TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
T1of T1, DN SOOPers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$163,108
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$195,320

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,108 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 216 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1341…0853backed DN SOOPers35c21,551$7,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,618.271,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed T162c19,800$12,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,604.931,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed T165c15,000$9,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,25091854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed DN SOOPers38c14,000$5,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,319.9459450.2%298 W · 296 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked DN SOOPers37c10,700$3,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,937.351,50154.5%818 W · 683 L+34.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8479…40dfbacked DN SOOPers38c10,190$3,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,872.024528.9%13 W · 32 L-7.1wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-33.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed DN SOOPers35c10,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,499.9882352.7%434 W · 389 L+41.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked DN SOOPers35c10,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,499.9814549.7%72 W · 73 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked DN SOOPers37c8,671$3,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,207.961,48550.1%744 W · 741 L+67.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked T164c7,000$4,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,51067552.4%354 W · 321 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed DN SOOPers38c6,875$2,613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,612.6614247.2%67 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed T162c6,801$4,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,597.8925143.4%109 W · 142 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked DN SOOPers35c6,184$2,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,147.5770456.4%397 W · 307 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3fbd…c4e4backed T165c5,371$3,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,879.8552538.9%204 W · 321 L+18.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f03…b1bebacked DN SOOPers39c5,000$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9501,13252.5%594 W · 538 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa55…e024backed T163c4,000$2,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4802955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24c7…77c4backed T164c3,613$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,312.99344.1%41 W · 52 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed T162c3,300$2,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,243.522,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked T165c3,000$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,05012664.3%81 W · 45 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick72cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe02…be9dbacked T162c3,000$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,14026856%150 W · 118 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa941…ec2ebacked T164c3,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.9951160.3%308 W · 203 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cb7…d613backed DN SOOPers39c2,880$1,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,122.97333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-40.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed DN SOOPers36c2,805$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,009.861,30555.9%729 W · 576 L+44.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5217…ec29backed T164c2,500$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.9721154.5%115 W · 96 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed T166c2,410$1,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.4124147.3%114 W · 127 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked DN SOOPers38c2,316$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88089050.6%450 W · 440 L+14.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa5e…1468backed T165c2,284$1,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.37549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f49…463abacked T162c1,900$1,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72220045%90 W · 110 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9867…ea53backed DN SOOPers36c1,847$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.8613752.6%72 W · 65 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a2c…5172backed T162c1,613$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.943640.6%177 W · 259 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ba8…d72bbacked T164c1,606$1,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.0717659.7%105 W · 71 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd83…7d7cbacked T166c1,600$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54421559.5%128 W · 87 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x321d…d0acbacked T164c1,530$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.6612462.9%78 W · 46 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed DN SOOPers35c1,500$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.991,02952.3%538 W · 491 L+27.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked T162c1,300$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.9911753%62 W · 55 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60cd…93f5backed T163c1,270$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.8423672%170 W · 66 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed T164c1,221$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.561,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a4c…068abacked T162c1,200$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45610335.9%37 W · 66 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-27.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed T162c1,112$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.5252750.5%266 W · 261 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed T165c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3501,15156%644 W · 507 L+25.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed T164c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36047455.3%262 W · 212 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked T164c888$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.681,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf38…848bbacked T165c888$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.814352.4%75 W · 68 L+0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x211d…3ab7backed T163c882.67$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.6716344.8%73 W · 90 L-12.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed DN SOOPers37c861.29$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.686144.1%380 W · 481 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b39…7fbcbacked T162c850$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3239750.5%49 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x93f4…ea90backed T163c810$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.41,11049%544 W · 566 L+42.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked T163c794.11$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.1135353.5%189 W · 164 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaee1…77fcbacked T165c769.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.231127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+48.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed DN SOOPers39c702.14$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.712,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed DN SOOPers20c669.41$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.88742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+49.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b2f…7284backed DN SOOPers39c666.67$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-51.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb449…5e07backed T165c646.15$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.151070%7 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+25.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fe4…d0f1backed T165c620$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2174151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54f6…b0f2backed T165c615.38$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.384461.4%27 W · 17 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+24.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c22…0c2cbacked DN SOOPers34c563.1$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.074755.3%26 W · 21 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+14.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8e8c…6657backed T165c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17517561.1%107 W · 68 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed T165c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17565063.2%411 W · 239 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed DN SOOPers39c491.4$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.762,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a5e…8fd0backed T162c483.87$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.8753753.6%288 W · 249 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f4adbacked T165c461.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.5410351.5%53 W · 50 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked T162c422.58$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.5837640.2%151 W · 225 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked T163c421.21$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.858053.8%43 W · 37 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa5b…7650backed DN SOOPers21c419.52$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884156.1%23 W · 18 L+6.2wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+27.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed T165c404.63$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.6246257.8%267 W · 195 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked T162c404.51$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.7121844%96 W · 122 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x443c…d83abacked T165c384.12$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.448749.4%43 W · 44 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd186…ed6ebacked DN SOOPers36c369$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.843447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f6d…71b4backed T164c367.45$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.284751.1%24 W · 23 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked DN SOOPers17c350.68$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.7848844.3%216 W · 272 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8001…c76fbacked DN SOOPers39c344$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.162955.2%16 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+34.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdf7c…4c16backed T162c335.48$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.4833237.7%125 W · 207 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b20…19ddbacked T160c332.15$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed DN SOOPers35c325.38$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.881,18044.5%525 W · 655 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcea6…67adbacked T162c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5828150.5%142 W · 139 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee0e…38bbbacked T162c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5876047%357 W · 403 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed T162c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5821946.6%102 W · 117 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbdd…cd9dbacked T162c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5822562.2%140 W · 85 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc553…5928backed T163c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.4641743.9%183 W · 234 L+1.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b2b…d4d3backed T165c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.6910240.2%41 W · 61 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed T165c306.15$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.1528652.8%151 W · 135 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a29…836dbacked T165c304.69$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.645154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed T165c304$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.41,24152.7%654 W · 587 L+5.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed DN SOOPers36c300$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10817136.3%62 W · 109 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c1…3e0bbacked T164c300$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10863646.9%298 W · 338 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed T162c299.99$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11352045%234 W · 286 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed DN SOOPers35c299.99$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10564453.9%347 W · 297 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed T165c268.81$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.0837641.8%157 W · 219 L-18.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc064…6fa8backed T162c266.13$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.1346846.8%219 W · 249 L-23.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8532…5fafbacked T162c266.13$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.1356744.8%254 W · 313 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5c3…1f5fbacked T163c250$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.579653.1%423 W · 373 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed T165c230$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.585746.3%397 W · 460 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26c6…1e14backed DN SOOPers35c230$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.528350.2%142 W · 141 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa2f0…3206backed T161c216.05$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.2212647.6%60 W · 66 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8983…d301backed T162c201.61$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.6116253.7%87 W · 75 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51e6…80d2backed T164c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7211244.6%50 W · 62 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3911…30f3backed T165c193.42$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.715953.5%85 W · 74 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75c1…22e4backed T165c189.23$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2317757.6%102 W · 75 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked T165c187$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.4510165.3%66 W · 35 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked DN SOOPers39c179.63$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.761,06154.7%580 W · 481 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.