Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e0f2557ebdf511144ec0c5314cb8bc4795da37b2b679061b831fde5f4bf1548
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,238
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,435
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,238 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Over | 36c | 11,730$4,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,180.96 | 1,490 | 54.6%813 W · 677 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Under | 64c | 9,000$5,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,240 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Over | 33c | 5,000$1,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.1 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Under | 70c | 2,500$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Under | 67c | 2,005$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.76 | 579 | 45.9%266 W · 313 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Under | 70c | 1,500$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.68 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Over | 33c | 1,465$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.76 | 2,152 | 53.3%1,147 W · 1,005 L | +58.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 66c | 1,222$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.48 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Under | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 126 | 44.4%56 W · 70 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 70c | 848.63$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.89 | 1,587 | 43.8%695 W · 892 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed Over | 30c | 750.33$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.1 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Over | 31c | 548.16$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.93 | 889 | 50.5%449 W · 440 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Under | 70c | 534.89$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.47 | 240 | 41.3%99 W · 141 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 30c | 299.38$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.49 | 171 | 36.3%62 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…2c42backed Under | 67c | 298.07$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.37 | 181 | 41.4%75 W · 106 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Under | 67c | 277.99$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.74 | 437 | 39.8%174 W · 263 L | -23.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked Over | 17c | 224.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 488 | 44.3%216 W · 272 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c6…ff7dbacked Under | 67c | 210.34$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.41 | 230 | 23%53 W · 177 L | -19.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8c…1991backed Under | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 332 | 54.2%180 W · 152 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ac…6b83backed Under | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Under | 70c | 143.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 406 | 45.6%185 W · 221 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 65c | 119$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.14 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe783…aa3abacked Under | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 166 | 34.9%58 W · 108 L | -19.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Under | 69c | 95.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 530 | 47.2%250 W · 280 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 67c | 92.02$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.08 | 1,459 | 43.3%632 W · 827 L | -33.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 33c | 84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 450 | 44.7%201 W · 249 L | -29.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Over | 30c | 77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 224 | 52.7%118 W · 106 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Under | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 68c | 70.44$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 348 | 34.2%119 W · 229 L | -39.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 2,222 | 37.4%832 W · 1,390 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 64c | 53.85$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 1,381 | 45.1%623 W · 758 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd6…bf96backed Over | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Over | 33c | 45.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 357 | 55.7%199 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2edd…cf00backed Over | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e8…ef2bbacked Under | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 645 | 56.6%365 W · 280 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 63c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 404 | 41.8%169 W · 235 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x941e…9775backed Under | 70c | 24.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 170 | 67.1%114 W · 56 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)T1 won
- LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2T1 won
- LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 WinnerT1 won
- LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 WinnerT1 won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.