TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6f81…9a48

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
106
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: La Liga, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 59 out of 100; worst MLB at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT6841.2%28 W · 40 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Felix Gill vs Kyrian Jacquetbacked Kyrian Jacquet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$177.36
Hamburg European Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Ignacio Busebacked Aleksandar Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cervia: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Tommaso Compagnuccibacked Buvaysar Gadamauri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$477.27
Istanbul: Franco Agamenone vs Andrej Nedicbacked Franco Agamenone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Set 1 Winner: Zavatska vs Bronzettibacked Bronzetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Bengaluru 3: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Alastair Graybacked Alastair Gray · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Marina Bassols Riberabacked Aliaksandra Sasnovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Geneva Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$289.76
Hamburg European Open: Luciano Darderi vs Alex de Minaurbacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Geneva Open: Alex Michelsen vs Learner Tienbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$548Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+99.5%+$545.24
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Coleman Wong vs Juan Carlos Pradobacked Coleman Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Dalibor Svrcina vs Thomas Faurelbacked Dalibor Svrcina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$191
Geneva Open: Mariano Navone vs Jaume Munarbacked Jaume Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$163
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Gonzalo Buenobacked Toby Samuel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+87.6%+$144.47
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Harry Wendelkenbacked Harry Wendelken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Hamburg European Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Ben Sheltonbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+96.9%+$121.06
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Nerman Fatic vs Luka Mikrutbacked Luka Mikrut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Rei Sakamoto vs Pedro Martinezbacked Rei Sakamoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Bordeaux: Alex Molcan vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Tallon Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$812Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+116.9%+$949.37
Bordeaux: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$130
Valencia: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Zizou Bergsbacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+203%+$226.38
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rafael Jodar vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+192.9%+$121.36
Bordeaux: Luca Van Assche vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$95.2
Cordoba: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Gonzalo Villanuevabacked Gonzalo Villanueva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Bordeaux: Martin Damm vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Grigor Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+56.7%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
La Liga — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.5
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$696.68
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+123.2%+$246.38
Will Levante UD win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$236.55
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$358Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$249.06
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$306.5
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$146.6
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+150%+$75
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$98.18
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$73.66
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$54.25
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+122.1%+$62.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Torino FC win on 2026-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$342.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$133.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valencia vs. Panathinaikosbacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$395
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.