TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xed5b…8e60

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
151
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Premier League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 52 out of 100; worst Middle East at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT6940.6%28 W · 41 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 69 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.87
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs ASTRAL (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Group Stagebacked ASTRAL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Walczaki (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Finals Playoffsbacked Walczaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series#3 Group Dbacked Bushido Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+121.3%+$21.83
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs MASONIC (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #3 Group Bbacked MASONIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.25
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stagebacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+146.1%+$17.53
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+116.5%+$17.48
Counter-Strike: paiN vs M80 (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+114.8%+$20.67
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Liquid (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+114.3%+$13.72
Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Lynn Vision (BO5) - Asian Champions League Playoffsbacked JiJieHao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+57.1%+$6.86
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Liquid (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs M80 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+101.5%+$17.25
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Sashi Esport (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked TDK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Counter-Strike: Alter Ego vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group Bbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.78
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 5star (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group Abacked 5star · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$19.58
Showing 25 of 69 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT3036.7%11 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
LoL: Shifters vs Galions (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+211.7%+$31.76
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+283.3%+$42.49
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+118.6%+$14.23
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+191.3%+$28.7
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$50.22
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+96.8%+$14.52
LoL: BIG vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group Abacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.76
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$3.33
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$4.31
LoL: Fnatic vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+190.5%+$20.13
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.49
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+357.4%+$54.55
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT130%0 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Middle East — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.06
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.95
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.99
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.1
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.26
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.42
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11.9
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$61
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$21
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14.38
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Monza: Martin Landaluce vs Hugo Gastonbacked Hugo Gaston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.62
Madrid: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Toby Samuelbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.62
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.57
Bucharest Open: Titouan Droguet vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+143.6%+$16.03
Bucharest Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Dino Prizmicbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+223.1%+$45.13
Bucharest Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Adrian Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.67
Grand Prix Hassan II: Ignacio Buse vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+108.4%+$12.1
Grand Prix Hassan II, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaerbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.84
All 8 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+22.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick33cpaid+100%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+92.8%+$22.27
Will Clube do Remo vs. SE Palmeiras end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+57.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+57.7%+$8.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+56.6%+$11.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stripe’s market cap be between $80B and $100B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$44.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hamnet win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vitória SC vs. Casa Pia AC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.