TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: K27 vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana: European Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
magicof K27, magic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$34,144
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$37,589

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,144 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked magic68c3,312$2,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,047.313,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b14…5301backed K271c2,963$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.983336.4%12 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked K2734c2,817$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.4632348.9%158 W · 165 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5674…8b14backed magic47c1,819$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$956.9736742.8%157 W · 210 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked magic62c1,674$1,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.283,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked magic45c1,115$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.95,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7193…ae51backed K2756c1,079$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.1929858.4%174 W · 124 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked magic61c1,079$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.67,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked K2752c983.23$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.2813043.1%56 W · 74 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed K2726c751.94$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.335,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed K2731c711.52$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.994,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed K2714c658.08$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.472,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed magic44c600$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33646749.7%232 W · 235 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab6a…3319backed magic47c512.91$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.835858.6%34 W · 24 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed K2754c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2705,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed magic55c491.64$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.184,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed K2727c489.08$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.911,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed K2737c474.76$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.1546843.4%203 W · 265 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked K2752c420.4$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.6138358.7%225 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26ac…a735backed K2755c399.99$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22024429.5%72 W · 172 L-0.3wins0.00per pick30cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed K2745c381.58$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.2191743.7%401 W · 516 L-35.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked magic78c337.75$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.451,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked K2753c335.49$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.741,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fbc…62a3backed magic73c308.75$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.124457%139 W · 105 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23e5…07e1backed K2753c304.95$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.3140%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x16fd…b4d3backed magic59c298.12$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.1529840.3%120 W · 178 L-9.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked K2746c259.8$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.1448948.7%238 W · 251 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x537d…615bbacked K2754c243.1$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.273053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked magic45c241.75$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.9694645.8%433 W · 513 L+18.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed K2746c238.22$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.7627443.1%118 W · 156 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fc8…f527backed K2734c236.44$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.5948826.2%128 W · 360 L-44.3wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-30.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdc98…5308backed K2751c218.43$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.191136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-35.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked magic43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11449849.6%247 W · 251 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb80d…0ac1backed magic49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1026546.2%30 W · 35 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed K2720c199.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8225634.4%88 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked K2739c193.01$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.241,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb47f…d792backed K2741c192.92$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.115954.7%87 W · 72 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked magic70c190.46$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.472,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34f0…f0edbacked K2753c190$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.71827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-46.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked magic45c176.2$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.9184454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf13d…6b6ebacked K2760c172.48$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.532454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd752…7b4fbacked magic62c157.61$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.8925753.7%138 W · 119 L-20.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-13.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed magic46c149.99$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8154032.4%175 W · 365 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c92…5567backed K2733c138.71$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.773050%15 W · 15 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+30.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a0c…3ccebacked K2734c135.28$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8141640.6%169 W · 247 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked magic68c133.69$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.1166446.4%308 W · 356 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked magic47c130.84$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.281,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4de…0da4backed K2748c129.4$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.1333960.8%206 W · 133 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked K2753c116$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.0570038.9%272 W · 428 L-29.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd866…55e0backed magic63c114.91$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.2549376.1%375 W · 118 L+96.8wins+0.20per pick56cpaid+29.9%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed K2754c112.04$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.528549.5%141 W · 144 L+1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed K2736c109.46$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.672,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed K2725c104.62$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3955950.3%281 W · 278 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked K2753c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5391648.9%448 W · 468 L+4.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed K2739c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3950340.2%202 W · 301 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87ed…b497backed K2754c99.18$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5618352.5%96 W · 87 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed magic52c98.89$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.871,21640.1%488 W · 728 L-65.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6fcd…42f2backed K2755c97.87$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7963541.1%261 W · 374 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked magic45c97.02$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.4621536.3%78 W · 137 L-11.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfbaf…b5d5backed K2758c95.66$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.492334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa0f…574cbacked magic72c95.51$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.032263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked magic74c95.25$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.762,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6722…865fbacked K2755c88.45$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6527754.9%152 W · 125 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6598…5f36backed K2758c84.03$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.742638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-37.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x73b1…a5d6backed magic54c82.11$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.772842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbdd1…ae72backed K2753c80.7$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7728852.1%150 W · 138 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d28…6d7abacked magic42c80.11$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.461827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-38.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed K2744c78.81$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5726958.4%157 W · 112 L+20.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x53c5…cb95backed K2728c77.02$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.572751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed K2755c71.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3176248.4%369 W · 393 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x155b…d7babacked magic72c70.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9540652.2%212 W · 194 L+22.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed magic58c66.16$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.012,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3c5…f095backed K2766c59.29$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1960358.5%353 W · 250 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06db…1e5cbacked magic50c58.67$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.588146.9%38 W · 43 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed K2754c50.42$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2373658.2%428 W · 308 L-22.8wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dba…368dbacked magic54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233452.9%18 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked K2752c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268648.8%42 W · 44 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed K2751c48.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7520047.5%95 W · 105 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked magic45c48.43$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.475,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed K2744c48.31$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0152449%257 W · 267 L-27.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed K2730c47.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5178043.7%341 W · 439 L-21.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c1c…dd59backed magic76c47.49$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.51163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick41cpaid+25.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x98b5…2b43backed K2758c47.35$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.464060%24 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked magic62c46.89$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0438858.2%226 W · 162 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked K2729c46.06$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.283,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed magic55c44.67$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.24,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed K2739c44.56$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.326,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked magic45c42.98$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.641,07832%345 W · 733 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x700a…58a5backed magic45c42.89$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.75630.4%17 W · 39 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed magic72c40.94$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.324555.6%25 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaee4…471fbacked K2754c40.79$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0235752.9%189 W · 168 L+22.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd64d…28a6backed K2749c39.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.584456.8%25 W · 19 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed magic42c39.83$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.147856.7%271 W · 207 L+1.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa69a…0d7cbacked magic47c39.58$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.111546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed K2740c38.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.362,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xd067…9b9abacked K2747c36.41$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1445663.6%290 W · 166 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f7c…7a19backed K2749c36.12$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.79452.1%49 W · 45 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7d7…ec13backed K2754c36.01$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.455955.9%33 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed magic64c35.44$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.641,10950.5%560 W · 549 L-3.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe92e…1e38backed magic56c34.77$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.32867.9%19 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.