NBA · resolved market

Raptors vs. Celtics

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c0348dfc0c77e682c30ebccb0d4662933a81356540bc39ef8992a220f1a93d3

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Celticsof Raptors, Celtics
Resolved: Apr 5, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,069,045
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,306,586

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,069,045 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 603 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x99e4…e4c4backed Raptors	21c	171,530$36,021 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36,021.38	146	63.7%93 W · 53 L	+11.6wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Raptors	19c	136,351$25,907 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,906.69	97	45.4%44 W · 53 L	+4.7wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Raptors	21c	102,713$21,749 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,749.01	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Celtics	78c	80,109$62,554 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,554.71	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Raptors	20c	59,877$12,185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,184.99	109	30.3%33 W · 76 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Raptors	19c	51,363$9,759 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,759.06	325	40.3%131 W · 194 L	-10.2wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9032…8717backed Raptors	3c	37,694$1,025 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,024.98	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Raptors	20c	35,965$7,344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,343.97	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Celtics	79c	29,780$23,658 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,122.25	207	44%91 W · 116 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Raptors	19c	25,000$4,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,750	596	46.1%275 W · 321 L	-16.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6233…6349backed Celtics	79c	24,997$19,748 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,249.47	34	67.6%23 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	69cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Raptors	20c	23,800$4,760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,760	492	44.3%218 W · 274 L	+11.8wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Raptors	20c	20,526$4,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,020.46	469	28.4%133 W · 336 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Raptors	19c	20,138$3,826 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,826.31	1,197	46.7%559 W · 638 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Raptors	10c	20,000$1,910 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,910	148	56.1%83 W · 65 L	+5.2wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Raptors	20c	20,000$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Raptors	20c	19,696$3,939 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,938.82	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x648d…1366backed Raptors	20c	13,667$2,733 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,733.47	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a87…bce2backed Celtics	79c	13,454$10,629 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,825.37	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	67cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e10…0cd4backed Celtics	80c	13,102$10,450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,651.4	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	+4.0wins	+0.15per pick	26cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Raptors	20c	13,052$2,564 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,564.18	213	50.7%108 W · 105 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c15…35aebacked Raptors	20c	12,227$2,445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,445.47	102	36.3%37 W · 65 L	-8.6wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-25%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ec7…2b6bbacked Raptors	23c	12,189$2,862 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,862.27	40	55%22 W · 18 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Raptors	20c	11,815$2,363 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,363.03	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9027…5954backed Raptors	23c	11,598$2,683 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,683.24	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Celtics	80c	11,066$8,852 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,213.12	690	49.4%341 W · 349 L	-30.0wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x18c4…f6dcbacked Celtics	76c	11,060$8,406 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,654.4	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.2wins	+0.29per pick	46cpaid	+28.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc86a…bcabbacked Raptors	20c	10,560$2,112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,112	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+2.5wins	+0.15per pick	50cpaid	+24.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x93ef…468bbacked Raptors	0c	10,187$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.33	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-45%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5798…ab44backed Celtics	80c	10,000$8,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,000	157	40.8%64 W · 93 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa89e…fb60backed Celtics	80c	10,000$8,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,000	53	79.2%42 W · 11 L	+6.7wins	+0.13per pick	67cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6ae0…814bbacked Raptors	16c	10,000$1,597 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,597.13	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Raptors	20c	9,716$1,943 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,943.25	393	49.1%193 W · 200 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb6f…e0ddbacked Celtics	80c	9,539$7,631 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,907.74	67	44.8%30 W · 37 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Raptors	2c	9,412$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.27	110	34.5%38 W · 72 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ce8…91acbacked Celtics	80c	8,750$7,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,750	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.11per pick	71cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1333…173bbacked Raptors	19c	8,746$1,662 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,661.74	39	41%16 W · 23 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Raptors	20c	8,083$1,617 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,616.52	249	42.2%105 W · 144 L	-9.6wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Raptors	21c	8,057$1,706 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,705.72	1,003	34.7%348 W · 655 L	-44.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Raptors	19c	8,049$1,529 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,529.38	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd71a…67f5backed Celtics	79c	7,263$5,747 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,515.16	149	59.7%89 W · 60 L	+6.1wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+22%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ad3…fb0fbacked Raptors	21c	6,749$1,436 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,436.16	33	24.2%8 W · 25 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-45.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f8d…a19bbacked Raptors	30c	6,483$1,945 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,944.83	37	51.4%19 W · 18 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Raptors	4c	6,305$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.18	176	51.7%91 W · 85 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Raptors	20c	6,221$1,244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,244.22	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eb3…4d75backed Celtics	80c	5,931$4,745 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,186.17	90	60%54 W · 36 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Raptors	2c	5,389$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.34	317	9.5%30 W · 287 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-59.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8907…a996backed Raptors	28c	5,204$1,446 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,446.45	29	27.6%8 W · 21 L	-2.1wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	+54.