TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Norway win on 2026-03-27?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$117,732
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$124,505

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,732 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 230 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d3c…d294backed No79c8,986$7,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,928.71,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No78c6,537$5,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.874,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No79c6,283$4,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.3937144.5%165 W · 206 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No79c5,416$4,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.131,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Yes20c5,199$1,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,051.1156541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Yes20c5,132$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.665839.7%23 W · 35 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ba8…cdb3backed No78c4,737$3,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,042.115655.4%31 W · 25 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+37%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd705…fb7cbacked Yes41c4,453$1,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,835333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes22c4,293$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936.1617338.2%66 W · 107 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x645e…1bd3backed Yes22c4,050$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.385450%27 W · 27 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes12c3,865$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.0835942.9%154 W · 205 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No75c3,375$2,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858.343,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Yes22c3,367$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.7710234.3%35 W · 67 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8768…8b58backed Yes21c3,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63050%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xff67…a1c9backed No79c2,422$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.435954.2%32 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No78c1,676$1,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.0410558.1%61 W · 44 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No79c1,445$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.7755045.1%248 W · 302 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No79c1,437$1,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.750850%254 W · 254 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15d7…a861backed Yes22c1,364$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30080%0 W · 8 L-3.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Yes28c1,352$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.129829.6%29 W · 69 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No70c1,239$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.6274034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x88ae…9c62backed Yes10c1,104$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11530%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5044…f67fbacked Yes21c1,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2106031.7%19 W · 41 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e52…0e3cbacked Yes20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-30.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe13d…3abbbacked Yes22c1,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2201656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb19f…25a8backed Yes20c993.72$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.181711.8%2 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick10cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No77c953.29$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.2686455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes41c933$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.132,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes22c909.09$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009140.7%37 W · 54 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-28.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No79c799.95$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.9921140.3%85 W · 126 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25f7…bafbbacked Yes23c756.52$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa038…3fcbbacked Yes22c681.82$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick28cpaid-62.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefa3…d08bbacked No59c637.01$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.178349.4%41 W · 42 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x458c…ee3ebacked No79c632.91$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.911877.8%14 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick74cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1462…ef6bbacked No79c632.91$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.911181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick73cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No78c590.15$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.832,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe35b…d8d0backed Yes18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003243.8%14 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f9e…4c57backed Yes2c527.74$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105315.1%8 W · 45 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick12cpaid-37.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed No79c518.89$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.714948.3%72 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8519…f4e1backed Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-47.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ebc…fa9dbacked Yes21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked No79c464.41$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.5316758.7%98 W · 69 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No79c458.83$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.3536850.3%185 W · 183 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbdd…c26abacked Yes22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013148.1%63 W · 68 L+10.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+11.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x43ce…c264backed Yes22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001540%6 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7841…7273backed Yes22c450$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99296.9%2 W · 27 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick20cpaid-80.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c63…b564backed Yes19c412.7$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3275…b8acbacked Yes30c405.3$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.9910762.6%67 W · 40 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked No79c400$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8421957.5%126 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No75c376.7$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.5945947.7%219 W · 240 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x866a…de80backed Yes20c356.66$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.92429.5%4 W · 38 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick17cpaid-44.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x38f8…95c0backed Yes21c350$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.58838.6%34 W · 54 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf77c…1d12backed Yes6c349.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a46…196cbacked Yes21c348.51$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.191752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+20.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6f8…1335backed Yes22c340.91$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7570%0 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No77c333.13$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.625158.8%30 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed No79c316.46$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.4615448.1%74 W · 80 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes4c309.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.374,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0399…345bbacked Yes10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303435.3%12 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xffbe…77a0backed Yes20c280$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ceb…814fbacked Yes19c265.35$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2128…da98backed No79c258.77$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.347646.1%35 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6d1…21c7backed Yes12c255.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303243.8%14 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-18.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda70…66b3backed No80c255.49$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.12050%10 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No75c249.15$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.7628754.7%157 W · 130 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked No79c239.29$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.5610153.5%54 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x772f…a69fbacked Yes21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…1c65backed Yes21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87b0…3b4ebacked Yes22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501030%3 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504630.4%14 W · 32 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4cef…eb15backed Yes22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+40.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a21…50d3backed Yes21c223.81$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4724749.8%123 W · 124 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde8c…6307backed Yes18c222.22$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4090%0 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x66d1…b029backed Yes18c222.22$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4040%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes22c222$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8448140.1%193 W · 288 L-17.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes21c217$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.144645.7%21 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d03…0166backed Yes18c214.61$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6320%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed No79c209.82$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.7243653.7%234 W · 202 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34f0…f0edbacked Yes21c205.5$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.613447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No79c204.9$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.031,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes38c201.19$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.6176048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786743.3%29 W · 38 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426744.8%30 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed No78c191.08$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.044257.1%24 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes21c190.48$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4014639.7%58 W · 88 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6f4…ef6abacked Yes21c190.48$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010130.7%31 W · 70 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa259…0026backed Yes10c188.93$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.171136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-30.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed No80c187.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.54100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+53.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No78c185.36$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.333,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed No79c176.74$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9723749.8%118 W · 119 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes39c152.31$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.154,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5b0…2533backed Yes18c150$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2730%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84fd…2f81backed Yes21c150$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.55719.3%11 W · 46 L-5.5wins-0.10per pick29cpaid-59.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe972…8004backed Yes18c149.94$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.99825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No79c145.71$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.63,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes16c138.03$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.72,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes22c136.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305844.8%26 W · 32 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Yes41c134.24$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0485550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes22c134.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3031644.9%142 W · 174 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed5d…2668backed Yes23c131.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011724.8%29 W · 88 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-43.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.