TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3435…a117

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
255
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Premier League, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 59 out of 100; worst Serie A at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT7623.7%18 W · 58 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 76 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Levante UD vs. RCD Mallorca end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will CA Osasuna vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Sevilla FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Girona FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.85
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$85.26
Will Sevilla FC vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elche CF vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$48.97
Will Levante UD vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$28.9
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.17
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.95
Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Elche CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.15
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.05
Will Valencia CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.2
Will Villarreal CF vs. Levante UD end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.07
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$51.7
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$44.65
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.09
Will Real Oviedo vs. Elche CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.22
Showing 25 of 76 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT4928.6%14 W · 35 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.82
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.38
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.15
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.89
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.07
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.17
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$28.9
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$76.78
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.11
Will Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.17
Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.09
Will Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.88
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.01
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.93
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$86.15
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.8
Will Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.96
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.98
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.01
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$67.22
Will Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+300%+$57
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.93
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT4440.9%18 W · 26 L+5.5wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+62.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$76.78
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.17
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+203%+$37.22
Will Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.17
Will Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.05
Will Brentford FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.19
Will Aston Villa FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.02
Will Brentford FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$54.11
Will Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$92.23
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.97
Will West Ham United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$73.96
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+300%+$57
Will Burnley FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+300%+$57
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+284.6%+$54.11
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$39.9
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$18.98
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+88.7%+$17.17
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$18.91
Will Manchester City FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$18.93
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$19.22
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$19.39
Will Chelsea FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+566.7%+$117.64
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20.81
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2634.6%9 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+191.1%+$364.74
Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.26
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.26
Will Mexico vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$51.42
Will Brazil vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.98
Will United States vs. Portugal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.97
Will South Africa vs. Panama end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.05
Will Czechia vs. Denmark end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$43.89
Will Italy win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.21
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$18.28
Will Poland win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.79
Will Hungary vs. Greece end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$46.64
Will Uruguay win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.28
Will Colombia win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.89
Will Mexico vs. Portugal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+264.7%+$100.75
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.02
Will Hungary vs. Slovenia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.01
Will Scotland vs. Japan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.05
Will Morocco vs. Ecuador end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+203%+$38.78
Will England vs. Uruguay end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$63.51
Will Switzerland vs. Germany end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.02
Will Norway win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.93
Will Brazil win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.07
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT2524%6 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+300%+$60
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.25
Will SC Braga vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.33
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.17
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.25
Will Real Betis win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.88
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.78
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.24
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.18
Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.22
Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Panathinaikós AO end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.83
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Lille OSC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.98
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+292.8%+$55.63
Will KRC Genk win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$19.22
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+488.2%+$92.23
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$18.98
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+160.4%+$30.76
Will PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$18.89
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$11.47
Will Celtic FC vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$11.41
Will Lille OSC vs. FK Crvena zvezda end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$11.4
Will SK Brann vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$19.04
Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$10.48
Will PAOK vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$10.48
Will KRC Genk win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+270.4%+$51.42
All 25 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+213.5%+$42.7
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.28
Celtics vs. Hawksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.96
Celtics vs. Hornetsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.51
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.9
Thunder vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$22.62
Celtics vs. Thunderbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.05
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+106.4%+$20.53
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$19.6
Celtics vs. Nuggetsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$19.23
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$19.23
Celtics vs. Sunsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+42.9%+$8.39
Celtics vs. Lakersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+85.2%+$16.5
Celtics vs. Warriorsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.51
Bulls vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.01
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$19.44
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10.44
All 17 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick31cpaid-57.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.33
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.93
Will Cagliari Calcio vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$18.98
Will SSC Napoli vs. Torino FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$19.01
Will ACF Fiorentina vs. Pisa SC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$10.44
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$19.09
Will Torino FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$19.01
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+284.6%+$54.11
Will AS Roma vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 9 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+42.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$19.1
Will OGC Nice vs. FC Lorient end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+257.1%+$26.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+44.9%+$6.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.