TailMyPicks
Market

La Liga · resolved market

Will Athletic Club vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,156
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$57,785

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,156 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No57c5,315$3,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,054.5413844.9%62 W · 76 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes30c2,684$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,879.3315559.4%92 W · 63 L+0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No70c2,500$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7501,18651.7%613 W · 573 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes30c1,667$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.676848.5%33 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51f9…26f8backed No69c1,514$1,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04520%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No16c1,501$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.9161032.3%197 W · 413 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed No1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15306.7%2 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick3cpaid+50%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No57c1,103$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.11,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c7a…7625backed Yes29c1,043$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.4540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked No1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10533.8%2 W · 51 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+82.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed No1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333%1 W · 32 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+203%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No13c972.29$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.5212823.4%30 W · 98 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-43.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x19e9…239bbacked Yes31c967.74$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.742842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed No30c738.14$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.357440.5%30 W · 44 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+5.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a35…2580backed Yes74c636.52$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.184452.3%23 W · 21 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yes32c625$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4254240.5%17 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No70c624.61$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.372,34748.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No70c616.94$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.8640357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No70c599.97$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.9865356.5%369 W · 284 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes53c544.5$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.6157839.3%227 W · 351 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes30c500$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3503046.7%14 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed Yes30c460.6$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.426839.7%27 W · 41 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes54c437.94$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.891,42145.7%649 W · 772 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes30c399.96$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.9719255.2%106 W · 86 L+11.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc6a6…fec7backed No19c389.79$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.293658.3%21 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7106…1caabacked Yes41c374.48$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.482729.6%8 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No28c340.53$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8992345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked No71c338.03$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2409766%64 W · 33 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e57…a79abacked Yes30c333.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.331040%4 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+22.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No53c317.25$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.9663553.1%337 W · 298 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75c1…22e4backed Yes32c312.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.5650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No70c308.28$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.2969350.2%348 W · 345 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked No33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9910121.8%22 W · 79 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No53c288.85$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.0858548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Yes30c260$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1822035%7 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x447d…bd4abacked No39c258.97$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004238.1%16 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d33…4af5backed No56c258.93$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1451040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x09f1…8332backed Yes49c241.73$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.95366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+19.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked No69c228$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.324443.2%19 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209946.5%46 W · 53 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-26.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a16…5f47backed No70c200$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14013644.9%61 W · 75 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7a7…55bebacked Yes30c200$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1403948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No39c184.38$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.633,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x256b…97bbbacked Yes30c166.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.67944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No35c162.29$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0841239.1%161 W · 251 L-11.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68ef…0687backed Yes68c147.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.82366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+60.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes68c146.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.035554.5%30 W · 25 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes32c131.84$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.3119840.4%80 W · 118 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0943…1d8dbacked Yes77c130$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c46…ce9bbacked Yes29c122.06$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.661752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No18c121.51$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4241323.2%96 W · 317 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes30c120$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8426853%142 W · 126 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No35c110$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.226641.4%110 W · 156 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+2.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No65c108.37$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.914,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef17…96bfbacked Yes79c100.96$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.962100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked No69c100$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-35.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1092…28d7backed Yes30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702931%9 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5803…3f3fbacked Yes61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick70cpaid+46.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes29c96.79$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.7275751%386 W · 371 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No68c93.71$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.7270050.6%354 W · 346 L+2.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ba3…1aecbacked No34c85.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.022737%10 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb4f…e4c0backed Yes76c78.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.452100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6aa1…a420backed Yes32c78.13$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.135824.1%14 W · 44 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-28.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Yes53c75.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.474748.9%23 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b90…672ebacked Yes28c71.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.172951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1349…2607backed Yes32c67.6$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No69c65$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8574657.4%428 W · 318 L+22.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No32c64.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4959855.5%332 W · 266 L+32.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No43c60.15$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7213658.1%79 W · 57 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No70c58$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.648251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa820…2dcebacked No70c57.14$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405945.8%27 W · 32 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5975…8148backed Yes67c56.31$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.58250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No71c52.08$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9892254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc20c…fdb5backed Yes31c51.88$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.85646.4%26 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No31c51.54$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7317842.1%75 W · 103 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd93d…27a0backed Yes31c46.16$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.853129%9 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c1b…63ddbacked Yes57c43.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.861145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-29.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8367…7eaebacked Yes47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.55911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.34per pick45cpaid-76.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3522…31a8backed Yes52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.463100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+67%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x336a…b88dbacked No69c37.5$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes75c35.97$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8821950.2%110 W · 109 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4552…eac6backed No70c35.72$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252466.7%16 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked Yes61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.791662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64ec…931dbacked Yes31c32.16$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.166717.9%12 W · 55 L-8.9wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-44.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x14f2…2cb0backed Yes32c31.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.251241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9186…06cdbacked No69c31.2$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d7b…a772backed Yes80c30$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed No70c28.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2022456.3%126 W · 98 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed No69c25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.257761%47 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x551e…a3f4backed Yes72c23.54$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.541770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed No70c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1411258%65 W · 47 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xced7…b7b5backed No70c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145152.9%27 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23e2…9ecdbacked No51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.23956.4%22 W · 17 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No70c15.19$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6331952.4%167 W · 152 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed No69c14.42$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0214856.8%84 W · 64 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.