TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-09?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$426,038
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$485,628

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $426,038 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 305 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83d9…651bbacked Yes69c34,957$24,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,062.6960147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No19c27,702$5,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,390.1821322.1%47 W · 166 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No34c25,486$8,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,893.64,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No64c20,000$12,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,199.9710539%41 W · 64 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes36c16,786$6,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,005.2613844.9%62 W · 76 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes36c14,647$5,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,226.4410145.5%46 W · 55 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes40c11,943$4,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,733.233,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc294…570ebacked Yes35c9,714$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4003240.6%13 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ff…35ccbacked Yes37c9,541$3,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,482.57936.7%29 W · 50 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd44f…6225backed Yes36c8,056$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9001741.2%7 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38b8…f812backed No11c7,765$821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,944.195556.4%31 W · 24 L+7.1wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+38.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x35a6…cb8fbacked No62c6,625$4,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,517.392218.2%4 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick29cpaid-64.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Yes37c6,318$2,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,363.213938.5%15 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No12c6,158$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,415.3983444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No65c5,087$3,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,802.852,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No27c4,478$1,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,283.51,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No65c3,014$1,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0558160.5%49 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed No65c2,928$1,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.69580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+43.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No26c2,909$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,140.8958548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes37c2,876$1,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,063.9449447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes35c2,857$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012338.2%47 W · 76 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes35c2,857$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008343.4%36 W · 47 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No64c2,734$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$984.3735442.7%151 W · 203 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked Yes38c2,632$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No65c2,500$1,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87528045.4%127 W · 153 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes35c2,429$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85010938.5%42 W · 67 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick33cpaid-3.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No64c2,327$1,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.6148251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed No65c2,315$1,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.098251.2%42 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No41c2,294$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,345.9612050%60 W · 60 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4bb6…50fcbacked No37c2,061$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,288.341258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No16c2,013$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,692.8822553.8%121 W · 104 L+18.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+27.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No64c2,000$1,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73048153.6%258 W · 223 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cef…fa91backed No65c2,000$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.993073.3%22 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Yes64c1,796$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.756764.2%43 W · 24 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No64c1,600$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57611054.5%60 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed No22c1,461$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.4922859.6%136 W · 92 L+18.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+55.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No64c1,424$911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.6940357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Yes67c1,318$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.0312823.4%30 W · 98 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-43.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe970…d76abacked Yes77c1,299$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002080%16 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+21.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc521…b46abacked Yes36c1,224$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.681827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-30.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No64c1,200$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4329457.4%54 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No64c1,200$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4287358.9%43 W · 30 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed No24c1,153$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.413754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked No50c1,076$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.6510556.2%59 W · 46 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed No64c1,072$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.463655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed No62c1,064$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.3514146.8%66 W · 75 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No64c1,050$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.5810760.7%65 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked No62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3804837.5%18 W · 30 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36022753.3%121 W · 106 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe704…b250backed Yes48c958.02$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.782853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes73c951.87$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.217554.7%41 W · 34 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x361f…5edabacked Yes38c948.43$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.65837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-37.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed No10c946.49$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.846642.4%28 W · 38 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No63c902.81$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.1583650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Yes35c892.97$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.542250%11 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked No58c888$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.747653.9%41 W · 35 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed No18c849.54$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.5420843.3%90 W · 118 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked No16c838$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.9211336.3%41 W · 72 L+9.9wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+450.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No65c799.97$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.9919255.2%106 W · 86 L+11.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed No62c796.77$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.775450%27 W · 27 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes9c792.14$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.4511819.5%23 W · 95 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb7b…3051backed No17c782.35$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.35771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+90.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7841…7273backed Yes36c750$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.513419.4%26 W · 108 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No57c738.32$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.0513658.1%79 W · 57 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No64c728.59$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.8475451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No64c679.71$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.2764457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x353c…01d9backed Yes38c657.89$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503435.3%12 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb61…8687backed Yes38c600$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22850%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No64c600$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21610558.1%61 W · 44 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No42c577.23$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.189931.3%31 W · 68 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-51.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes37c574.94$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.7219840.4%80 W · 118 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c9c…bcfcbacked Yes35c571.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5711…fbf5backed Yes35c571.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008341%34 W · 49 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-22%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd41b…f231backed Yes35c562.86$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1976334.9%22 W · 41 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f67…a1d7backed Yes36c555.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005250%26 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5892…8bf3backed Yes36c555.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick37cpaid-47.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ab9…361dbacked Yes36c555.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabce…9d11backed Yes38c529.95$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.38850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+30.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d06…7910backed Yes38c526.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid+23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes37c515.55$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.533734.7%117 W · 220 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No39c486.06$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.0892345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x41ce…6509backed No65c461.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.541553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No63c456$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1716360.3%38 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f42…0524backed No66c454.55$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.552263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad58…3773backed Yes37c440.54$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1633053.3%16 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+24.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked No62c400$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15217159.1%101 W · 70 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No63c400$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14813163.4%83 W · 48 L+8.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No63c400$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14812863.3%81 W · 47 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No63c400$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14812066.7%80 W · 40 L+12.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+15.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x071c…bab9backed Yes38c394.74$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504632.6%15 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid+17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefd4…51b1backed No62c393.6$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.61573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Yes35c390.71$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.753647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No49c386.09$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.9863553.1%337 W · 298 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7743…1baebacked Yes38c383.39$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.691931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x58be…2517backed Yes35c368.57$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1295825.9%15 W · 43 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No64c366.42$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.791,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No26c339.98$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.7926641.4%110 W · 156 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+2.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes36c333.33$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204822.9%11 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No62c322.25$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.4440239.1%157 W · 245 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No65c309.93$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.9322335%78 W · 145 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.