TailMyPicks

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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs BIG Academy (BO3) - United21 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BIG Academyof Fire Flux Esports, BIG Academy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$39,411
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,555

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,411 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Fire Flux Esports22c5,238$1,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,173.473,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd57b…c48fbacked BIG Academy77c4,490$3,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017.717062.9%44 W · 26 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick70cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde8f…2c72backed BIG Academy75c4,187$3,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,054.1528056.4%158 W · 122 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Fire Flux Esports31c1,288$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.65,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked Fire Flux Esports27c1,269$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.1619540%78 W · 117 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Fire Flux Esports26c1,180$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.557641.5%239 W · 337 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8668…7f8fbacked BIG Academy59c1,106$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.0813343.6%58 W · 75 L-9.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x928a…8044backed BIG Academy72c799.99$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22420358.6%119 W · 84 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dfe…2ac7backed BIG Academy68c740.06$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.06683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick72cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Fire Flux Esports23c732.18$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.2343544.6%194 W · 241 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Fire Flux Esports32c624.19$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.1414839.2%58 W · 90 L-0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked Fire Flux Esports43c615$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.4529839.3%117 W · 181 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Fire Flux Esports23c588.07$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.412,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Fire Flux Esports25c497.38$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.786,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52e5…60babacked BIG Academy71c494.21$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.216965.2%45 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Fire Flux Esports21c469.91$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.395,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked BIG Academy78c396.05$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.374,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Fire Flux Esports31c394.62$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.331,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x56d6…4404backed BIG Academy79c383.16$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.3564058.1%372 W · 268 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb963…3fa0backed BIG Academy58c381.73$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.3350043%215 W · 285 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Fire Flux Esports26c375.3$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.44,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb897…e44ebacked Fire Flux Esports42c357.86$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15014939.6%59 W · 90 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb31b…d703backed BIG Academy65c315.38$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.3838552.7%203 W · 182 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaaa1…d5dabacked Fire Flux Esports28c310.71$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8730031.7%95 W · 205 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed Fire Flux Esports30c300$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.141,21640.1%488 W · 728 L-65.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5341…92d6backed Fire Flux Esports25c292.87$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.61145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed Fire Flux Esports45c290.57$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13035839.4%141 W · 217 L+1.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Fire Flux Esports36c264.55$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.245,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7129…4517backed Fire Flux Esports35c259.99$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911,07637.6%405 W · 671 L+34.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Fire Flux Esports38c236.81$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.962,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa5b…7650backed Fire Flux Esports42c224.09$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955628.6%16 W · 40 L-9.5wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-37.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed BIG Academy60c208.33$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.331,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Fire Flux Esports34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked BIG Academy60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8033459%197 W · 137 L+24.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked BIG Academy58c180$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.658343.6%254 W · 329 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b6e…c21abacked Fire Flux Esports28c174.65$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed BIG Academy60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6747447.5%225 W · 249 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e48…6158backed BIG Academy60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6738052.6%200 W · 180 L+0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e51…71d4backed BIG Academy63c154.56$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.5617153.2%91 W · 80 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6013…9826backed BIG Academy70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8611863.6%75 W · 43 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ee1…377abacked Fire Flux Esports29c138.17$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0721354.5%116 W · 97 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked BIG Academy74c129.99$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.358254.3%316 W · 266 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Fire Flux Esports24c129.93$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.117,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a0e…b0babacked Fire Flux Esports42c117.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509445.7%43 W · 51 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f6d…71b4backed BIG Academy60c116.37$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.373354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Fire Flux Esports40c107.89$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0823653.8%127 W · 109 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed BIG Academy57c105$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.21,48558%862 W · 623 L+66.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c66…7f9bbacked BIG Academy68c102.39$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.391844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Fire Flux Esports39c102.33$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.426246.9%123 W · 139 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9e4…24c2backed BIG Academy70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.533354.4%181 W · 152 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5ec…23bdbacked BIG Academy78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224955.1%27 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae8e…08f9backed Fire Flux Esports48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4837050.5%187 W · 183 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked BIG Academy52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4891648.9%448 W · 468 L+4.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf01f…e8fbbacked Fire Flux Esports22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228230.5%25 W · 57 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3090…be73backed Fire Flux Esports36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364252.4%22 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Fire Flux Esports40c93.64$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4512426.6%33 W · 91 L-10.9wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed Fire Flux Esports44c93$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8549143%211 W · 280 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3515…6851backed Fire Flux Esports22c90.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-30.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Fire Flux Esports31c86.41$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.854,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcc9…e4afbacked BIG Academy58c84.95$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.687143.7%31 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked BIG Academy72c84.9$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3978963.8%503 W · 286 L-2.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Fire Flux Esports29c78.15$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.382,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x1b78…e589backed BIG Academy70c76.67$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9535861.7%221 W · 137 L+18.3wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7344…98f6backed BIG Academy59c67.8$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.818043.3%78 W · 102 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf6…c27dbacked Fire Flux Esports29c65$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.711341.6%47 W · 66 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30f4…8c1ebacked BIG Academy71c65$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8527947.7%133 W · 146 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe479…70dfbacked Fire Flux Esports36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e7a…2c0abacked BIG Academy59c54.24$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.243444.1%15 W · 19 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-23.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8480…8b20backed BIG Academy60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201776.5%13 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick67cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbda…18b1backed Fire Flux Esports20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-18.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed BIG Academy62c49.98$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.991,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5844…12e2backed Fire Flux Esports37c48.65$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb676…2dbbbacked BIG Academy73c41.1$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.113954%75 W · 64 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed Fire Flux Esports37c40.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1531532.4%102 W · 213 L-15.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x85b6…b953backed BIG Academy59c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.410043%43 W · 57 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x11e1…8d38backed BIG Academy63c40$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.811561.7%71 W · 44 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7173…7a4cbacked Fire Flux Esports27c39.66$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.91850%9 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde7f…d8dbbacked Fire Flux Esports46c39.13$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1820744%91 W · 116 L-0.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed5b…8e60backed Fire Flux Esports39c38.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156940.6%28 W · 41 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed BIG Academy74c35$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.12,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed BIG Academy57c31$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3318057.2%103 W · 77 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-6.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd9d…2269backed Fire Flux Esports36c30.82$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.115765%102 W · 55 L+15.6wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+20.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked Fire Flux Esports40c27.61$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0444563.8%284 W · 161 L+19.5wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb420…0689backed BIG Academy77c26.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.053100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f1d…009abacked BIG Academy59c25.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.42742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f4c…d284backed BIG Academy60c24.23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed BIG Academy58c18.02$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5776248.4%369 W · 393 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.