TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5341…92d6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
80
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Valorant, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 56 out of 100; worst Lol at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2532%8 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Apex Mission Impossible vs Citadel Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Apex Mission Impossible · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.06
LoL: GMBLERS ESPORTS vs Zena Esports (BO5) - LIT Playoffsbacked Zena Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.22
LoL: GMBLERS ESPORTS vs Zena Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Zena Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$314.21
LoL: Maryville University vs Winthrop University - Game 1 Winnerbacked Winthrop University · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
LoL: GIANTX vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$260.11
LoL: GIANTX vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.76
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+45%+$14.66
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$31.22
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.64
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$98.86
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$515Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$515.32
LoL: NRG Esports vs CCG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Seasonbacked CCG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.07
LoL: Conviction vs Blue Otter (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Seasonbacked Blue Otter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.08
LoL: Bubliki vs ZeroZone Gaming (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Seasonbacked ZeroZone Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.41
LoL: Vitality.Bee vs Galions - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vitality.Bee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.75
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.84
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.27
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.46
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+153.6%+$196.68
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+72.8%+$120.08
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+913.5%+$92.58
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+144.4%+$111.71
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G Global Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$223.18
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.13
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+49.7%+$94.58
All 25 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT1963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs Evil Geniuses - Map 2 Winnerbacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+97.6%+$37.76
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.02
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$59.32
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+173.7%+$258.92
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.36
Valorant: All Gamers vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Playoffsbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+69%+$244.73
Valorant: T1 vs FULL SENSE - Map 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.87
Valorant: All Gamers vs Dragon Ranger Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+61.2%+$193.16
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$75.3
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.2
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+43.7%+$15.79
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Global Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$26.92
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Global Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.76
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.63
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Heretics - Map 1 Winnerbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.71
Valorant: DRX vs FULL SENSE - Map 2 Winnerbacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+130%+$89.69
Valorant: DRX vs FULL SENSE - Map 1 Winnerbacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+120.5%+$252.93
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Global Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+46.6%+$51.81
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Global Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+94.5%+$89.98
All 19 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Lavked - Map 2 Winnerbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$85.99
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Lavked (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Playoffsbacked Lavked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.32
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs AaB Esport (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Playoffsbacked AaB Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.68
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs AaB Esport - Map 2 Winnerbacked AaB Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.83
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs AaB Esport - Map 1 Winnerbacked AaB Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+75.2%+$237.73
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs AM Gaming (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Playoffsbacked Tricked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$296.53
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs AM Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked AM Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+94.8%+$57.6
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs AM Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Tricked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+59.3%+$88.74
Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs BIG Academy (BO3) - United21 Playoffsbacked Fire Flux Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.6
Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs BIG Academy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Fire Flux Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$44.31
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs Bebop - Map 2 Winnerbacked Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.82
All 11 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs 1win (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.93
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs 1win - Game 1 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$341Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+114.2%+$389.02
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+37.5%+$66.2
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs REKONIX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$305.97
Dota 2: Satan666 vs GLYPH - Game 2 Winnerbacked GLYPH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+74.6%+$43.49
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+72.5%+$348.26
Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+97.7%+$241.75
Dota 2: Satan666 vs Grind Back - Game 2 Winnerbacked Grind Back · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+75.2%+$149.37
Dota 2: Satan666 vs Grind Back - Game 1 Winnerbacked Satan666 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.79
All 9 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick69cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy be named the 2025 BBC Sports Personality of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+58.7%+$17.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$253.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Moise Kouame vs Ugo Humbertbacked Moise Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,044Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$1,043.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$16.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Flying Tulip launch a token by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$16.37
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.