TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xab6a…3319

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
131
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Middle East, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 57 out of 100; worst World Politics at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT5858.6%34 W · 24 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$965Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$964.52
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$486Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$486.2
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$294.24
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$387.52
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$294.42
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$492Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+37%+$181.94
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$97
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$501Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$204.69
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$104.95
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$101.78
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$301.37
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$141.18
Map Handicap: BIG (-1.5) vs Bebop (+1.5)backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.67
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.02
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Playoffsbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+50.7%+$148.95
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+150%+$144.6
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$100.9
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Omega (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Playoffsbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$109.75
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$487Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$367.46
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Wildcard (+1.5)backed Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.28
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.87
Counter-Strike: ENCE Academy vs eLITenergy (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffsbacked ENCE Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.46
Map Handicap: BCG (-1.5) vs Voca (+1.5)backed Voca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$229.49
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.48
Counter-Strike: NRG vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$392.72
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$236
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,096Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$471.99
US announces military support of Iran opposition by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$362Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+150%+$542.31
Will the US accuse Iran of Oslo Embassy attack?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$599Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$269.03
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$887.09
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,998Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$738.91
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.6
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.6
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+101.3%+$202.11
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+72.4%+$125.02
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+69.5%+$2,086.59
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,263Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+78.7%+$1,782.31
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$235.59
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+108.3%+$270.83
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+43.5%+$130.52
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$299.39
Israel strikes Syria by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$81.52
Israel strikes Yemen by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,009Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,009.02
All 18 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mexico City: James Duckworth vs Stefano Napolitanobacked James Duckworth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$209.91
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$242.26
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$114.85
Set Handicap: Fonseca (-1.5) vs Berrettini (+1.5)backed Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$392.06
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Blockxbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.68
Set Handicap: Kalinina (-1.5) vs Udvardy (+1.5)backed Udvardy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+114.3%+$110.6
Sarasota: Kei Nishikori vs Nicolas Kickerbacked Kei Nishikori · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$111.04
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Gael Monfils vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$132.28
Sarasota: Mitchell Krueger vs Hynek Bartonbacked Hynek Barton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$120
San Luis Potosi: James Duckworth vs Nicolas Mejiabacked James Duckworth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.03
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Tomas Etcheverry vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$252.32
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$443Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$442.67
US Open: Jessica Pegula vs Barbora Krejcikovabacked Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$41.55
US Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Iga Swiatekbacked Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$64.87
US Open: Felix Auger Aliassime vs Andrey Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$220
US Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Taylor Townsendbacked Krejcikova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$235.71
All 16 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+87.3%+$43.64
Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 15+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+243%+$121.49
Will Trump say "Hottest Country" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+111.2%+$97.6
Will Trump say "Putin" 5+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Trump say "NATO" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Trump say "Pakistan" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.9
Will Zelensky meet with Trump in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$129.99
All 8 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$258.68
Will Fidesz–KDNP finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$387.74
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Will Karel Havlíček be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$101.8
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$498.99
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$149.91
All 7 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-59.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Croatia win on 2026-03-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$141.03
Will Denmark win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$484Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$484.1
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$484Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$524.77
All 3 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+143.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jirí Procházka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$291
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaevbacked Du Plessis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$93.19
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.36
Suns vs. Hornetsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+469.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jynxzi win the PogChamps chess tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+469.8%+$361.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Packers vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+108.3%+$108.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Black to the Future" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+80.2%+$23.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be a perfect NCAA bracket?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$199.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Sep 13, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will iPhone 17 cost more than $800?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$321.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$134.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.59
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.