TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Raptors vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,375
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,570

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,375 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xacb2…b989backed Under49c10,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,099.8949244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea32…8870backed Under53c4,592$2,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,158.354744.7%21 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over47c3,997$1,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,878.761,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under53c3,660$1,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,727.3987750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over50c3,614$1,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,812.579,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over49c3,457$1,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,697.132,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x144e…eca0backed Under49c2,771$1,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,413.27451.4%38 W · 36 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked Over47c2,706$1,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,271.6712646%58 W · 68 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under49c2,154$1,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,102.151,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over50c2,096$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0528,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under48c2,018$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.5364944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6056…2345backed Over47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.99633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over47c1,317$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.031,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Under53c1,280$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.5340451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under70c1,077$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.3265872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Over28c836.94$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.0220638.3%79 W · 127 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over26c762.27$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.462,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under74c700$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18260444.2%267 W · 337 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over51c670.35$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.8844551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over51c668.16$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.7659250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over51c658.46$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.8171654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under53c635.69$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.771,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over51c623.13$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.7956447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under52c599.91$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.9689853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7335…dd65backed Over51c592.77$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.314667.4%31 W · 15 L+6.2wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+21.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over51c587.05$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.3990650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Over51c587.05$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.3929849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over51c585.14$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.4258953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over52c577.96$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.541,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x443d…017fbacked Under53c551.73$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.3123550.2%118 W · 117 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Over17c484.68$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.8918835.1%66 W · 122 L+24.5wins+0.13per pick22cpaid+116.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Under77c452.74$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.7733258.7%195 W · 137 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Over51c446.86$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.922047.3%104 W · 116 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under71c425.88$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.51,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcb8…2f90backed Over48c403.67$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.768844.3%39 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf879…820ebacked Under53c366.72$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.3611833.9%40 W · 78 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d63…0b78backed Over52c355.94$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.0913253.8%71 W · 61 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae7b…aec1backed Over51c337.65$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.23455.9%19 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over51c337.65$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.251647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over31c319.42$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.932,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over47c289.98$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.274,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa009…a6efbacked Over48c281.52$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.514742.2%62 W · 85 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Over51c279.19$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.3941449.3%204 W · 210 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefaf…22a9backed Over45c253.22$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.641942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68d8…4cc6backed Under54c208.63$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.8314455.6%80 W · 64 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Over50c175$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.526745.3%121 W · 146 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2579…9d48backed Under54c167.47$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.0419359.6%115 W · 78 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2986…763bbacked Under48c159.51$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.9533748.1%162 W · 175 L-1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over26c157.8$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.191,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d43…86e7backed Over47c152.32$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.595450%27 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under52c150.14$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.071,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Over17c146$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8280440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under51c144.6$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.553,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Under52c139.99$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.1942853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce06…c99dbacked Over51c139.58$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.187047.1%33 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf36a…25abbacked Under53c136.29$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.061735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbaed…5749backed Over54c127.65$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.377052.9%37 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over49c124.99$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6193543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed Over26c123.56$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.284025%10 W · 30 L-6.9wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-56.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over51c121.18$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.473,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Over59c120.01$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.8137848.7%184 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over13c116.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1278639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over46c114.76$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.796,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde51…b01ebacked Over48c106.57$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.154240.5%17 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Over51c102.92$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.4953348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Over51c102.92$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.4957051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf646…00c1backed Over48c102.49$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over21c101.93$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7562047.3%293 W · 327 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46d3…2c20backed Over48c100.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4433251.2%170 W · 162 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Over21c98$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5833030.9%102 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under49c97.52$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.033,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Over51c97.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.525559.2%151 W · 104 L+13.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf433…2464backed Under54c90.04$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4214444.4%64 W · 80 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over47c89.36$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4281349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under49c81.48$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.561,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Over32c81.42$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2912227%33 W · 89 L-0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Over46c74.68$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7217250.6%87 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Over38c62.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1138453.4%205 W · 179 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over52c61.18$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.711,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under49c60.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.842,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Over26c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.337753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ac4…4e17backed Over48c56.01$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.882941.4%12 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under53c55.29$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.982,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78a4…d4d7backed Over48c53.28$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.581154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+45.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Over21c53$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1345544.8%204 W · 251 L+21.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdde2…743dbacked Over48c52.9$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.39742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x130b…0e07backed Over48c50.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.222369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.7wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdddf…d97abacked Over48c50.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4ac…4035backed Over48c50.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.22911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.32per pick43cpaid-71.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xda47…c2e9backed Under43c47$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.791553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under52c44.2$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.221,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Under52c44.06$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1547436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x386b…7d22backed Under53c36.67$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.241442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56cd…2ddcbacked Over51c32.35$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.511845.8%54 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79ee…dae9backed Over47c32.2$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.134746.8%22 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca22…71a0backed Over48c30.28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.537153.5%38 W · 33 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under59c29.39$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.093,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over35c29.29$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2589048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0258…06d0backed Under48c28.38$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7611033.6%37 W · 73 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23e7…fca5backed Over52c25.89$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.486962.3%43 W · 26 L+6.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.