CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: K27 vs magic - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b2744359aedf6e3c6d540e6ac5181263db7e2be8a211de42d09f0243222a048
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- magicof K27, magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,574
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,485
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,574 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2529…548abacked magic | 45c | 1,268$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.84 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed magic | 50c | 1,033$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.57 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…5301backed K27 | 6c | 954.09$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.62 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed K27 | 56c | 865.29$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.37 | 412 | 60.9%251 W · 161 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked magic | 50c | 547.71$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.71 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked K27 | 50c | 536.61$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.96 | 121 | 48.8%59 W · 62 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1854…be98backed K27 | 52c | 534.16$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.76 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd8…2213backed magic | 47c | 532.51$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.23 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcee0…f8f9backed K27 | 52c | 495.31$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.56 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x676f…43c1backed magic | 47c | 493.78$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.7 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -5.1wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed magic | 31c | 299.23$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.47 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked K27 | 62c | 283.56$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.94 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed K27 | 50c | 280.43$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.22 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed K27 | 45c | 264.5$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.81 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed K27 | 51c | 228.89$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.98 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9037…0386backed K27 | 28c | 201.58$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.61 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -8.2wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed magic | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked magic | 44c | 184.75$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.95 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed K27 | 55c | 143.57$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.42 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked K27 | 36c | 138.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.87 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed K27 | 69c | 117.84$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.31 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked K27 | 70c | 103.58$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.12 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed magic | 46c | 100.37$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed K27 | 59c | 99.06$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.95 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa69a…0d7cbacked magic | 44c | 96.66$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.08 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed K27 | 39c | 96.35$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.77 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked magic | 48c | 88.82$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.11 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked magic | 41c | 78$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.02 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked magic | 48c | 71.43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked magic | 49c | 69.88$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.78 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed magic | 49c | 68.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.88 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed magic | 49c | 68.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.88 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed K27 | 49c | 68.73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.87 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed magic | 50c | 68.55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.43 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed K27 | 36c | 55.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed magic | 48c | 50.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed K27 | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed magic | 51c | 47.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked K27 | 56c | 45.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaff…5f75backed K27 | 68c | 40.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -9.3wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked K27 | 32c | 38.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed K27 | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 499 | 47.5%237 W · 262 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed magic | 50c | 34.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed K27 | 55c | 34.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1021…1106backed K27 | 59c | 33.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed magic | 50c | 27.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9380…7c7bbacked K27 | 68c | 23.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4462…7807backed K27 | 52c | 23.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc55a…7281backed magic | 47c | 23.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed magic | 45c | 23.06$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked K27 | 70c | 21.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked K27 | 58c | 19.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb5…b56dbacked K27 | 56c | 18.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked K27 | 61c | 17.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs magic - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana: European Closed Qualifier Playoffsmagic won
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs magic - Map 2 Winnermagic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.