La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75df0d3dd5f55efab9a8da78cec7952cbbf67f6b1e3d6bdf75f1be86024ada9a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $556,540
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $572,514
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $556,540 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 306 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes | 37c | 129,607$48,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,456.31 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…f804backed No | 64c | 71,280$45,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,647.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked No | 63c | 31,498$19,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,736.41 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 24c | 30,574$7,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,425.45 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 63c | 29,962$18,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,202.18 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked No | 64c | 29,735$18,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,784.63 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 23c | 28,493$6,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,496.24 | 571 | 39.2%224 W · 347 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 64c | 26,000$16,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,359.99 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 36c | 13,163$4,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,738.6 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes | 36c | 13,077$4,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,737.3 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed No | 62c | 10,000$6,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,800 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Yes | 2c | 8,764$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.33 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 62c | 8,678$5,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,271.75 | 198 | 40.4%80 W · 118 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 63c | 7,961$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,960.68 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 62c | 7,440$4,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,827.37 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 63c | 7,205$4,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,677.14 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Yes | 36c | 7,191$2,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,588.76 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed No | 62c | 6,666$4,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,539.74 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 17c | 6,630$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.76 | 237 | 27%64 W · 173 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a0…eabbbacked Yes | 38c | 6,114$2,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,323.21 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 10c | 6,025$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 63c | 6,000$3,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,220 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 35c | 5,698$1,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,994.13 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed No | 67c | 5,395$3,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,783.7 | 228 | 59.6%136 W · 92 L | +18.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 13c | 5,223$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.47 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf285…ab24backed No | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.99 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 30c | 4,456$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.64 | 213 | 22.1%47 W · 166 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0347…7e7abacked No | 63c | 4,294$2,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,588.77 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb10d…4ba0backed No | 64c | 3,830$2,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb7…a0f1backed Yes | 33c | 3,727$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82c1…c2c6backed No | 64c | 3,231$2,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.25 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08f9…c741backed Yes | 18c | 3,192$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.65 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | +122.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Yes | 37c | 3,071$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.83 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 63c | 3,022$1,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.22 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed No | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed No | 67c | 2,985$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.07 | 66 | 72.7%48 W · 18 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x692f…d325backed No | 62c | 2,850$1,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 36c | 2,814$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.95 | 326 | 45.4%148 W · 178 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 37c | 2,488$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.56 | 280 | 45.4%127 W · 153 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 23c | 2,463$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.73 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 63c | 2,381$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.95 | 136 | 45.6%62 W · 74 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes | 36c | 2,278$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -45%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…2c33backed No | 64c | 1,952$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.38 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Yes | 37c | 1,944$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.34 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 62c | 1,892$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.96 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc899…e1fdbacked No | 63c | 1,868$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.32 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 73cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60fc…03b0backed Yes | 38c | 1,729$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.68 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 36c | 1,691$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.52 | 354 | 42.7%151 W · 203 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 63c | 1,600$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 63c | 1,541$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.35 | 644 | 57%367 W · 277 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…6e97backed No | 64c | 1,541$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.66 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…b250backed No | 64c | 1,488$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.53 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed No | 64c | 1,473$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.28 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Yes | 36c | 1,334$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.55 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Yes | 36c | 1,325$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.1 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes | 34c | 1,246$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.58 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 38c | 1,200$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 63c | 1,200$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 2c | 1,200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 36c | 1,200$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.98 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 36c | 1,199$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.64 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa262…c8babacked Yes | 10c | 1,157$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 63c | 1,151$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.56 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Yes | 38c | 1,115$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.63 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5892…8bf3backed Yes | 36c | 1,111$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 37cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Yes | 16c | 1,100$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.01 | 118 | 19.5%23 W · 95 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Yes | 36c | 1,100$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 38c | 1,039$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.62 | 113 | 33.6%38 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Yes | 37c | 1,000$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed No | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 67c | 999.99$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -7.6wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Yes | 38c | 999.97$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 28c | 965.92$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.35 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed Yes | 11c | 909.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 38c | 899.97$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.99 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 37c | 841.87$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.3 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…9a48backed Yes | 37c | 827.92$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.5 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 38c | 789.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 36c | 777$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 62c | 760$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.8 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Yes | 36c | 749.8$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.93 | 226 | 58.4%132 W · 94 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 62c | 724.53$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.53 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 37c | 718.91$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 64c | 702.72$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.68 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 63c | 700$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259 | 107 | 60.7%65 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 37c | 694$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.59 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed No | 63c | 683.8$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.01 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked No | 52c | 616.25$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.8 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 63c | 600$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 2c | 570.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Yes | 37c | 538$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.06 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Yes | 38c | 510.97$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.17 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 10c | 501.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde8e…3289backed No | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked No | 62c | 499.99$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed No | 62c | 460.44$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.97 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed No | 62c | 436.66$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.93 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked No | 63c | 432.79$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.46 | 120 | 66.7%80 W · 40 L | +12.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-09?this page
- Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-09?No won
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.