CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Wildcard (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship North American Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05df9814fcd78c994da12d3b97317924c1f1ffb89e9aa0d0ce93092c84eec4e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- M80of M80, Wildcard
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,052
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,448
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,052 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Wildcard | 44c | 11,072$4,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,882.88 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed M80 | 59c | 5,190$3,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,123.87 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Wildcard | 25c | 3,361$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.95 | 50 | 6%3 W · 47 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked M80 | 70c | 2,051$1,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.94 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked M80 | 55c | 1,555$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.75 | 449 | 57.5%258 W · 191 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Wildcard | 32c | 1,523$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.31 | 172 | 30.8%53 W · 119 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Wildcard | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 194 | 3.6%7 W · 187 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed M80 | 64c | 1,495$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.23 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed M80 | 62c | 1,251$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.31 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe153…ba59backed Wildcard | 39c | 1,163$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…3f84backed M80 | 66c | 1,068$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.06 | 209 | 58.9%123 W · 86 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fa…4e74backed M80 | 61c | 1,009$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Wildcard | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 197 | 3.6%7 W · 190 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0d…5a51backed Wildcard | 15c | 939.11$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.78 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Wildcard | 12c | 888.22$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.27 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Wildcard | 44c | 833.84$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.5 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f6…615bbacked Wildcard | 47c | 717.74$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…b805backed M80 | 67c | 699.98$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.99 | 219 | 47.5%104 W · 115 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked M80 | 56c | 642.12$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.89 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…1f6fbacked Wildcard | 35c | 599.99$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 263 | 41.1%108 W · 155 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…519dbacked Wildcard | 35c | 577.84$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…eef4backed M80 | 69c | 509.8$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.04 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked M80 | 55c | 500.24$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.93 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Wildcard | 33c | 499.99$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…5dd3backed M80 | 66c | 492.3$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.47 | 239 | 40.2%96 W · 143 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed M80 | 62c | 481.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.67 | 485 | 62.7%304 W · 181 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d17…9054backed Wildcard | 15c | 472.74$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.49 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +217.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Wildcard | 35c | 472.23$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.16 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed M80 | 76c | 452.88$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.47 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Wildcard | 23c | 439.26$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.03 | 316 | 42.1%133 W · 183 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a5…d074backed Wildcard | 24c | 432.84$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.59 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked M80 | 72c | 425.46$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.39 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked M80 | 66c | 380.21$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.78 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked M80 | 73c | 362.12$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.51 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked M80 | 75c | 360$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.25 | 664 | 46.4%308 W · 356 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…3a5cbacked M80 | 63c | 337.77$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.76 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4969…6d77backed Wildcard | 6c | 330$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 227 | 34.4%78 W · 149 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa57…2ec9backed Wildcard | 9c | 327.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…4d3ebacked M80 | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Wildcard | 44c | 298.96$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.19 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…8796backed M80 | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 282 | 54.6%154 W · 128 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Wildcard | 36c | 286.51$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.42 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…8d38backed M80 | 63c | 276.56$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.76 | 115 | 61.7%71 W · 44 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Wildcard | 21c | 253.76$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.14 | 486 | 35.4%172 W · 314 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Wildcard | 27c | 243.54$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.9 | 193 | 29%56 W · 137 L | -23.4wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked Wildcard | 46c | 242.5$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 334 | 59%197 W · 137 L | +24.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…7f9bbacked Wildcard | 34c | 236.29$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff09…80b5backed Wildcard | 13c | 226.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed M80 | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed M80 | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 386 | 50.8%196 W · 190 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa4…236cbacked M80 | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked M80 | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 300 | 31.7%95 W · 205 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9803…0242backed M80 | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed Wildcard | 38c | 180$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed M80 | 68c | 162.3$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.02 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Wildcard | 43c | 152.22$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.36 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6013…9826backed M80 | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 118 | 63.6%75 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x106b…4e8bbacked Wildcard | 48c | 146.72$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…c2c7backed Wildcard | 42c | 135.21$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed M80 | 58c | 135$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6b…bc2abacked Wildcard | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Wildcard | 42c | 130$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Wildcard | 40c | 125.2$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.58 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e86…8453backed Wildcard | 17c | 114.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Wildcard | 44c | 112.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.66 | 421 | 49.6%209 W · 212 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Wildcard | 33c | 105.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.01 | 399 | 46.4%185 W · 214 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f63…89f3backed M80 | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Wildcard | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 163 | 11.7%19 W · 144 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa20a…d92dbacked Wildcard | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6f…3be7backed Wildcard | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Wildcard | 14c | 96.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10ac…0e0bbacked M80 | 60c | 90$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked M80 | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed Wildcard | 32c | 84.63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked M80 | 69c | 78.78$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 99 | 70.7%70 W · 29 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6366…576fbacked Wildcard | 17c | 78.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab5f…f76ebacked M80 | 62c | 76.36$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…f58fbacked M80 | 64c | 76.28$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed M80 | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Wildcard | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Wildcard | 29c | 73.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Wildcard | 35c | 68.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…97b4backed M80 | 63c | 58$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 471 | 65.2%307 W · 164 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…fd63backed M80 | 59c | 55.42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 172 | 57.6%99 W · 73 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x820b…d27abacked Wildcard | 30c | 52.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…f591backed M80 | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed M80 | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -12.2wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…c25fbacked M80 | 68c | 42.48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5521…442abacked Wildcard | 38c | 41.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed M80 | 61c | 41.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed M80 | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Wildcard | 34c | 39.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7344…98f6backed M80 | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Wildcard | 41c | 36.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 270 | 15.2%41 W · 229 L | -41.9wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Wildcard | 40c | 35.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Wildcard | 30c | 34.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb6…5154backed M80 | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4378…edf9backed M80 | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…2c66backed M80 | 54c | 30.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 62cpaid | -63%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f05…eeb3backed M80 | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 83 | 65.1%54 W · 29 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 73cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs Wildcard (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship North American Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs Wildcard - Map 1 WinnerM80 won
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs Wildcard - Map 2 WinnerM80 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: M80 (-1.5) vs Wildcard (+1.5)M80 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.