TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Raptors vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$128,496
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$134,830

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,496 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Under58c13,355$7,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,666.921,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Over50c12,961$6,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,480.437946.8%37 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32f1…c96ebacked Under47c10,010$4,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,321.7911757.3%67 W · 50 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf46f…4ad4backed Over50c9,998$4,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,998.811656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb66a…800ebacked Over53c9,718$5,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,150.54955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over50c9,428$4,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,7141,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c73…686cbacked Under50c7,818$3,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,909.12100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Over50c7,111$3,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,555.513442.5%57 W · 77 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Under50c4,923$2,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,461.3721350.7%108 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed Under50c4,850$2,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,42510553.3%56 W · 49 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under53c4,837$2,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,258.953,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4888…e0c3backed Under49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0402100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under44c3,775$1,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,107.31,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Over42c3,732$1,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,568.0125945.6%118 W · 141 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x701d…57f9backed Over52c3,453$1,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,790.75633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,529.8887750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30c6…1b67backed Under50c2,910$1,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,455955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4fd…b5afbacked Under50c2,658$1,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,328.91154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde79…2a1bbacked Under50c2,458$1,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,229.1817349.7%86 W · 87 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Under75c2,224$1,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.7933258.7%195 W · 137 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under50c2,215$1,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,107.684,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Under49c2,004$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.7724151%123 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under50c1,993$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.292,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Under50c1,979$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.423047%108 W · 122 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb12…47c2backed Under50c1,955$977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over48c1,786$861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861.212,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf502…e37dbacked Over51c1,456$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.51250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe33b…11babacked Over51c1,262$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.51250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bc8…6de6backed Over51c1,165$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.01250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Under50c1,164$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58213857.2%79 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over30c1,087$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.2921247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed Over51c1,074$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.853369.7%23 W · 10 L+6.0wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+43.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Under50c1,024$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.1631643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Under50c1,011$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.3718444.6%82 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x62d5…8f10backed Under71c1,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2902552%13 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Under49c999.99$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.9927241.9%114 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb409…03e9backed Over51c986.16$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.413345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over51c951.57$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.346258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over12c947.2$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.6652230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cfa…9743backed Over51c902$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.024045%18 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Under50c826.44$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.2217247.7%82 W · 90 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over50c826$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41356843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Over50c808.45$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.720638.3%79 W · 127 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over32c755.93$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.741,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over30c575.51$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.062,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb50d…81debacked Over51c475.78$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.652259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under50c471.35$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.013,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbcb8…2f90backed Over53c458.4$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.958844.3%39 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21af…6ba0backed Over52c419.86$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.53825%2 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-58.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfcf4…66bbbacked Over51c418.69$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.535538.2%21 W · 34 L-5.7wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-27.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6abc…bd1bbacked Under49c395.67$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.7914549%71 W · 74 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Under50c392.85$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.4326553.2%141 W · 124 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over49c379.93$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.1684342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under71c378.99$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.9227463.5%174 W · 100 L+34.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under71c378.54$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.8834255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Over25c373.76$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.7483039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over47c343.58$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.568,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6056…2345backed Over50c343.53$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.77633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Over51c332.12$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.3840041.5%166 W · 234 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3aff…c55ebacked Over52c325$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1695939%23 W · 36 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over50c316.6$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.31,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over51c309.47$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.21,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Under49c305.94$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.0347436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Under51c291.18$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.6821653.7%116 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under49c282.83$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.242,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Under54c269.17$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.5922047.3%104 W · 116 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07d0…1310backed Under54c265.64$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.47153.5%38 W · 33 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c259.08$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.649,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Over52c258.25$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.068846.6%41 W · 47 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Over19c250$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.518835.1%66 W · 122 L+24.5wins+0.13per pick22cpaid+116.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under55c228.18$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.611,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42f2…fdb4backed Over52c224.12$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.5411558.3%67 W · 48 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Under55c221.94$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.3312752.8%67 W · 60 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Over51c207.69$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.9257650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under49c204.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.5278652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10052951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1026950.7%35 W · 34 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Under49c199.97$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.9919435.1%68 W · 126 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d35…23c1backed Over52c199.97$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Under49c195.86$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.8932151.7%166 W · 155 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Under50c194$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$978447.6%40 W · 44 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under56c192.87$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.0771654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over51c190.31$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0684443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xacdf…2b45backed Over51c190.31$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.063545.7%16 W · 19 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x121f…4765backed Over20c187.64$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.77933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick25cpaid+190.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed Over53c183.36$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1856154.5%306 W · 255 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under55c180.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.5644551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under55c179.61$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.3590650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under55c178.36$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.031,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under48c175.89$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.231,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under49c167.11$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.793543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2908…789abacked Over51c161.12$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.173046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over23c155.16$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.822,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over13c154.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.191,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under53c154.21$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.221,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Under49c144.05$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.4617250.6%87 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over50c140.16$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.081,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17d3…d05cbacked Over51c135.43$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.0720%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under48c126.42$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under49c125.39$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.952,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.