La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-05-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff02dc803046f9a7c7eacbc9a0a008e3e02666784215315c8443cba0b1fe60d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,606
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,606 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 4c | 7,678$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.42 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes | 17c | 5,830$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…d702backed Yes | 0c | 3,516$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 13c | 2,888$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.65 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f12…1937backed Yes | 12c | 2,386$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 15c | 1,660$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.94 | 224 | 48.2%108 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 15c | 1,454$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.3 | 198 | 40.4%80 W · 118 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 1c | 1,112$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 56 | 25%14 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 2c | 1,017$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6de1backed Yes | 7c | 897.94$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4aa…a19bbacked Yes | 16c | 700$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b40…b77abacked Yes | 16c | 600$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 15c | 498.84$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.83 | 238 | 43.3%103 W · 135 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 80c | 388$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.6 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b9…a7afbacked Yes | 16c | 387.2$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 15c | 359$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.85 | 331 | 61.3%203 W · 128 L | +12.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 15c | 359$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.85 | 239 | 57.7%138 W · 101 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe857…7b3bbacked Yes | 9c | 342.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Yes | 4c | 334.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 128 | 23.4%30 W · 98 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 195 | 55.9%109 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5711…fbf5backed Yes | 17c | 332.82$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 11c | 223.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 18c | 160.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 143 | 33.6%48 W · 95 L | +11.8wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 13c | 148.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 18c | 145.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 206 | 30.6%63 W · 143 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Yes | 15c | 130$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 170 | 61.2%104 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 15c | 127.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Yes | 16c | 106.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…a117backed Yes | 17c | 105.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 76 | 23.7%18 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 15c | 99.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 454 | 50%227 W · 227 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…4d3ebacked Yes | 15c | 77.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 324 | 44.8%145 W · 179 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec37…b26ebacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-05-03?this page
- Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-03?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.