TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9c0a…77b5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
72
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst La Liga at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+479.9%+$239.94
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+324.1%+$162.07
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$16.47
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$21.28
AFC Bournemouth vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.8
Will Everton FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.95
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+300%+$104.98
Will Leeds United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.14
Will Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$18.55
All 18 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.96
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$9.68
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.84
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+400%+$140
Will FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.97
Will SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.92
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$57.03
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$18.02
Will SV Werder Bremen vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
All 15 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-36%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elche CF win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+207.1%+$103.56
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+99.5%+$49.75
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+122.8%+$61.42
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$23.33
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick26cpaid+110.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+851.1%+$297.9
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+203%+$71.06
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+300%+$105
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+203%+$71.02
Warriors vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$89.28
Grizzlies vs. Nuggetsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.64
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+76.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.66
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$12.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Braga win on 2026-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$54.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sporting Kansas City win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Internacional win on 2026-07-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.