TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
T1of T1, DN SOOPers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$503,093
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$595,162

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $503,093 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 243 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7441…cb79backed DN SOOPers1c48,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240360%0 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed DN SOOPers18c45,958$8,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,342.741,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed DN SOOPers18c36,957$6,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,802.336826.5%18 W · 50 L-10.4wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-46.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked DN SOOPers18c20,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,60057246%263 W · 309 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc75a…1ab2backed DN SOOPers0c11,634$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.127869.8%77 W · 709 L+22.8wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+41.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed DN SOOPers19c9,249$1,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,787.81,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed DN SOOPers17c9,103$1,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,547.551146.8%239 W · 272 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb234…1c20backed DN SOOPers17c7,000$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,19030845.1%139 W · 169 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55d9…832cbacked DN SOOPers17c7,000$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,19030945.3%140 W · 169 L+1.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6802…fd8abacked DN SOOPers2c6,479$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee7c…70f2backed DN SOOPers18c6,352$1,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,117.6348533.6%163 W · 322 L+23.8wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed DN SOOPers33c6,000$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,98027353.1%145 W · 128 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked T180c6,000$4,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,202.351,09252.4%572 W · 520 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd408…e85cbacked T180c5,913$4,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,182.538462%238 W · 146 L-0.4wins0.00per pick62cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa980…30a1backed DN SOOPers0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1044120%88 W · 353 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-25.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21d0…42b1backed DN SOOPers19c5,000$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9505942.4%25 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04b1…d224backed DN SOOPers19c4,686$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.5940651.7%210 W · 196 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed DN SOOPers21c4,500$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93359450.2%298 W · 296 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed T180c4,431$3,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.2954429.6%161 W · 383 L-35.2wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed DN SOOPers0c4,343$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0396149.9%480 W · 481 L+4.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked DN SOOPers1c3,820$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7267552.4%354 W · 321 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed T180c3,760$3,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7521,30555.9%729 W · 576 L+44.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ca0…38babacked DN SOOPers1c3,300$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331,44143.4%625 W · 816 L+105.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+20.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x42e2…d154backed DN SOOPers5c3,121$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.4110253.9%55 W · 47 L+9.9wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+20.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed DN SOOPers21c3,058$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.1981143.5%353 W · 458 L+30.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f03…b1bebacked DN SOOPers21c3,000$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.921,13252.5%594 W · 538 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x634a…6de3backed T180c2,980$2,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5968746%40 W · 47 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+22.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed DN SOOPers18c2,777$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.8685836.2%311 W · 547 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb35…b62abacked DN SOOPers19c2,632$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50026549.1%130 W · 135 L+21.5wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x93ba…afdabacked DN SOOPers0c2,532$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2817616.5%29 W · 147 L-11.9wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-36.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed DN SOOPers17c2,500$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42596250.1%482 W · 480 L+1.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed T174c2,309$1,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.351,93048.2%930 W · 1,000 L+24.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dc5…df4ebacked T173c2,178$1,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.87757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick75cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked DN SOOPers25c2,082$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.6495041.6%395 W · 555 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed DN SOOPers20c2,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40044335.4%157 W · 286 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked DN SOOPers31c1,990$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.9213545.9%62 W · 73 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed DN SOOPers18c1,970$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.3385442.7%365 W · 489 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed DN SOOPers19c1,832$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.8286144.1%380 W · 481 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b63…e4aabacked T174c1,758$1,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.71757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick77cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed DN SOOPers23c1,740$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.373,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2a…5ae1backed T180c1,737$1,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.31560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb4d…1348backed T171c1,711$1,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.51757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick77cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked DN SOOPers16c1,686$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.891,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed DN SOOPers20c1,673$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.542,15253.3%1,147 W · 1,005 L+58.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8a5…3c5dbacked DN SOOPers1c1,650$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41e…9350backed DN SOOPers34c1,646$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.3711736.8%43 W · 74 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+46.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed T179c1,620$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.257945.9%266 W · 313 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked T179c1,616$1,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.651,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed DN SOOPers30c1,605$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.2284050.1%421 W · 419 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4835…72d0backed T171c1,558$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.34757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick77cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed DN SOOPers17c1,515$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.4313936%50 W · 89 L-0.5wins0.00per pick36cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked DN SOOPers3c1,500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505420.4%11 W · 43 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-40.