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Celtics	78c	5,182$4,032 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,150.27	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Celtics	79c	5,000$3,950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,050	272	41.9%114 W · 158 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4674…f7aabacked Raptors	16c	4,900$765 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$764.99	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-2.2wins	-0.13per pick	48cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Raptors	18c	4,860$899 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$898.86	237	42.6%101 W · 136 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf70f…3c97backed Celtics	77c	4,317$3,321 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$996.09	42	76.2%32 W · 10 L	+5.6wins	+0.13per pick	63cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Raptors	16c	4,183$669 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$669.22	516	47.5%245 W · 271 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Raptors	0c	4,103$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.56	882	0%0 W · 882 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Raptors	21c	4,058$852 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$852.15	844	43%363 W · 481 L	-40.5wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf819…d410backed Celtics	80c	4,039$3,231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$807.82	264	44.7%118 W · 146 L	-15.8wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Raptors	19c	4,000$755 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$754.99	434	38.5%167 W · 267 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Raptors	19c	4,000$755 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$754.98	659	39.5%260 W · 399 L	-13.1wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77d3…f4d6backed Celtics	80c	3,998$3,199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$799.67	292	50%146 W · 146 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4dd2…9014backed Celtics	76c	3,900$2,957 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$942.92	181	47.5%86 W · 95 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked Celtics	79c	3,750$2,962 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$787.42	87	63.2%55 W · 32 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8650…b8babacked Celtics	80c	3,728$2,982 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$745.56	25	56%14 W · 11 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ba9…0516backed Raptors	13c	3,645$474 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$473.9	74	12.2%9 W · 65 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Raptors	19c	3,500$665 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$665	866	41.5%359 W · 507 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a89…8e52backed Celtics	79c	3,125$2,469 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$656.18	101	44.6%45 W · 56 L	-9.6wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Raptors	12c	3,102$372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$372.26	354	44.6%158 W · 196 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Raptors	19c	3,101$599 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$599.19	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+2.4wins	+0.49per pick	31cpaid	+287.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc689…5250backed Celtics	80c	3,000$2,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$600	37	67.6%25 W · 12 L	+3.3wins	+0.09per pick	59cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6539…f6cdbacked Raptors	20c	3,000$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.8wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Celtics	79c	2,988$2,365 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$622.58	1,084	50%542 W · 542 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf6f2…b422backed Raptors	28c	2,963$830 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$829.55	115	58.3%67 W · 48 L	+6.4wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x56f3…7ddebacked Raptors	7c	2,935$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.65	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Raptors	21c	2,905$610 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$610.14	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Raptors	1c	2,823$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.05	37	37.8%14 W · 23 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27b8…043fbacked Celtics	80c	2,819$2,255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$563.77	98	61.2%60 W · 38 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	63cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Raptors	20c	2,797$559 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$558.55	373	55%205 W · 168 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55bb…bc01backed Celtics	72c	2,668$1,921 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$747.12	28	57.1%16 W · 12 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5903…a4fdbacked Raptors	20c	2,666$533 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$533.12	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-19%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Raptors	13c	2,659$353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$353.25	1,341	29.9%401 W · 940 L	-53.8wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Raptors	18c	2,656$488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$488.29	906	50.2%455 W · 451 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Raptors	20c	2,622$524 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$524.43	248	41.1%102 W · 146 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d0d…7435backed Raptors	33c	2,618$864 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$863.82	83	39.8%33 W · 50 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Celtics	76c	2,593$1,971 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$621.44	121	42.1%51 W · 70 L	-7.5wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0fde…8ab1backed Celtics	80c	2,470$1,976 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$494	107	69.2%74 W · 33 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	71cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e79…54d2backed Raptors	2c	2,466$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.28	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Celtics	79c	2,400$1,896 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$504	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Raptors	18c	2,368$415 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$415.3	653	49.9%326 W · 327 L	+20.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3720…a4c9backed Raptors	10c	2,367$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.65	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	28cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27b0…fc67backed Raptors	20c	2,300$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460	63	41.3%26 W · 37 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Raptors	35c	2,270$786 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$786.46	2,468	50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L	+38.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Celtics	72c	2,203$1,586 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$616.97	112	42%47 W · 65 L	-10.1wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Raptors	1c	2,200$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.3	29	13.8%4 W · 25 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	-70.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x59c0…cd82backed Celtics	80c	2,070$1,656 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$413.92	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xf3c3…a3d2backed Celtics	73c	2,018$1,476 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$541.91	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Raptors	19c	2,000$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380	553	46.8%259 W · 294 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Raptors	19c	2,000$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380	310	46.8%145 W · 165 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Raptors	19c	2,000$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380	256	41.4%106 W · 150 L	-13.6wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8980…d4f4backed Celtics	79c	2,000$1,580 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$420	219	51.1%112 W · 107 L	+7.4wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfab1…4e6cbacked Raptors	19c	2,000$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380	90	55.6%50 W · 40 L	-7.3wins	-0.08per pick	64cpaid	-16%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Raptors vs. Celticsthis page
1H Spread: Celtics (-5.5)Celtics won
1H Spread: Celtics (-6.5)Celtics won
Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 20.5No won
Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
Neemias Queta: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
Raptors vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
Raptors vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
Raptors vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
Raptors vs. Celtics: O/U 212.5Over won
Raptors vs. Celtics: O/U 215.5Over won
Raptors vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5Under won
Raptors vs. Celtics: O/U 218.5Under won
Raptors vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5Under won
Raptors vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5Under won
Raptors vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5Under won
Raptors vs. Celtics: O/U 227.5Under won
Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
Spread: Celtics (-10.5)Celtics won
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)Celtics won
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Celtics won
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)Celtics won
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)Celtics won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Raptors vs. Celtics

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event