CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: K27 vs magic - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffa9873e308be3eb172b38ffc29761ad2347f57813343e69f551cc6c3a575a61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- magicof K27, magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,645
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,565
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,645 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b14…5301backed K27 | 0c | 20,216$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.35 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked magic | 51c | 8,839$4,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,312.59 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked K27 | 47c | 7,285$3,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,415.8 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed magic | 31c | 1,940$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.6 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked K27 | 50c | 1,252$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.41 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked K27 | 68c | 1,102$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.31 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed K27 | 48c | 796.19$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.29 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed magic | 54c | 559.07$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.36 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked K27 | 69c | 553.26$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.6 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed magic | 31c | 389.56$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.93 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed K27 | 55c | 386.75$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.3 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc8…f527backed magic | 28c | 386.35$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.59 | 488 | 26.2%128 W · 360 L | -44.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed K27 | 49c | 379.93$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.32 | 134 | 36.6%49 W · 85 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed K27 | 53c | 366.72$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.36 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked K27 | 73c | 300.3$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.02 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed magic | 28c | 300$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed magic | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed magic | 51c | 298.14$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.25 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked magic | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked magic | 47c | 196.09$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.98 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked K27 | 54c | 156.48$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.5 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked K27 | 64c | 153.83$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.83 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed magic | 37c | 139.23$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.4 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed magic | 23c | 135.44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.71 | 256 | 34.4%88 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1c…dd59backed magic | 59c | 116.42$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.15 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56fd…d60dbacked magic | 32c | 105.79$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.23 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed magic | 43c | 100.38$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.72 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked K27 | 34c | 93.85$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c92…5567backed K27 | 54c | 90.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed K27 | 23c | 90$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed K27 | 78c | 88.93$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.16 | 244 | 57%139 W · 105 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked K27 | 65c | 88.04$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.06 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked K27 | 25c | 73.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed magic | 16c | 72.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.62 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6510…36d1backed K27 | 23c | 72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…5792backed K27 | 43c | 70.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed K27 | 24c | 70.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed K27 | 19c | 69.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked magic | 66c | 57.22$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.28 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed magic | 36c | 55.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.32 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a22…2929backed magic | 40c | 53.19$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.77 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6724…9592backed K27 | 76c | 48.52$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.87 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed magic | 45c | 44.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.31 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked K27 | 64c | 42.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed magic | 43c | 40.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked magic | 36c | 40.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed K27 | 52c | 37.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaff…5f75backed K27 | 30c | 36.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -9.3wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed magic | 32c | 36.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.56 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked magic | 32c | 36.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.56 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed magic | 32c | 35.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed magic | 33c | 35.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed magic | 33c | 35.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked magic | 33c | 35.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked magic | 33c | 35.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed magic | 33c | 35.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdda0…edaabacked K27 | 45c | 32.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed magic | 45c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 368 | 45.9%169 W · 199 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed magic | 33c | 31.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed K27 | 38c | 31.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed K27 | 52c | 31.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked magic | 37c | 31.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked magic | 37c | 31.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed K27 | 49c | 30.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed magic | 36c | 29.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked magic | 49c | 29.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed K27 | 53c | 27.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c29…ed84backed magic | 51c | 26.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked K27 | 70c | 25.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked magic | 66c | 16.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs magic - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana: European Closed Qualifier Playoffsmagic won
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs magic - Map 1 Winnermagic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.