TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-03?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$553,227
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$644,710

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $553,227 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 331 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbee5…a636backed No39c250,665$97,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97,332.72520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-60.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes61c70,696$43,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,571.461,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes61c50,000$30,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,50015034.7%52 W · 98 L+0.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ebb…cb1abacked Yes57c17,544$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,543.862962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes59c16,843$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,842.633525.7%9 W · 26 L-6.8wins-0.19per pick45cpaid-47.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x7c58…a5a1backed Yes62c16,000$9,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,0801464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.20per pick45cpaid+24.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes61c15,496$9,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,037.842,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes61c15,000$9,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,8505964.4%38 W · 21 L+6.2wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No31c10,657$3,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,35083444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes72c9,151$6,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,544.83,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes62c8,000$4,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,04024147.7%115 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7fb…e5fdbacked No38c6,842$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6002133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-36.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes62c6,098$3,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,317.0119840.4%80 W · 118 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54ba…04e4backed Yes58c5,016$2,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,095.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec8…762abacked Yes61c5,000$3,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,950728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-48.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9f9…0eaabacked No23c4,516$1,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,038.58195.3%1 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick21cpaid-74.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes61c4,080$2,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,588.1668450.6%346 W · 338 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4930…32ebbacked Yes63c3,175$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Yes78c3,110$2,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.571266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb45…74dfbacked Yes61c2,817$1,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,085.94785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick59cpaid+44.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No27c2,705$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.2492345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9235…224dbacked Yes77c2,600$2,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5982100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes78c2,564$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.17553.3%40 W · 35 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes61c2,380$1,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.2749447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Yes74c2,135$1,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.9960147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes62c2,015$1,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.0322448.2%108 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1572…7991backed Yes62c2,001$1,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.382657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Yes61c1,845$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.558251.2%42 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fd6…95e3backed Yes62c1,839$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.713732.4%12 W · 25 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-32.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed No38c1,741$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.514146.8%66 W · 75 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x30f8…5edbbacked Yes62c1,613$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.91478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.23per pick56cpaid+33.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb7bf…b02dbacked Yes62c1,613$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.787468.9%51 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick67cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf375…f105backed Yes62c1,605$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.143953.8%21 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde8e…3289backed Yes60c1,566$939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.562965.5%19 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked No23c1,500$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3453327.3%9 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid+70.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes61c1,488$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.1648153.6%258 W · 223 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84fc…b4dabacked No34c1,432$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.91825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed No6c1,430$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.586235.5%22 W · 40 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-37.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa2b…5dfebacked No38c1,323$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.873548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10f9…9d91backed Yes62c1,290$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.32757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a13…db82backed Yes61c1,286$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.351553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked No23c1,124$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.4621641.7%90 W · 126 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No37c1,000$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37564457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e16…b78abacked Yes62c1,000$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+35.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39012845.3%58 W · 70 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes78c990.5$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.8918956.6%107 W · 82 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x74a9…0dc7backed Yes62c967.74$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.744557.8%26 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed No36c886.6$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.3711736.8%43 W · 74 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No8c819.59$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.4512823.4%30 W · 98 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-43.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed Yes62c806.45$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.454544.4%20 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f67…a1d7backed Yes63c796.66$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.665250%26 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No39c737.6$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.341,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Yes61c700$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2732025%5 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-47.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa395…3eddbacked No23c695.65$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+25.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes62c695$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.128045.4%127 W · 153 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No38c679.97$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.5248251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ec7…2b6bbacked Yes63c674.6$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.61553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c07…4529backed Yes60c670$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.243046.7%14 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+39.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No5c653.27$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.086243.5%27 W · 35 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-29.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5839…2c33backed Yes63c634.92$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.925957.6%34 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c1b…63ddbacked Yes79c632.91$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.911145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-29.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc905…850bbacked Yes63c623.7$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.7716160.9%98 W · 63 L+10.4wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb020…92f3backed No41c599.97$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.991942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x033a…586dbacked Yes62c564.52$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.5210041%41 W · 59 L-13.6wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-26.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6ed2…ad1dbacked Yes72c554.29$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes61c554.16$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.1883650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes61c527.25$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.256931.9%22 W · 47 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked No8c521.14$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.274119.5%8 W · 33 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-72.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0319…2f43backed Yes63c501.59$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.591540%6 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6e3…3fe8backed No38c499.99$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1903630.6%11 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-33%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes61c491.8$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.813445.5%61 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Yes61c481.32$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.718254.9%45 W · 37 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x53fa…83f9backed No25c471.41$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.841973.7%14 W · 5 L+5.0wins+0.26per pick48cpaid+80.1%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yes61c450$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17723843.3%103 W · 135 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked No39c444$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.167653.9%41 W · 35 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes61c409$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.5189050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes61c409$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.511,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Yes61c400$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15618650%93 W · 93 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Yes61c400$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1568432.1%27 W · 57 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafd5…f021backed Yes73c387.23$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5db…f982backed Yes62c382.98$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.988140.7%33 W · 48 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+39.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6854…67d0backed No11c365.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.851338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-45.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed No38c358.03$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.052638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa8ec…4d49backed Yes57c351.6$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.6862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b52…568ebacked Yes58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.832070%14 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+18.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes61c342.05$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.971,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked Yes60c341.54$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.544055%22 W · 18 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-9.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x586f…b928backed Yes60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a05…754abacked Yes61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8712045.8%55 W · 65 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes61c327.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8711252.7%59 W · 53 L+9.6wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+11.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x19e9…239bbacked Yes62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.582842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48ee…0db4backed Yes62c319.03$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.232352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd733…b175backed Yes62c303$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.143863.2%24 W · 14 L+5.7wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+31.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1a60…1c0dbacked Yes62c296.78$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.68742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes75c293.69$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.7121950.2%110 W · 109 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd65…3e60backed Yes62c290$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.213958.3%81 W · 58 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e8c…79bdbacked Yes62c278.76$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.937850%39 W · 39 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes68c260$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8413642.6%58 W · 78 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x18d2…a67dbacked Yes78c256.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.41560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a80…49bfbacked Yes62c254.84$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.846457.8%37 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.