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x29e6…3365backed T180c1,500$1,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30325368.4%173 W · 80 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick66cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9919…f261backed DN SOOPers18c1,472$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26518742.8%80 W · 107 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb616…b9a1backed DN SOOPers13c1,400$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18427638.4%106 W · 170 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x78d9…70f6backed DN SOOPers1c1,400$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.829527.1%80 W · 215 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed T173c1,366$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.2576142%320 W · 441 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed DN SOOPers11c1,364$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15043642.4%185 W · 251 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed DN SOOPers23c1,303$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30013452.2%70 W · 64 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed DN SOOPers6c1,298$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.871,20335.7%430 W · 773 L+6.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid+4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfc04…f726backed DN SOOPers3c1,295$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.275738.6%292 W · 465 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea5…6163backed T180c1,280$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.9645366%299 W · 154 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14fb…263abacked DN SOOPers18c1,251$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.234630.4%14 W · 32 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf344…13ffbacked T180c1,250$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25028166.5%187 W · 94 L+12.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x97ea…3363backed T177c1,250$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28516058.8%94 W · 66 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+23.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed DN SOOPers20c1,186$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.8225952.9%137 W · 122 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed DN SOOPers21c1,163$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.2514247.2%67 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ef9…7a60backed DN SOOPers1c1,150$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.514437.5%54 W · 90 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-21.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed DN SOOPers29c1,149$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.721,18352%615 W · 568 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03bc…ad27backed T166c1,140$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.1516761.1%102 W · 65 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc623…5808backed T167c1,139$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.812446%57 W · 67 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe724…2072backed DN SOOPers7c1,100$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.25747.4%27 W · 30 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid+34%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeef3…0547backed DN SOOPers27c1,093$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30032351.4%166 W · 157 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a4c…068abacked DN SOOPers20c1,014$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.1810335.9%37 W · 66 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-27.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0bb8…aa5fbacked DN SOOPers1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102261.8%4 W · 222 L-0.5wins0.00per pick2cpaid-29.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebe7…ddf5backed T180c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2005764.9%37 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked T180c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20026360.1%158 W · 105 L+1.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed DN SOOPers21c1,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21032234.5%111 W · 211 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde0c…a715backed T179c1,000$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21025269.8%176 W · 76 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+5.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked T178c999.33$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.321,00342.5%426 W · 577 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed DN SOOPers21c894.99$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.051,05628.5%301 W · 755 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked DN SOOPers19c893.42$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.751,48250%741 W · 741 L+65.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xae5e…13bebacked DN SOOPers20c813.66$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.7349541.6%206 W · 289 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed T180c811.99$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.674250.5%375 W · 367 L-1.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x568b…5573backed DN SOOPers20c800$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1603925.6%10 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed T178c793.07$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.4825143.4%109 W · 142 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked DN SOOPers12c752.92$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902,82041.4%1,167 W · 1,653 L-14.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d29…8e90backed T172c721.56$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.9619559%115 W · 80 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed DN SOOPers24c719.81$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.792,90338.5%1,119 W · 1,784 L-117.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed DN SOOPers20c700$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401,79251.1%916 W · 876 L+50.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7db…6129backed T174c700$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1853933.3%13 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdef2…98e0backed T180c687.5$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.511265.2%73 W · 39 L-0.2wins0.00per pick65cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8290…d896backed DN SOOPers4c683.33$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed T176c672.16$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.8749461.3%303 W · 191 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xce7b…5a2cbacked DN SOOPers18c636$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.481526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-39.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked T180c625$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12535353.5%189 W · 164 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked DN SOOPers17c617.32$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.941,36837.7%516 W · 852 L-6.8wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb8c2…eef4backed T174c614.59$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.89259.8%55 W · 37 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x488e…ea2ebacked DN SOOPers32c600$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19217644.3%78 W · 98 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0da3…1b45backed DN SOOPers19c579.99$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.826742.3%113 W · 154 L-19.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-19.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.