TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs Evil Geniuses - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
KRÜ Esportsof KRÜ Esports, Evil Geniuses
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$146,069
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$155,859

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,069 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x880b…c98bbacked Evil Geniuses23c15,145$3,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,510.8126650.8%135 W · 131 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Evil Geniuses39c11,978$4,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,637.0626050%130 W · 130 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed KRÜ Esports80c11,000$8,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,203.1552155.5%289 W · 232 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked KRÜ Esports47c7,575$3,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,031.6668949.5%341 W · 348 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3542…c3c8backed KRÜ Esports50c7,504$3,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,782.428548.4%138 W · 147 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed KRÜ Esports77c6,126$4,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,40954751.2%280 W · 267 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2266…138abacked Evil Geniuses23c5,917$1,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3612142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+27.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Evil Geniuses62c5,435$3,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,343.155955.9%33 W · 26 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed KRÜ Esports49c3,911$1,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,982.3553159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xde8f…2c72backed KRÜ Esports59c3,000$1,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2171353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2460…e144backed KRÜ Esports67c2,987$1,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992.9328151.6%145 W · 136 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Evil Geniuses55c2,688$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,485.4393148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed KRÜ Esports75c2,561$1,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.692733.3%9 W · 18 L-5.2wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-37.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked KRÜ Esports53c2,159$1,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02365559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x823b…59e9backed KRÜ Esports73c1,788$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked KRÜ Esports57c1,621$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.4368458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed KRÜ Esports54c1,608$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.7856357.9%326 W · 237 L+36.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfc99…ce7ebacked Evil Geniuses50c1,596$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8002040%8 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Evil Geniuses54c1,442$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.6810455.8%58 W · 46 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Evil Geniuses56c1,400$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78432047.8%153 W · 167 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8634…1b5bbacked KRÜ Esports54c1,210$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.92757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x681b…3d79backed KRÜ Esports63c984.55$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.076339.7%25 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Evil Geniuses37c946.63$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.7137545.6%171 W · 204 L-1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed Evil Geniuses30c943.35$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.693836.8%14 W · 24 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed Evil Geniuses22c899.98$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1987252.8%38 W · 34 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked KRÜ Esports54c865.98$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.3194361.2%577 W · 366 L+58.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked KRÜ Esports53c825.94$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.553355.3%295 W · 238 L+24.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed KRÜ Esports57c617.43$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.211,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaadb…85f9backed Evil Geniuses22c579.08$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.6742840%171 W · 257 L-22.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0738…6392backed KRÜ Esports68c564.92$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.792157.1%12 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Evil Geniuses46c548.72$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.2527947.7%133 W · 146 L+0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Evil Geniuses52c487.51$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.8915342.5%65 W · 88 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x949e…20afbacked KRÜ Esports44c469.99$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.996636.4%24 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked KRÜ Esports76c441.97$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.331153.1%165 W · 146 L+15.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbdd4…9bcdbacked Evil Geniuses62c441.38$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.6412862.5%80 W · 48 L-9.7wins-0.08per pick70cpaid-10.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed KRÜ Esports14c437.47$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.388444%37 W · 47 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+0.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed KRÜ Esports52c432.58$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.640944.3%181 W · 228 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xba58…6d74backed KRÜ Esports79c427.8$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.8425555.7%142 W · 113 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed KRÜ Esports51c407.66$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.185225%13 W · 39 L-7.2wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-44.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xef85…2c38backed Evil Geniuses67c400$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.651526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.23per pick50cpaid-55.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed KRÜ Esports60c354.21$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.0262156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed KRÜ Esports78c337.22$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.833145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Evil Geniuses17c298.47$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5024457.8%141 W · 103 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed KRÜ Esports56c296.61$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.6129151.5%150 W · 141 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1ef…4a40backed Evil Geniuses23c290$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.7862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfda…5504backed Evil Geniuses22c272.73$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6016950.9%86 W · 83 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d91…c930backed Evil Geniuses79c270.62$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.7921257.1%121 W · 91 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed Evil Geniuses26c268.97$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.935459.3%32 W · 22 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+26.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3724…ff52backed KRÜ Esports57c253.05$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.12580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+47.