TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Raptors vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$62,466
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,704

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,466 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Under46c10,718$4,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,760.479,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x033d…fd1ebacked Over56c9,600$5,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,381.6910252%53 W · 49 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over30c7,391$2,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,234.568,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Over53c4,443$2,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,354.6414441%59 W · 85 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Over55c4,388$2,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,433.1820843.8%91 W · 117 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6557…0999backed Under47c3,356$1,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,778.6513946.8%65 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x905f…3b18backed Over53c2,298$1,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,218.12835.7%10 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under35c2,159$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,403.521,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under39c1,772$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,073.741,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over36c1,752$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.452,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under44c1,564$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.655,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcb8…2f90backed Over53c1,457$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.618844.3%39 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over62c1,276$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.0333258.7%195 W · 137 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under44c1,150$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.731,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under47c1,062$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.654,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cce…5c2fbacked Under47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53016254.3%88 W · 74 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Under47c999.97$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.9838750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked Over53c967.78$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.9212646%58 W · 68 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Under44c886.02$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.1728643%123 W · 163 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over53c850.78$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.923151.6%16 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over35c800.97$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.793,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under68c788.4$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.2765872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over5c750$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3578639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e12…b916backed Over53c724.27$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.86560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Over19c686.92$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.3218835.1%66 W · 122 L+24.5wins+0.13per pick22cpaid+116.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under47c680.28$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.81,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7a2…a105backed Over53c680.26$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.54977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.24per pick54cpaid+46.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under48c625.8$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.521,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34b8…81afbacked Under48c605.5$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.862948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Over53c599.72$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.8514946.3%69 W · 80 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ac2…f949backed Over54c599.65$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.816956.5%39 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under46c581.42$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.553,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4a8b…88cbbacked Over61c551.14$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.33650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2802,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a94…822cbacked Under48c474.64$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.9821355.9%119 W · 94 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5775…50a0backed Over53c413.5$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Under47c377.6$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.1310943.1%47 W · 62 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a5c…0fc2backed Over53c372.31$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.1710255.9%57 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over33c371.35$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.416817.6%12 W · 56 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa259…0026backed Over54c369.41$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.93616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-65%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xab6a…3319backed Over53c366.72$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.3620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under46c361.03$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.691,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under46c350$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1891,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacdf…2b45backed Over54c344.44$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.713545.7%16 W · 19 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x64ad…bde6backed Over53c299.69$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.849749.5%48 W · 49 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf021…fe55backed Over53c296.58$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.191050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under49c278.18$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.181,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Over53c275.04$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.7728949.1%142 W · 147 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b3e…5bc0backed Over53c270.46$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.849646.9%45 W · 51 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Under46c252.85$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.5447436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f6c…df05backed Over54c238.65$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.877256.9%41 W · 31 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d0d…7435backed Over48c233.58$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.828339.8%33 W · 50 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc694…1171backed Over52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1041118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.24per pick43cpaid-67.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xab2a…30edbacked Over53c193.38$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.446737.3%25 W · 42 L-9.5wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-27.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under43c188$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.166,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under47c187.4$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.3255347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Under49c182.64$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.4291846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59ce…6f07backed Under46c180$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.221347.9%102 W · 111 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Under46c177.88$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.716642.2%70 W · 96 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under49c175.57$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.071,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba1f…1b83backed Over56c175.25$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.14862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+40.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6185…6b22backed Over54c172.84$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.33580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+39.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2e0…9184backed Under48c171.72$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under48c159.84$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.271,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under47c158.6$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.0681349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d43…86e7backed Under48c152.4$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.255450%27 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed Over23c131.58$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.254025%10 W · 30 L-6.9wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-56.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over39c130.85$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6789048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Under48c123.54$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.2436852.2%192 W · 176 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under48c123.54$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.2456447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under48c123.21$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.5593543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under48c110.81$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.391,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under47c108.81$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.6760945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under46c107.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.133,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under45c103.97$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.762,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ac2…e183backed Under47c103$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.594057.5%23 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under47c99.65$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8180653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under48c97.13$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.6335546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacbe…85d4backed Under47c96.82$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.3116849.4%83 W · 85 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Over53c96.21$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9969049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x263f…c744backed Over53c92.34$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9410357.3%59 W · 44 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under44c81.18$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.4649247.2%232 W · 260 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a2c…e2d0backed Under64c80.5$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.331154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbaed…5749backed Over38c75.67$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.797052.9%37 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Over31c74.93$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8610623.6%25 W · 81 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Under42c74.67$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.4337753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf245…746bbacked Over53c68.03$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0520655.3%114 W · 92 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a4d…3970backed Over53c66.21$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.093964.1%25 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Under68c63$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3114264.8%92 W · 50 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x015d…7bc7backed Under48c60.42$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.426553.8%35 W · 30 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x806b…cccabacked Over29c56.24$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.311637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over43c56.15$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1560346.4%280 W · 323 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3437…1e5ebacked Under47c51.5$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.313447%63 W · 71 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b1f…9ff2backed Over53c51.34$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2110844.4%48 W · 60 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Over53c49.51$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.241,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37bc…2904backed Over53c49.51$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.24366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x983c…dd56backed Over53c45.84$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.311551.3%59 W · 56 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Under48c44.32$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2326450%132 W · 132 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecd2…38d1backed Under47c42.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.312864.3%18 W · 10 L+4.5wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+23.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x623a…5144backed Under47c41.2$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.843938.5%15 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.