TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$618,814
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$562,248

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $618,814 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 297 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc7c…958ebacked No0c166,436$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.942532%8 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+88.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd29…77aebacked No44c112,320$49,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,420.793250%16 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No6c82,208$4,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,531.223,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Yes56c31,342$17,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,790.481163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+27.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed Yes56c22,222$12,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,777.662100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+59.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Yes56c20,165$11,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,875.272259.1%13 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+40%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked No45c16,667$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,5002853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes56c13,114$7,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,794.2491950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Yes56c12,000$6,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,2804259.5%25 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No24c10,574$2,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,565.182,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes56c10,531$5,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,639.8544952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No7c8,463$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.185123.5%12 W · 39 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed No44c7,875$3,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4651127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-41.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2dd2…b035backed No0c7,700$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4130%0 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Yes56c6,988$3,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,051.84862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick58cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No13c6,782$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.8912057.5%69 W · 51 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08f0…b809backed Yes56c6,732$3,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9621283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.8wins+0.32per pick52cpaid+68.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed No0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick14cpaid-71.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No19c4,533$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.672,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Yes56c4,442$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,942.343360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed No20c4,257$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.421936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes55c4,237$2,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,885.6611246.4%52 W · 60 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No20c4,235$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.9876941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes55c4,218$2,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,890.681,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfe3…c693backed Yes57c4,000$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7202100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yes56c4,000$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7607963.3%50 W · 29 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed No45c3,868$1,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,740.65639.3%22 W · 34 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked No45c3,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35012832.8%42 W · 86 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No44c2,999$1,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,327.3320132.3%65 W · 136 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked No18c2,809$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.642751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde1d…44a6backed No19c2,705$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22f8…898ebacked No0c2,650$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe988…cf23backed No43c2,436$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked No44c2,273$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No43c2,055$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884.9810452.9%55 W · 49 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes56c2,040$1,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.6531849.4%157 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No44c2,000$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.949054.4%49 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf919…3241backed No28c1,990$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.23333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-49.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked No44c1,850$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8144837.5%18 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No46c1,831$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.481861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked Yes54c1,818$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.36955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d96…7c16backed Yes56c1,800$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7921656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No3c1,527$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.071,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes56c1,473$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.218254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d52…834ebacked No44c1,454$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.871030%3 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes56c1,446$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.45534.5%19 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed No2c1,446$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.583132.3%10 W · 21 L+4.1wins+0.13per pick19cpaid+44.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked No1c1,395$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.354914.3%7 W · 42 L-8.3wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-60.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No44c1,364$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.1643344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0724…9091backed No44c1,343$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.81338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes71c1,259$891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.8674155.9%414 W · 327 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24c7…77c4backed No44c1,243$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No20c1,170$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.0620%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86be…4490backed No44c1,139$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50130%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No44c1,125$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4952825%7 W · 21 L-8.4wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-59.7%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked No44c1,107$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.085135.3%18 W · 33 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x454b…5b8bbacked No45c1,083$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.353046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88f9…325dbacked No43c1,034$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.61136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44096947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Yes56c999.99$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4401145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb881…20a1backed No9c977.78$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes56c939.77$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.1356849.6%282 W · 286 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No8c921$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.2319250.5%97 W · 95 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes56c892.86$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.869748.5%47 W · 50 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f0b…027fbacked Yes56c892.86$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.86683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick52cpaid+58.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc6ad…1b86backed No44c884.3$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.41944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-32.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29a6…6ea4backed Yes57c877.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.192343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-27.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5b6…e762backed Yes55c830$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-54.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes56c820$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.85856.9%33 W · 25 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes76c785.67$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.742441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d0e…1461backed Yes55c750$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.5475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+34.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c2e…f1c7backed Yes57c697.84$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.07933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-48.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa96f…0cd0backed Yes57c688.6$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.6475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+47.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x573c…c365backed Yes56c664.16$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.23540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-33.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x95e4…5134backed No3c659.37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.041560%9 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes56c625$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27510757%61 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes78c610$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1325552.7%29 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked No5c550$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.75244.2%1 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-74.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No2c543.16$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.328853.4%47 W · 41 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No22c536.33$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.7963857.2%365 W · 273 L+35.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Yes56c535.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.715048%24 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No4c532.25$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2179532.2%256 W · 539 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03de…4bfdbacked No44c500$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2224748.9%23 W · 24 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-21.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes56c500$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2209345.2%42 W · 51 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No43c486.75$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.34843.8%21 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6e3…3fe8backed No44c479.96$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.181414.3%2 W · 12 L-3.8wins-0.27per pick42cpaid-57.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfe02…1204backed Yes56c464.29$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.29683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+65.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes56c456$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.041,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Yes55c442.19$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.965850%29 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yes59c440$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.693836.8%14 W · 24 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-32.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe13c…1159backed Yes59c429.56$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.84540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-30.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No8c408.67$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.246136.1%22 W · 39 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes57c405.26$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.2611833.9%40 W · 78 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No44c401.51$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.539852%51 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked No44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-35%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes55c400$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18014042.1%59 W · 81 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e02…5ddabacked Yes55c374.64$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.59425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-54.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9f5…0688backed Yes56c365$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.61764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.642142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57cd…82acbacked Yes56c360$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.