North American Playoffsbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.5
Counter-Strike: Voca vs Wildcard (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #4 Playoffsbacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.8
Showing 25 of 83 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT6183.6%51 W · 10 L+5.3wins+0.09per pick75cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+76%+$12.95
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs HANJIN BRION Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+150%+$22.8
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs HANJIN BRION Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.5
LoL: Estral Esports vs RED Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked RED Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.01
LoL: Barcząca Esports vs BOMBA Team (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Seasonbacked BOMBA Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.1
LoL: FALKE Esports vs LUA Gaming (BO3) - LES Regular Seasonbacked LUA Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.6
LoL: mCon esports vs The Bandits (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Seasonbacked The Bandits · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.1
LoL: Forsaken vs Lodis (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Seasonbacked Forsaken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.2
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group Bbacked Eintracht Spandau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.2
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.2
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.9
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.9
LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.6
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.5
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.5
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.2
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.5
LoL: LYON vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.2
LoL: G2 Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.3
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOS (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.6
LoL: Team Heretics vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.5
LoL: FURIA Esports vs RED Canids (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.8
LoL: Leviatan Esports vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked paiN Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.6
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.5
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT4271.4%30 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick76cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: University War vs ShindeN - Map 2 Winnerbacked ShindeN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.51
Valorant: Division One vs FlyQuest (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Playoffsbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Valorant: Mandatory vs WIP Esports (BO5) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Playoffsbacked WIP Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.5
Valorant: Team Liquid Academy vs Enterprise Esports (BO3) - VCL NORTH//EAST Playoffsbacked Enterprise Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.6
Valorant: TYLOO vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Playoffsbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.6
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Playoffsbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.2
Valorant: YFP Gaming vs FlyQuest (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Playoffsbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.3
Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs Division One (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Playoffsbacked Division One · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.6
Valorant: Barça eSports vs FALKE ESPORTS (BO3) - VCL Spain: Rising Phase 2 Playoffsbacked Barça eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.5
Valorant: Joblife vs Mandatory (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Playoffsbacked Mandatory · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.8
Valorant: All Gamers vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.9
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Playoffsbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.9
Valorant: LOUD vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.4
Valorant: Beşiktaş Esports vs REBORN (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Playoffsbacked Beşiktaş Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.4
Valorant: Trace Esports vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Playoffsbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.2
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked DetonatioN FocusMe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.1
Valorant: TEC Esports vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Playoffsbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+25%+$9
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.9
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.9
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.8
Valorant: All Gamers vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Playoffsbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.5
Valorant: T1 vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.2
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.5
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.27
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT2470.8%17 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick71cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Travoman Team vs Miposhka Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Travoman Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.32
Dota 2: Travoman Team vs Miposhka Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked Travoman Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.29
Dota 2: Travoman Team vs by Owl Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked Travoman Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.98
Dota 2: MOUZ vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Group Abacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.4
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - 1win Essence Group Bbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.3
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs 1win (BO3) - 1win Essence Group Abacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.5
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team (BO3) - 1win Essence Group Bbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.4
Dota 2: MOUZ vs 1win (BO3) - 1win Essence Group Abacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.2
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs REKONIX (BO3) - 1win Essence Group Bbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.9
Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Group Abacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.5
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - 1win Essence Group Abacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.2
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs South America Rejects (BO3) - 1win Essence Group Abacked South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.1
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Vici Gaming (BO5) - ACL X ESL Challenger China Playoffsbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.2
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs REKONIX (BO3) - 1win Essence Group Bbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.2
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - ACL X ESL Challenger China Playoffsbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.2
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs 1win (BO3) - 1win Essence Group Abacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.2
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - ACL X ESL Challenger China Playoffsbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.2
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Resilience (BO3) - ACL X ESL Challenger China Playoffsbacked Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+25%+$6
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs South America Rejects (BO5) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffsbacked South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$11.61
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - ACL X ESL Challenger China Playoffsbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$12
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs South America Rejects (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffsbacked South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10.87
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs South America Rejects (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffsbacked South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.1
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$3.06
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$3.09
All 24 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.