CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Wildcard - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46a7febf35b656af4474a40d3436296a5738a83886c4d87f08ae9fd8a2267db3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- M80of M80, Wildcard
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,205
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,628
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,205 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x928a…8044backed M80 | 48c | 4,987$2,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,615.73 | 203 | 58.6%119 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Wildcard | 51c | 4,720$2,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,388.97 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8375…ba1dbacked M80 | 63c | 2,500$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.99 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc99…ce7ebacked Wildcard | 48c | 2,311$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.92 | 189 | 33.9%64 W · 125 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Wildcard | 51c | 1,478$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.64 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Wildcard | 1c | 1,400$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 197 | 3.6%7 W · 190 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Wildcard | 2c | 1,150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 215 | 0.9%2 W · 213 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed M80 | 43c | 1,087$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.5 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Wildcard | 10c | 1,035$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.44 | 172 | 30.8%53 W · 119 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Wildcard | 3c | 924$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Wildcard | 2c | 804.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 194 | 3.6%7 W · 187 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d17…9054backed Wildcard | 53c | 784.36$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.9 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +217.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…0574backed Wildcard | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 0%0 W · 62 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked Wildcard | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 90 | 20%18 W · 72 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked Wildcard | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 79 | 20.3%16 W · 63 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Wildcard | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 75 | 1.3%1 W · 74 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed M80 | 40c | 566.59$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.51 | 316 | 42.1%133 W · 183 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Wildcard | 55c | 543.08$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 204 | 62.7%128 W · 76 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…b805backed Wildcard | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.94 | 219 | 47.5%104 W · 115 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d8…0175backed Wildcard | 3c | 470$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 31 | 3.2%1 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked M80 | 52c | 428.4$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.51 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Wildcard | 71c | 388.14$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.22 | 450 | 58.9%265 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed Wildcard | 79c | 267.13$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.81 | 279 | 50.2%140 W · 139 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…8796backed M80 | 53c | 239.62$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.62 | 282 | 54.6%154 W · 128 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked M80 | 55c | 228.48$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.36 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Wildcard | 39c | 228.3$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.89 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | -14.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…c25fbacked Wildcard | 59c | 189.33$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.22 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b5…a0d7backed Wildcard | 62c | 160.34$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.41 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Wildcard | 38c | 158.72$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…838bbacked Wildcard | 57c | 150$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90a6…cf4bbacked Wildcard | 56c | 141.83$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed M80 | 40c | 136.87$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.37 | 217 | 39.2%85 W · 132 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Wildcard | 65c | 136.39$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.24 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Wildcard | 52c | 127.47$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.57 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Wildcard | 63c | 120.29$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked M80 | 48c | 113.77$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.71 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed M80 | 60c | 106.67$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.67 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 63cpaid | -27%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Wildcard | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed M80 | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked M80 | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3685…6d99backed M80 | 29c | 99.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.99 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…7f9bbacked M80 | 33c | 97.43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.44 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed M80 | 65c | 94.98$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 351 | 48.1%169 W · 182 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed M80 | 53c | 86.1$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.07 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…3e23backed M80 | 34c | 80$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Wildcard | 37c | 68.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed M80 | 28c | 61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.86 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a00…d958backed M80 | 48c | 58.55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.26 | 316 | 62.7%198 W · 118 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed M80 | 51c | 55.94$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 193 | 29%56 W · 137 L | -23.4wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7344…98f6backed M80 | 49c | 48.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Wildcard | 31c | 48.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…2dbbbacked M80 | 54c | 46.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Wildcard | 27c | 45.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed M80 | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -12.2wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked M80 | 44c | 37.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.73 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Wildcard | 56c | 35.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 538 | 50.6%272 W · 266 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Wildcard | 44c | 31.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed M80 | 43c | 31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 133 | 24.8%33 W · 100 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed M80 | 43c | 27.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Wildcard | 51c | 26.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Wildcard | 61c | 23.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed M80 | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcd…5ef7backed M80 | 65c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 301 | 53.8%162 W · 139 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs Wildcard - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs Wildcard (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship North American PlayoffsM80 won
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs Wildcard - Map 2 WinnerM80 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: M80 (-1.5) vs Wildcard (+1.5)M80 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.