TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Athletic Club win on 2026-05-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$263,724
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$310,781

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $263,724 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8b52…568ebacked No57c52,369$30,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,368.592070%14 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+18.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes44c35,000$15,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,399.9517248.8%84 W · 88 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed No56c32,022$17,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,089.543450%17 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c0a…77b5backed Yes0c25,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-36%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x658e…d758backed Yes45c22,598$10,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,166.7620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Yes42c12,788$5,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,370.8414146.8%66 W · 75 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes43c12,500$5,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,37524145.2%109 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No56c11,087$6,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,897.081,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes37c9,328$3,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,496.383,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Yes33c5,935$1,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9304440.9%18 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc788…8545backed Yes46c5,292$2,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,410.311338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No60c4,681$2,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,851.2583444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No65c4,641$2,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,647.314,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No66c4,492$2,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,510.1657139.2%224 W · 347 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9ff…79dcbacked Yes43c4,186$1,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,794.292365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.8wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+32.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No65c3,941$2,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,379.181,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No64c3,423$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,232.1260832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No55c2,851$1,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,277.872,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb890…ae4ebacked Yes45c2,702$1,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,203520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-55.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes44c2,657$1,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,169.149447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11a7…2c03backed Yes40c2,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002050%10 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed No78c2,485$1,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.673240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fd9…1ef0backed No56c2,281$1,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.4210450%52 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No56c2,207$1,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971.0411054.5%60 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No56c1,508$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.774457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes44c1,469$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.651,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No56c1,400$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.1610760.7%65 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked No55c1,100$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49317859.6%106 W · 72 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No56c977.27$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43040357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes43c920.44$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.7622448.2%108 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a35…2580backed No79c813.71$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.034452.3%23 W · 21 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Yes23c800$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18410121.8%22 W · 79 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes27c653.18$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.197440.5%30 W · 44 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+5.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4af7…2381backed Yes48c619.78$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004845.8%22 W · 26 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+19.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No55c610.16$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.3964457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No56c535.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.7113445.5%61 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38b8…f812backed Yes21c521.24$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.885556.4%31 W · 24 L+7.1wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+38.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3b29…556ebacked Yes20c501.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10060%0 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Yes44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2208246.3%38 W · 44 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf8d9…d7f5backed Yes22c500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1103831.6%12 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+29.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No77c485.75$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.0121950.2%110 W · 109 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75c1…22e4backed Yes43c476.26$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14c2…7d55backed No50c414.83$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.414332.6%14 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Yes44c378.8$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.672839.3%11 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed No55c361.5$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.676431.3%20 W · 44 L-7.5wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-37.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Yes23c354.94$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.512823.4%30 W · 98 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-43.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked No57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.886931.9%22 W · 47 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Yes43c347.72$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.522850%14 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No56c340$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.648251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b63…bdd3backed Yes20c337.73$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.93128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick15cpaid-60.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x867b…9fbabacked Yes45c333.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-28.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked No56c320.19$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.8810060%60 W · 40 L+9.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No52c319$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.2515459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7106…1caabacked Yes14c317.78$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452729.6%8 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6b…ec86backed Yes19c315.79$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603237.5%12 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+23.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes29c314.5$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.5199933.4%334 W · 665 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes37c303.03$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.0558548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x693e…44e7backed Yes20c302.65$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Yes20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609423.4%22 W · 72 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes11c272.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3023727%64 W · 173 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f0f…e25fbacked Yes38c271.95$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.341346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+25.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd379…fff3backed Yes15c267.34$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes35c261.63$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.9140239.1%157 W · 245 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No69c253.03$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.2692345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No56c251.11$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.5822246.8%104 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes43c224.98$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.8719255.2%106 W · 86 L+11.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ff8…d7fdbacked Yes45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004934.7%17 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes45c214.49$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5519840.4%80 W · 118 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5546…e3cfbacked Yes19c210.53$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401020%2 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick11cpaid+222%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f68…3e9cbacked Yes19c204.91$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.931136.4%4 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No55c201$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.461,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No56c194.34$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.5131952.4%167 W · 152 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb15c…604abacked Yes26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501050%5 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1590…9e72backed Yes43c191.94$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.531457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Yes44c186.36$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8210834.3%37 W · 71 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc431…401bbacked Yes29c166.53$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.98742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5362…d242backed Yes19c163.16$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313327.3%9 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d9d…992bbacked Yes40c159.3$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.721656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+33.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x48d7…1bd1backed Yes24c158.47$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.032030%6 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-36.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes43c150.54$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.0675451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No66c149.36$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.2763553.1%337 W · 298 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No55c143.33$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.1821354.5%116 W · 97 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2003…af6fbacked Yes18c140$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.42236.4%8 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x697e…9904backed Yes45c133.78$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.23243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x425b…dbfdbacked Yes19c131.58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252020%4 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-38.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52e3…3337backed No57c130.87$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.277157.7%41 W · 30 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes23c130$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3883939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes39c129.64$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.563429.4%10 W · 24 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8356…16b7backed Yes34c126.47$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes32c122.11$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3914333.6%48 W · 95 L+11.8wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No55c121$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.4483650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Yes40c120$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4824048.3%116 W · 124 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed No55c119.99$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5411449.1%56 W · 58 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes21c115.6$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3459655.4%330 W · 266 L+31.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd983…d92dbacked Yes40c106.01$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.772941.4%12 W · 17 L+3.9wins+0.14per pick28cpaid+32.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No55c102.54$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.8392254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef3a…dc6bbacked Yes44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445352.8%28 W · 25 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2413626.5%36 W · 100 L+0.3wins0.00per pick26cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2622335%78 W · 145 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2316446.3%76 W · 88 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.