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf8a8…48c0backed Evil Geniuses21c249.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-55.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc400…21a7backed KRÜ Esports60c246.25$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.123545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3a5…534cbacked Evil Geniuses43c232.76$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013044.6%58 W · 72 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked KRÜ Esports42c224.1$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.151,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked KRÜ Esports44c222.4$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.251,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x12bc…bf2fbacked KRÜ Esports37c219.2$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.196053.3%32 W · 28 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Evil Geniuses21c189.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.886338.1%24 W · 39 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3763…c7a1backed Evil Geniuses24c184.57$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-40.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked KRÜ Esports69c160$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.61,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x347d…098abacked Evil Geniuses45c144.44$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651450%7 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-29.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed Evil Geniuses21c139.58$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.311250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Evil Geniuses43c136.85$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.2545033.8%152 W · 298 L-35.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-32.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x20bf…2be9backed KRÜ Esports70c132.81$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.172650%13 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Evil Geniuses21c125$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2554439.9%217 W · 327 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ee8…7406backed Evil Geniuses21c113$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2522542.7%96 W · 129 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c2…eef4backed Evil Geniuses18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206654.5%36 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4209…0706backed KRÜ Esports59c102.04$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.7580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+38.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked KRÜ Esports74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2626450%132 W · 132 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f08…e919backed Evil Geniuses25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510630.2%32 W · 74 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a38…d420backed Evil Geniuses39c97.25$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.221030%3 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-51.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked KRÜ Esports48c95.46$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.471,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf33…0353backed Evil Geniuses38c89.67$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8333346.5%155 W · 178 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed KRÜ Esports25c89.15$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.877929.5%230 W · 549 L-72.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed KRÜ Esports64c87.04$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2263652.7%335 W · 301 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked KRÜ Esports61c87$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.9312147.1%57 W · 64 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce7a…fef0backed Evil Geniuses22c86.17$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.371118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.24per pick43cpaid-67.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed KRÜ Esports39c83.74$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.3657517.7%102 W · 473 L-71.7wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-42.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x009b…26dabacked KRÜ Esports47c79$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.662653.8%14 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick39cpaid+38.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc376…a8e7backed Evil Geniuses39c76.7$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012350.4%62 W · 61 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5341…92d6backed KRÜ Esports51c76.45$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.761963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9851…1320backed Evil Geniuses35c75.78$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.63253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c5d…d5dfbacked Evil Geniuses45c75.72$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346355.6%35 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e5…c8d1backed KRÜ Esports46c64.19$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.457949.4%39 W · 40 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc064…6fa8backed Evil Geniuses37c62.95$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1214454.2%78 W · 66 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ca3…be8ebacked Evil Geniuses22c61.05$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.431250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed KRÜ Esports58c59.75$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.130147.2%142 W · 159 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47d2…1945backed KRÜ Esports22c59.65$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.653729.7%11 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-31%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0181…9b5fbacked KRÜ Esports70c55$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7527850%139 W · 139 L+21.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x90a7…6929backed KRÜ Esports47c53.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.191145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba27…5c9dbacked KRÜ Esports48c53.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0fb…b170backed KRÜ Esports79c51.09$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.733342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked KRÜ Esports78c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1119943.7%87 W · 112 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed Evil Geniuses48c49.95$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0620248%97 W · 105 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Evil Geniuses63c47.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3324032.1%77 W · 163 L-18.7wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-34.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf961…34ddbacked Evil Geniuses73c47.12$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1791…3e87backed Evil Geniuses51c41.4$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.224751.8%128 W · 119 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x236c…c059backed Evil Geniuses35c40.23$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b60…76d5backed KRÜ Esports58c33.58$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.165442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-26.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea32…7060backed KRÜ Esports53c33.32$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.663100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+66.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca5e…4a1cbacked KRÜ Esports56c33.18$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.561776.5%13 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.15per pick61cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed KRÜ Esports52c32.65$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6825752.1%134 W · 123 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.