TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x34f0…f0ed

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
84
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Middle East, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 53 out of 100; worst CS2 at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT3447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.75
Switzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+146.9%+$23.8
Norway vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.25
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$19.5
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.7
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$14
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+61.6%+$20.33
United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.5
Ghana vs. Panama: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.31
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-46.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
CS2 — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group Abacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.25
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Counter-Strike: Monte vs M80 (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.6
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.94
Counter-Strike: K27 vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana: European Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.7
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.38
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Monte (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$56.32
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.84
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Counter-Strike: WW Team vs Nemiga (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffsbacked WW Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$20.78
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Passion UA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$47.47
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$262.56
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs WW Team (BO3) - Exort Meteor Playoffsbacked WW Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+91.9%+$50.45
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$131.39
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+92.3%+$109.43
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+132.6%+$67.64
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs WW Team (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 Group Cbacked WW Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$37
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs WW Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked Leo Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10.64
All 18 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-69.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+48.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-27.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Torino FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.21
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+309.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+309.8%+$419.07
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.