TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfc99…ce7e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
370
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NBA, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 59 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT18933.9%64 W · 125 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 189 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.73
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$50.38
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stagebacked RUSTEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.5
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$137.09
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.47
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$102.65
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.34
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$310
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$447Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+85.3%+$381.33
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$254.55
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$41.26
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Festina Lente (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffsbacked Marsborne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+89.3%+$97.38
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.35
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$380
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+214%+$470.71
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$225.53
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.23
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$139
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.65
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$103.01
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.4
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$305.18
Showing 25 of 189 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT6248.4%30 W · 32 L+6.7wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+19.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$164.23
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$345.03
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,899.74
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,945Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,945
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,953Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+153.4%+$2,995.01
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$853Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$853.26
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$5,919Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,918.86
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,285Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+266.6%+$3,427.2
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,490Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+160.9%+$4,005.96
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$2,346.15
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$990Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,162.72
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,281Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+130.4%+$2,975.17
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,482Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+157.1%+$2,328.3
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$525
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$270.67
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$287.99
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+287.3%+$699.5
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$256.73
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.66
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$126.25
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.23
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$170.02
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.88
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$358Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+205.6%+$736.84
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT3046.7%14 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+21.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Halle Open: Nuno Borges vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Alex Boltbacked Alex Bolt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.53
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Rinky Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+115.3%+$231.25
Halle Open, Qualification: Raphael Collignon vs Aziz Dougazbacked Aziz Dougaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.37
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritzbacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Gironbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+128.9%+$254.35
Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Katerina Siniakovabacked Katerina Siniakova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.87
Roland Garros WTA: Katie Boulter vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Katie Boulter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.31
Hamburg European Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$491Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$490.99
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Emiliana Arango vs Anna Bondarbacked Emiliana Arango · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$522Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$522.22
Hamburg European Open: Ugo Humbert vs Karen Khachanovbacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$293.33
Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$394Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$348.96
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolinabacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.63
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$447Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$447
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Ben Sheltonbacked Nikoloz Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+154.6%+$1,545.98
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rebeka Masarova vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Rebeka Masarova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+100.8%+$594.55
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Andrea Pellegrinobacked Andrea Pellegrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,639Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+128.1%+$2,100.03
Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$490
Set Handicap: Ruud (-1.5) vs Blockx (+1.5)backed Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+91.2%+$91.23
Madrid Open: Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$528.04
Madrid Open: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$379Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$378.76
Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobollibacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.7
Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptistebacked Hailey Baptiste · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+323.8%+$569.86
Madrid Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+203%+$140.33
Huzhou: Dalila Spiteri vs Varvara Panshinabacked Dalila Spiteri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.78
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2040%8 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$98.6
Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.07
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+101%+$105.37
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$967Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$967.04
Valorant: Team Heretics vs BBL Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$675Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$675
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$445Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$445
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs Evil Geniuses - Map 2 Winnerbacked Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs Evil Geniuses - Map 1 Winnerbacked Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+119.5%+$836.66
Valorant: Division One vs FlyQuest - Map 1 Winnerbacked Division One · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
Valorant: TYLOO vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Playoffsbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,691.49
Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs Sentinels - Map 2 Winnerbacked Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.11
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+104.3%+$28.03
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Team Liquid - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.42
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Sentinels - Map 2 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+196.2%+$133.2
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Sentinels - Map 1 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.34
Valorant: NRG vs KRÜ Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.3
Valorant: Cloud9 vs Team Envy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.31
Valorant: Team Envy vs Evil Geniuses - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+224.8%+$472.27
Valorant: Team Envy vs Evil Geniuses - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$60.98
All 20 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+29.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Justin Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+221.1%+$542.16
Will Ciryl Gane win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$79.17
Will the fight be won by submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ciryl Gane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$59.74
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Aiemann Zahabi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Josh Hokit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$40.75
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Mauricio Ruffy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$21.17
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Steve Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.41
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Joaquin Buckley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Sean Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$925Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+130.7%+$1,208.81
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Joshua Van · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$578Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+150%+$866.82
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Waldo Cortes-Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$840Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$840
UFC 326: Reinier de Ridder vs. Caio Borralho (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Reinier de Ridder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$142.88
All 13 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+26.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flyers vs. Hurricanesbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$950Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$950
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$966Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$1,333.82
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$890Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$890
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$145
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+147.8%+$362.14
Wild vs. Starsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$272.89
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$239.56
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$310.58
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$388Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$454.92
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$287.87
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.37
Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.55
Maple Leafs vs. Avalanchebacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$663Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+194.1%+$1,286.46
All 13 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.97
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$114.37
Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,400
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$310
Kansas City Royals vs. Athleticsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$688.21
New York Yankees vs. Texas Rangersbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$93.12
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.49
Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.19
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-44.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.17
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$48.95
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.14
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$272.35
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$79
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 9 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$431Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$430.71
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$142.76
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$731Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$731.06
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,128Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+222.6%+$2,510.06
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+63.9%+$70.24
Vikings vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Buccaneers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+78.6%+$78.57
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+122.2%+$122.22
All 8 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-68.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mercer Bears vs. VMI Keydetsbacked VMI Keydets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$215.79
TCU Horned Frogs vs. BYU Cougarsbacked TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$109.07
Loyola Marymount Lions vs. Oregon State Beaversbacked Loyola Marymount Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$1,146.78
All 3 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Dallas Wings vs. Indiana Feverbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+92.5%+$925.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Tommy Fury vs. Eddie Hallbacked Hall · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.76
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoorbacked Demoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+109.1%+$109.06
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
California vs. Hawaiibacked California · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$253
Miami vs. Texas A&Mbacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+85.4%+$85.43
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.