TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x75c1…22e4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
418
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst Valorant at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT17757.6%102 W · 75 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 177 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team Solid vs RMD Gaming (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked Team Solid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$41.39
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$97.69
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$155.62
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$80.18
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$264
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.81
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
LoL: RED Canids vs LOS - Game 2 Winnerbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+77.3%+$89.69
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$60.27
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$55.53
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$70.48
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffsbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 2 Winnerbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$50.69
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 1 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$80
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 2 Winnerbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$80
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$75
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 1 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$60
LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.71
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffsbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.99
LoL: Leviatan Esports vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked paiN Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$31.02
Showing 25 of 177 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT10450%52 W · 52 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 104 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Lynn Vision - Map 1 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+63.6%+$64.87
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$165.88
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$162
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$344
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$119
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$123
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+51.9%+$76.25
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$118
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$88
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$78.93
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$80.93
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$80
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$49.18
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+77.9%+$153.47
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$81
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$27.8
Showing 25 of 104 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT5238.5%20 W · 32 L-8.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-30.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Valorant — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Sentinels (+1.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.69
Valorant: Cloud9 vs KRÜ Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.92
Valorant: Cloud9 vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.6
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.2
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alphabacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$143
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.7
Map Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs DetonatioN FocusMe (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.8
Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Eternal Fire (+1.5)backed Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Pcific Esports (+1.5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Map Handicap: FS (-1.5) vs ZETA DIVISION (+1.5)backed FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Valorant: VARREL vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked VARREL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs G2 Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$94.29
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs G2 Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+65.5%+$65.52
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+34.9%+$37.67
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+67%+$52.92
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$118
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$176
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$123
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$50
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$36
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$51.68
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE - Map 1 Winnerbacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$73
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT2365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$37.71
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$105.71
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$192.16
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+70.4%+$140.89
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$91.03
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$103.03
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$81.31
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$88.79
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$40.57
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$78.11
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$82.69
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$118
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$42.2
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$47.95
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$69.86
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.44
Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+87.8%+$122.96
All 23 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT2045%9 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-05-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$148.67
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.54
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.99
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$292.5
Will SC Internacional win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.23
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-05-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.88
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+57.8%+$132.87
Will SE Palmeiras vs. Club Cerro Porteño end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Fluminense FC vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+112.4%+$134.9
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Will CA Paranaense vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$77.14
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$340
Will Botafogo FR vs. SC Corinthians Paulista end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$127.27
Will CA Boston River win on 2026-05-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$89.33
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$90
Will Cusco FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$211
All 20 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+28.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on May 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.99
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+458.7%+$85.32
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$95.99
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.3
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.99
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on May 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.92
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on May 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$129.98
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on May 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.4
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+146.8%+$129.17
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.48
All 10 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+120%+$240.06
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$144.1
Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - 1win Essence Decider Stagebacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+43.6%+$74.62
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs MODUS (BO3) - European Pro League Group Bbacked Team Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Inner Circle (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffsbacked Inner Circle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.99
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Inner Circle - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nemiga Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+68.7%+$28.91
All 8 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-54.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+65%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$48.45
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+93%+$92.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$25.84
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$94.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.52
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.